The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 635 LR chi2(132) = 1566.79 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -261.84733 Pseudo R2 = 0.7495 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ votelist | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- left | _Iretnat_1 | .7689696 .4058212 -0.50 0.619 .2733319 2.163356 _Iretnat_3 | .6714207 .5742835 -0.47 0.641 .1255856 3.589628 age | 1.000762 .0200985 0.04 0.970 .9621351 1.04094 educat | .7901358 .1485175 -1.25 0.210 .5466458 1.142082 relig | .8587907 .342586 -0.38 0.703 .3929423 1.87692 occupa1 | .3462901 .2020944 -1.82 0.069 .1103266 1.086926 occupa3 | 1.167082 .8515894 0.21 0.832 .2792555 4.877542 unionhld | .5843951 .4149547 -0.76 0.449 .1453127 2.350225 urban | 1.742567 .4990376 1.94 0.052 .9940808 3.05462 lrself | .6968511 .1386546 -1.82 0.069 .4718173 1.029215 A3020_A | .2330744 .0513498 -6.61 0.000 .1513429 .3589445 A3020_B | 1.186665 .1838478 1.10 0.269 .8758973 1.607693 A3020_C | 4.602676 1.128146 6.23 0.000 2.84692 7.441244 A3020_D | .9604714 .1835973 -0.21 0.833 .6603504 1.396994 A3020_E | 1.067849 .1890907 0.37 0.711 .7547142 1.510906 A3020_F | .9794822 .1926814 -0.11 0.916 .6661165 1.440267 A3021_A | .7161898 .092377 -2.59 0.010 .5562074 .922188 A3021_B | .8949219 .1039336 -0.96 0.339 .7127368 1.123676 A3021_C | 1.302859 .217858 1.58 0.114 .9387792 1.808137 A3021_D | 1.051924 .1688414 0.32 0.752 .7679983 1.440815 A3021_E | .7806181 .1305504 -1.48 0.139 .56245 1.083411 A3021_F | 1.0988 .2099849 0.49 0.622 .7555286 1.598036 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cen | _Iretnat_1 | 1.872289 1.81458 0.65 0.518 .280161 12.51233 _Iretnat_3 | .2341235 .444567 -0.76 0.444 .0056642 9.677314 age | .9851119 .0314376 -0.47 0.638 .9253829 1.048696 educat | .6326494 .1821461 -1.59 0.112 .3598269 1.112327 relig | 1.597424 1.077145 0.69 0.487 .4260438 5.98944 occupa1 | .2988713 .297723 -1.21 0.225 .0424183 2.105792 occupa3 | 2.205371 2.635284 0.66 0.508 .2120057 22.94118 unionhld | .206585 .2141208 -1.52 0.128 .0270924 1.575253 urban | .3123712 .1792943 -2.03 0.043 .1014144 .9621486 lrself | .9967269 .3286889 -0.01 0.992 .5222482 1.902284 A3020_A | .2074743 .0618182 -5.28 0.000 .1157027 .372036 A3020_B | 1.312935 .3898456 0.92 0.359 .7336669 2.349567 A3020_C | .8872713 .247229 -0.43 0.668 .5138992 1.531916 A3020_D | .63591 .2166515 -1.33 0.184 .3261335 1.239926 A3020_E | 5.63126 2.325084 4.19 0.000 2.506998 12.64903 A3020_F | .6985685 .2248136 -1.11 0.265 .3717706 1.312632 A3021_A | .5946195 .1541306 -2.01 0.045 .357767 .9882757 A3021_B | 1.177641 .3106507 0.62 0.535 .7022211 1.974931 A3021_C | 1.140858 .2856132 0.53 0.599 .6984471 1.8635 A3021_D | 1.481698 .4885165 1.19 0.233 .7764583 2.827491 A3021_E | 1.531389 .4332285 1.51 0.132 .879592 2.666181 A3021_F | 1.019032 .3502537 0.05 0.956 .5195409 1.99874 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | .10363 .1131218 -2.08 0.038 .0121989 .8803422 _Iretnat_3 | .0588924 .0765633 -2.18 0.029 .0046074 .7527787 age | .9845645 .0316998 -0.48 0.629 .9243538 1.048697 educat | 1.22939 .4004016 0.63 0.526 .6493234 2.327655 relig | 1.480417 1.028095 0.56 0.572 .3795386 5.774473 occupa1 | .1024554 .1106934 -2.11 0.035 .012328 .8514876 occupa3 | .1024454 .1342851 -1.74 0.082 .0078477 1.337349 unionhld | .4141585 .4643095 -0.79 0.432 .0460142 3.727703 urban | .6438975 .3320794 -0.85 0.393 .2343277 1.769334 lrself | 1.731109 .737358 1.29 0.198 .7512063 3.989237 A3020_A | .26158 .0860873 -4.07 0.000 .1372365 .4985853 A3020_B | 1.193175 .372438 0.57 0.572 .6471573 2.199877 A3020_C | 1.029846 .3166118 0.10 0.924 .5637446 1.881319 A3020_D | .4840651 .1796825 -1.95 0.051 .2338526 1.001995 A3020_E | .8394003 .264029 -0.56 0.578 .4531355 1.554928 A3020_F | 5.623336 2.318104 4.19 0.000 2.506708 12.61491 A3021_A | .7440308 .1903093 -1.16 0.248 .4506811 1.228323 A3021_B | .7544667 .1967644 -1.08 0.280 .4525299 1.257862 A3021_C | 1.050487 .2456083 0.21 0.833 .6643184 1.661136 A3021_D | 1.094071 .3874995 0.25 0.800 .5464694 2.190409 A3021_E | 1.810356 .5898822 1.82 0.069 .9558954 3.428606 A3021_F | 1.899727 .639299 1.91 0.057 .9822987 3.673997 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- mod | _Iretnat_1 | 2.252894 1.739566 1.05 0.293 .4960068 10.23278 _Iretnat_3 | .4410943 .4159882 -0.87 0.385 .069467 2.800816 age | .9520677 .0238798 -1.96 0.050 .9063961 1.000041 educat | 1.185281 .2956118 0.68 0.496 .7269924 1.932471 relig | .6693243 .3516397 -0.76 0.445 .2390259 1.874253 occupa1 | 1.527213 1.302044 0.50 0.619 .2872087 8.120854 occupa3 | .7263471 .7014625 -0.33 0.741 .109422 4.821517 unionhld | .2746064 .2294949 -1.55 0.122 .0533755 1.412796 urban | .595668 .2386047 -1.29 0.196 .2716699 1.306072 lrself | 1.169309 .2965506 0.62 0.537 .7113026 1.922224 A3020_A | .161692 .039824 -7.40 0.000 .0997796 .2620205 A3020_B | 9.334378 2.715991 7.68 0.000 5.27733 16.51036 A3020_C | .644723 .1430387 -1.98 0.048 .4173736 .995913 A3020_D | 1.036948 .3016304 0.12 0.901 .5863501 1.833821 A3020_E | .7376307 .179421 -1.25 0.211 .4579236 1.188187 A3020_F | .5788308 .1505573 -2.10 0.036 .3476555 .9637274 A3021_A | .6713539 .1243312 -2.15 0.031 .4669963 .9651382 A3021_B | 1.170044 .2624942 0.70 0.484 .7537698 1.816207 A3021_C | 1.306578 .239619 1.46 0.145 .9120735 1.87172 A3021_D | .7682021 .2068122 -0.98 0.327 .4532298 1.302064 A3021_E | 1.114355 .2635153 0.46 0.647 .7010308 1.771373 A3021_F | 1.658485 .4708905 1.78 0.075 .9506739 2.893288 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cd | _Iretnat_1 | .7528777 .5782195 -0.37 0.712 .1671056 3.392016 _Iretnat_3 | .2945379 .277125 -1.30 0.194 .0465867 1.862174 age | .9774813 .0237739 -0.94 0.349 .9319785 1.025206 educat | .8207374 .1941009 -0.84 0.404 .5162959 1.304697 relig | 1.933819 .9822585 1.30 0.194 .7145931 5.233265 occupa1 | 2.011194 1.633682 0.86 0.390 .4092867 9.882806 occupa3 | 1.305525 1.251394 0.28 0.781 .1994694 8.544641 unionhld | .2233358 .1855169 -1.80 0.071 .0438426 1.13768 urban | .643081 .2798709 -1.01 0.310 .2740439 1.509076 lrself | 1.082686 .2899062 0.30 0.767 .64059 1.829891 A3020_A | .1965997 .050053 -6.39 0.000 .1193639 .3238121 A3020_B | .8370078 .1824085 -0.82 0.414 .5460442 1.283013 A3020_C | .8376205 .1834322 -0.81 0.418 .5453068 1.28663 A3020_D | 6.503003 2.267034 5.37 0.000 3.283777 12.87817 A3020_E | .6859103 .1662902 -1.56 0.120 .4264855 1.103139 A3020_F | .7000506 .1740992 -1.43 0.152 .4299716 1.139775 A3021_A | .7117482 .1334835 -1.81 0.070 .4928212 1.02793 A3021_B | 1.419726 .2677479 1.86 0.063 .9810141 2.05463 A3021_C | 1.110912 .2100501 0.56 0.578 .7668942 1.609252 A3021_D | 1.387176 .3747811 1.21 0.226 .816879 2.355621 A3021_E | 1.267715 .3017744 1.00 0.319 .7950536 2.021374 A3021_F | 1.221063 .3264114 0.75 0.455 .7230974 2.061954 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- grn | _Iretnat_1 | 1.441378 .8601555 0.61 0.540 .4475235 4.642375 _Iretnat_3 | .5098547 .5315012 -0.65 0.518 .0660855 3.933569 age | .9563072 .0218903 -1.95 0.051 .9143512 1.000188 educat | 1.215013 .2401862 0.99 0.325 .8247337 1.78998 relig | 1.70343 .7588418 1.20 0.232 .7114299 4.07865 occupa1 | .1224378 .0894397 -2.87 0.004 .0292496 .5125195 occupa3 | .9448006 .6980777 -0.08 0.939 .2220339 4.020324 unionhld | .6237894 .558275 -0.53 0.598 .1079531 3.604465 urban | .5217336 .198647 -1.71 0.087 .2473767 1.10037 lrself | .6494496 .1543131 -1.82 0.069 .407657 1.034656 A3020_A | .2117178 .0543354 -6.05 0.000 .1280278 .3501147 A3020_B | 1.043553 .1992713 0.22 0.823 .7177511 1.517244 A3020_C | 1.81697 .3915048 2.77 0.006 1.191072 2.77177 A3020_D | .8693749 .1740562 -0.70 0.484 .5872044 1.287137 A3020_E | 1.772016 .3643807 2.78 0.005 1.184225 2.651555 A3020_F | .708961 .1674227 -1.46 0.145 .4462818 1.126252 A3021_A | 1.013826 .1768271 0.08 0.937 .7202788 1.427008 A3021_B | 1.056362 .1375659 0.42 0.674 .8183973 1.36352 A3021_C | .9774058 .1643852 -0.14 0.892 .7029354 1.359047 A3021_D | 1.172593 .2051907 0.91 0.363 .8321401 1.652335 A3021_E | .989125 .1765645 -0.06 0.951 .6971189 1.403445 A3021_F | 1.056263 .2345088 0.25 0.805 .6835818 1.632126 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome votelist==soc is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [left]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 2) [cen]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 3) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 4) [mod]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 5) [cd]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 6) [grn]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 7) [left]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 8) [cen]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 9) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 (10) [mod]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 (11) [cd]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 (12) [grn]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 chi2( 12) = 14.08 Prob > chi2 = 0.2958 PARTY LIST | VOTED FOR - | DISTRICT | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- left | 72 11.34 11.34 soc | 241 37.95 49.29 cen | 30 4.72 54.02 lib | 31 4.88 58.90 mod | 156 24.57 83.46 cd | 76 11.97 95.43 grn | 29 4.57 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 635 100.00 ............................................................................................................................... These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .8469694 .1133858 .1134618 .1172689 .1093527 2 . .3795276 .3811891 .3955309 .3762183 3 .433563 .0472441 .0475505 .0393862 .0519829 4 .0436009 .0488189 .0481522 .0594962 .0428261 5 .1802484 .2456693 .2399451 .223942 .2501448 6 .4040752 .119685 .1206347 .1246283 .1153895 7 .5176683 .0456693 .0490666 .0397476 .0540857 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .1134618 .1609803 .0547058 .0667361 .275603 2 .3811891 .3639325 .0746162 .2192266 .501252 3 .0475505 .0520312 .040625 .006499 .1526433 4 .0481522 .054289 .0368964 .0169357 .153485 5 .2399451 .1963591 .0468843 .1156468 .2907778 6 .1206347 .1255728 .0470433 .0510657 .2205195 7 .0490666 .046835 .0470656 .0051996 .1860008 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .1172689 .0025205 .0406021 -.0811931 .0942714 2 .3955309 .0159137 .0545432 -.0895805 .1398971 3 .0393862 -.0041363 .0299032 -.068176 .0570709 4 .0594962 .0020141 .0385647 -.0727496 .073132 5 .223942 -.0079116 .0309701 -.0763214 .0497776 6 .1246283 -.0040632 .0316705 -.0714227 .0617488 7 .0397476 -.0043373 .0314106 -.0785192 .0660843 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .1093527 -.0099141 .0331001 -.0916915 .0519939 2 .3762183 -.0169085 .0537969 -.1320094 .0937379 3 .0519829 .0119363 .040531 -.069995 .1034151 4 .0428261 .0015353 .0482953 -.1043209 .0743772 5 .2501448 .0136909 .0362934 -.0537183 .1006509 6 .1153895 -.0148479 .0437255 -.1103437 .0701059 7 .0540857 .014508 .0353019 -.0561441 .1009896