The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 3198 LR chi2(91) = 3809.38 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -2916.4093 Pseudo R2 = 0.3951 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ postvote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- nat | _Iretnat_1 | 1.77764 .3364002 3.04 0.002 1.226768 2.575876 _Iretnat_3 | .9103447 .1692494 -0.51 0.613 .6323423 1.310568 age | 1.009015 .0054244 1.67 0.095 .9984392 1.019703 educat | 1.127422 .0781617 1.73 0.084 .9841801 1.291512 relig | .9856876 .0313702 -0.45 0.651 .9260814 1.04913 gender | 1.063863 .1743096 0.38 0.706 .7716492 1.466735 occupb1 | .9722807 .2020344 -0.14 0.892 .6470188 1.461055 rural | 1.023762 .0521183 0.46 0.645 .9265426 1.131182 lrself | 1.725545 .0888908 10.59 0.000 1.559829 1.908867 cd1feel | 1.638628 .0576218 14.04 0.000 1.529495 1.755547 cd2feel | .6099824 .0230064 -13.11 0.000 .5665169 .6567827 attlab | .4537113 .0663912 -5.40 0.000 .3405839 .6044149 attnat | 2.294749 .191447 9.96 0.000 1.948592 2.702399 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- all | _Iretnat_1 | 1.4336 .3183709 1.62 0.105 .9276728 2.215445 _Iretnat_3 | 1.494064 .2431607 2.47 0.014 1.086013 2.055433 age | .9904874 .0049785 -1.90 0.057 .9807775 1.000293 educat | 1.053323 .0664358 0.82 0.410 .9308379 1.191925 relig | .9818127 .0306437 -0.59 0.556 .9235523 1.043748 gender | .7987445 .1251901 -1.43 0.152 .5874839 1.085975 occupb1 | 1.083176 .2079284 0.42 0.677 .7435342 1.577965 rural | 1.027496 .0512893 0.54 0.587 .9317316 1.133103 lrself | .7743157 .0349436 -5.67 0.000 .708769 .8459242 cd1feel | .8864567 .0273087 -3.91 0.000 .8345166 .9416296 cd2feel | .8370701 .0295199 -5.04 0.000 .7811665 .8969745 attlab | .5131963 .0372823 -9.18 0.000 .4450881 .5917265 attnat | 1.02179 .1606373 0.14 0.891 .7508325 1.390531 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- nzf | _Iretnat_1 | 1.232875 .3372015 0.77 0.444 .7212872 2.107316 _Iretnat_3 | 1.197721 .2566657 0.84 0.400 .7869508 1.822905 age | .9760111 .0064726 -3.66 0.000 .9634071 .9887801 educat | .9508449 .0799854 -0.60 0.549 .806318 1.121277 relig | 1.084395 .038807 2.26 0.024 1.010941 1.163186 gender | 1.324055 .2721935 1.37 0.172 .8849517 1.981036 occupb1 | .6091046 .1404382 -2.15 0.032 .3876453 .9570821 rural | .9498974 .0591562 -0.83 0.409 .8407501 1.073214 lrself | 1.280133 .0770898 4.10 0.000 1.137615 1.440504 cd1feel | 1.008327 .0371345 0.23 0.822 .938109 1.0838 cd2feel | .7400331 .0318579 -6.99 0.000 .6801544 .8051833 attlab | .4136362 .0662358 -5.51 0.000 .3022144 .5661375 attnat | .9209827 .1385375 -0.55 0.584 .6858208 1.23678 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- act | _Iretnat_1 | 1.66364 .3629595 2.33 0.020 1.084804 2.551336 _Iretnat_3 | .9222866 .2074769 -0.36 0.719 .5934447 1.433348 age | 1.022561 .0066733 3.42 0.001 1.009564 1.035724 educat | 1.381179 .1160738 3.84 0.000 1.171427 1.628488 relig | 1.004196 .0363052 0.12 0.908 .9355015 1.077934 gender | .4812296 .094551 -3.72 0.000 .3274236 .7072855 occupb1 | .9635702 .2331522 -0.15 0.878 .5996815 1.548268 rural | 1.047139 .0624943 0.77 0.440 .9315446 1.177077 lrself | 2.247975 .140084 13.00 0.000 1.989519 2.540005 cd1feel | 1.362966 .0547321 7.71 0.000 1.259806 1.474574 cd2feel | .6056335 .0259809 -11.69 0.000 .5567939 .6587571 attlab | .4871038 .0917821 -3.82 0.000 .3366934 .7047067 attnat | 1.511354 .1414873 4.41 0.000 1.257998 1.815736 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- grn | _Iretnat_1 | 1.495052 .348988 1.72 0.085 .9461528 2.362387 _Iretnat_3 | 1.201669 .2343324 0.94 0.346 .8199652 1.761059 age | 1.03499 .0065224 5.46 0.000 1.022285 1.047853 educat | 1.311981 .1028691 3.46 0.001 1.12509 1.529918 relig | .9650909 .0349157 -0.98 0.326 .8990273 1.036009 gender | .5330053 .0987078 -3.40 0.001 .3707631 .7662429 occupb1 | 1.270741 .3052746 1.00 0.319 .7935421 2.034906 rural | .9613043 .0554631 -0.68 0.494 .8585196 1.076395 lrself | .7986945 .0433244 -4.14 0.000 .7181384 .8882869 cd1feel | .9777469 .0344685 -0.64 0.523 .912471 1.047692 cd2feel | .8533048 .0360935 -3.75 0.000 .7854159 .9270618 attlab | .5073066 .0448611 -7.67 0.000 .4265782 .6033124 attnat | .8186201 .1723714 -0.95 0.342 .5418144 1.236842 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- unt | _Iretnat_1 | 1.818171 1.194245 0.91 0.363 .5018018 6.587749 _Iretnat_3 | 2.23488 1.354993 1.33 0.185 .6810458 7.333853 age | 1.016809 .0185568 0.91 0.361 .9810812 1.053838 educat | 1.383105 .3295318 1.36 0.173 .867066 2.206268 relig | 1.110108 .0929431 1.25 0.212 .9421038 1.308071 gender | .5033162 .2680328 -1.29 0.197 .1772342 1.429336 occupb1 | 4.402674 4.7322 1.38 0.168 .5355564 36.19327 rural | .8349258 .1312977 -1.15 0.251 .6134664 1.136331 lrself | 1.455559 .2368276 2.31 0.021 1.058119 2.002282 cd1feel | 1.441403 .1655419 3.18 0.001 1.150872 1.805278 cd2feel | .707185 .0818438 -2.99 0.003 .5636662 .8872462 attlab | .611509 .2387133 -1.26 0.208 .2845256 1.314269 attnat | 1.319664 .3214613 1.14 0.255 .818684 2.12721 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- fnz | _Iretnat_1 | .8293823 .4417623 -0.35 0.725 .2919918 2.355803 _Iretnat_3 | .8089455 .4154079 -0.41 0.680 .2956733 2.213229 age | 1.030574 .0160283 1.94 0.053 .9996332 1.062473 educat | .9662845 .1782887 -0.19 0.853 .6730545 1.387266 relig | 1.567459 .1030202 6.84 0.000 1.378007 1.782957 gender | 1.039882 .4673687 0.09 0.931 .4309401 2.509293 occupb1 | 1.320391 .8192861 0.45 0.654 .3913296 4.455151 rural | 1.076385 .1599737 0.50 0.620 .8043792 1.44037 lrself | 1.476716 .195497 2.94 0.003 1.139225 1.914188 cd1feel | 1.364213 .1239805 3.42 0.001 1.141628 1.630196 cd2feel | .6200071 .0559221 -5.30 0.000 .5195433 .7398976 attlab | .4402931 .2022146 -1.79 0.074 .1789815 1.083118 attnat | 1.102652 .2520174 0.43 0.669 .7045171 1.72578 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome postvote==lab is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [nat]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 2) [all]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 3) [nzf]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 4) [act]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 5) [grn]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 6) [unt]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 7) [fnz]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 8) [nat]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 9) [all]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 (10) [nzf]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 (11) [act]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 (12) [grn]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 (13) [unt]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 (14) [fnz]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 chi2( 14) = 24.05 Prob > chi2 = 0.0452 postvote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- lab | 1319 41.24 41.24 nat | 986 30.83 72.08 all | 250 7.82 79.89 nzf | 141 4.41 84.30 act | 281 8.79 93.09 grn | 176 5.50 98.59 unt | 17 0.53 99.12 fnz | 28 0.88 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 3198 100.00 > ... These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 . .4124453 .4126454 .413805 .4004834 2 .0021637 .3083177 .3074903 .2949494 .3219478 3 .0370499 .0781739 .0783445 .0864341 .0736484 4 .6249357 .0440901 .044506 .0473936 .0420458 5 .0266702 .0878674 .087622 .0852331 .0911505 7 .2157946 .0550344 .055272 .0556343 .0583913 9 .3998607 .0053158 .0053131 .0069878 .0045476 11 .8960265 .0087555 .0088066 .0095628 .0077851 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .4126454 .4208624 .0278615 .366344 .473936 2 .3074903 .3034405 .0240641 .2569892 .3498892 3 .0783445 .0753775 .0168463 .0468535 .1118226 4 .044506 .0444728 .0137202 .0237264 .0765146 5 .087622 .0826076 .0175628 .0529302 .1205975 7 .055272 .0541711 .0144662 .03135 .0872103 9 .0053131 .0080478 .0087713 .0009495 .0329488 11 .0088066 .0110202 .0083869 .0024182 .0327572 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .413805 .0005633 .0183406 -.0353762 .0369607 2 .2949494 -.0196389 .0196537 -.0617688 .0163669 3 .0864341 .0121731 .0103984 -.0069903 .0334479 4 .0473936 .0044735 .0090622 -.0139089 .0226769 5 .0852331 -.0022701 .0132216 -.0300268 .0238148 7 .0556343 -.0000815 .0093242 -.0185672 .0174171 9 .0069878 .0035635 .0087903 -.0077546 .0241663 11 .0095628 .0012171 .0067337 -.0114619 .0150748 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .4004834 -.0168741 .0228007 -.0626407 .0260438 2 .3219478 .0201243 .0158373 -.0084859 .0540716 3 .0736484 -.0052992 .014437 -.0336808 .0222363 4 .0420458 -.0036132 .0109797 -.0248413 .0194959 5 .0911505 .0039316 .0101039 -.0151267 .0253524 7 .0583913 .0054517 .0115766 -.0160212 .0294931 9 .0045476 -.001811 .0066465 -.0162068 .0086792 11 .0077851 -.0019101 .0058161 -.0141443 .0084583