The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 1612 LR chi2(66) = 1443.72 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -1942.9444 Pseudo R2 = 0.2709 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ postvote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- xlf | _Iretnat_1 | 2.808651 1.527271 1.90 0.058 .9674679 8.15378 _Iretnat_3 | 2.567352 1.025338 2.36 0.018 1.173643 5.616096 age | .941242 .0940503 -0.61 0.544 .7738343 1.144866 educat | 1.163414 .0892318 1.97 0.048 1.001034 1.352135 churchat | .6533345 .1061336 -2.62 0.009 .4751805 .8982817 male | .7922578 .2027025 -0.91 0.363 .4798252 1.308127 occupa1 | .9432906 .2847509 -0.19 0.847 .5220277 1.704502 occupa3 | 1.266476 1.030559 0.29 0.772 .2570136 6.240765 unionhld | .4301494 .1245193 -2.91 0.004 .2439013 .7586204 ownhome | .4908604 .1235629 -2.83 0.005 .2997004 .8039492 lrself | .7953112 .0597182 -3.05 0.002 .6864711 .9214079 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- grn | _Iretnat_1 | .2191254 .2336957 -1.42 0.155 .0270952 1.772121 _Iretnat_3 | 1.26994 .4635341 0.65 0.513 .6209982 2.597023 age | .9677647 .111485 -0.28 0.776 .7721695 1.212905 educat | 1.417493 .1295451 3.82 0.000 1.18503 1.695557 churchat | .9896559 .1633132 -0.06 0.950 .7161743 1.36757 male | .8565963 .2527737 -0.52 0.600 .4803905 1.527418 occupa1 | .6483049 .223062 -1.26 0.208 .3302986 1.272483 occupa3 | .9902921 .7952574 -0.01 0.990 .2052122 4.778852 unionhld | .612549 .2179157 -1.38 0.168 .3050169 1.230149 ownhome | 1.079751 .3412162 0.24 0.808 .5812091 2.005927 lrself | 1.303891 .1264953 2.74 0.006 1.07811 1.576956 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cen | _Iretnat_1 | .5855875 .3080445 -1.02 0.309 .2088444 1.641954 _Iretnat_3 | 1.916519 .558918 2.23 0.026 1.08212 3.394303 age | 1.032514 .0802277 0.41 0.680 .8866592 1.202363 educat | 1.032916 .0584789 0.57 0.567 .9244296 1.154134 churchat | 1.744714 .1903094 5.10 0.000 1.40889 2.160585 male | .9973842 .2008079 -0.01 0.990 .672181 1.479922 occupa1 | 1.034383 .2377187 0.15 0.883 .6592659 1.622938 occupa3 | .989981 .473625 -0.02 0.983 .3876113 2.528467 unionhld | .5456952 .1241379 -2.66 0.008 .3493927 .852288 ownhome | 1.295037 .2893788 1.16 0.247 .8357559 2.006712 lrself | 2.689841 .2110812 12.61 0.000 2.306374 3.137063 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pp | _Iretnat_1 | .8792054 .442615 -0.26 0.798 .327773 2.358346 _Iretnat_3 | 2.086331 .6330244 2.42 0.015 1.151107 3.781383 age | 1.102023 .0848737 1.26 0.207 .9476207 1.281584 educat | 1.302779 .0743182 4.64 0.000 1.164965 1.456895 churchat | 1.245709 .1371292 2.00 0.046 1.003957 1.545674 male | .9603698 .1940382 -0.20 0.841 .6463344 1.426986 occupa1 | .6957153 .1623207 -1.56 0.120 .4403861 1.09908 occupa3 | 1.897764 .8078112 1.51 0.132 .8239779 4.370878 unionhld | .6931747 .1631882 -1.56 0.120 .43697 1.099598 ownhome | 1.033882 .2260181 0.15 0.879 .6735795 1.586913 lrself | 2.684645 .2090223 12.68 0.000 2.304696 3.127231 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- mod | _Iretnat_1 | .5347002 .2729395 -1.23 0.220 .1966128 1.454149 _Iretnat_3 | 2.144614 .627519 2.61 0.009 1.208608 3.805508 age | 1.050067 .0778663 0.66 0.510 .9080237 1.21433 educat | 1.211312 .066347 3.50 0.000 1.088011 1.348586 churchat | 1.343523 .1439066 2.76 0.006 1.08911 1.657366 male | 1.280094 .2518968 1.25 0.210 .8704474 1.882527 occupa1 | .6667785 .1499288 -1.80 0.071 .4291255 1.036046 occupa3 | 1.489064 .6172815 0.96 0.337 .6607751 3.355624 unionhld | .4548118 .099839 -3.59 0.000 .2957865 .6993348 ownhome | 1.308307 .2817385 1.25 0.212 .8578414 1.99532 lrself | 4.948626 .4066377 19.46 0.000 4.2125 5.81339 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cd | _Iretnat_1 | .1204391 .1010432 -2.52 0.012 .0232619 .6235752 _Iretnat_3 | .8733255 .2904582 -0.41 0.684 .4550678 1.676008 age | .9105422 .0881981 -0.97 0.333 .7530952 1.100906 educat | 1.06564 .0749333 0.90 0.366 .9284448 1.223109 churchat | 3.126834 .4405299 8.09 0.000 2.372366 4.121241 male | .8753579 .2225118 -0.52 0.600 .5318808 1.440645 occupa1 | .7422819 .2162086 -1.02 0.306 .419406 1.313721 occupa3 | 1.041504 .5716858 0.07 0.941 .3551671 3.05414 unionhld | .6476976 .1859609 -1.51 0.130 .3689634 1.137002 ownhome | 1.464006 .422228 1.32 0.186 .8318617 2.576525 lrself | 3.481748 .3365014 12.91 0.000 2.880919 4.207882 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome postvote==soc is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [xlf]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [grn]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [cen]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [pp]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [mod]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 6) [cd]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 7) [xlf]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [grn]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 9) [cen]_Iretnat_3 = 0 (10) [pp]_Iretnat_3 = 0 (11) [mod]_Iretnat_3 = 0 (12) [cd]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 12) = 34.41 Prob > chi2 = 0.0006 postvote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- xlf | 80 4.96 4.96 grn | 58 3.60 8.56 soc | 604 37.47 46.03 cen | 179 11.10 57.13 pp | 187 11.60 68.73 mod | 400 24.81 93.55 cd | 104 6.45 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 1,612 100.00 > .................................... These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0542692 .0496278 .0496278 .0516283 .0381592 9 .2026197 .0359801 .0359801 .0375527 .0332303 22 . .3746898 .3746898 .3578654 .4440712 33 .0050989 .1110422 .1110422 .115647 .0888939 44 .0108265 .116005 .116005 .1191271 .0941794 55 .0004952 .248139 .248139 .2538165 .2057304 66 .0374566 .0645161 .0645161 .0643629 .0957355 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0496278 .0446341 .0161197 .0209095 .0834978 9 .0359801 .0354008 .0154032 .0143629 .0734695 22 .3746898 .3431021 .0325517 .2788913 .4061593 33 .1110422 .1103174 .0254639 .0683801 .1665417 44 .116005 .1212607 .0274261 .075197 .1816153 55 .248139 .2775543 .0326441 .2160682 .3421404 66 .0645161 .0677305 .0207208 .035606 .1161067 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0516283 .0166991 .0238608 -.0266871 .065669 9 .0375527 .0060625 .0178978 -.0320832 .0411823 22 .3578654 -.076875 .0409526 -.1590432 .0007374 33 .115647 .0226446 .0224306 -.02462 .0678751 44 .1191271 .0128731 .0229581 -.0343565 .057426 55 .2538165 .0291413 .02538 -.023158 .0780129 66 .0643629 -.0105456 .0220264 -.0568948 .0285932 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0381592 -.0075724 .0170138 -.041321 .0246548 9 .0332303 .0007238 .0165217 -.0294649 .0371628 22 .4440712 .0642924 .0352791 -.0028834 .1350915 33 .0888939 -.0225456 .0250661 -.071911 .0295313 44 .0941794 -.0215856 .0283489 -.0757676 .0358692 55 .2057304 -.0530369 .0362659 -.1227907 .0182891 66 .0957355 .0397243 .0321792 -.0140841 .1107585