The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 527 LR chi2(52) = 446.15 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -511.01271 Pseudo R2 = 0.3039 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | .3882657 .2577673 -1.43 0.154 .1056869 1.426385 _Iretnat_3 | .7746925 .4068577 -0.49 0.627 .2767516 2.168546 age | .9594944 .0165699 -2.39 0.017 .9275615 .9925267 male | .7359346 .3241268 -0.70 0.486 .310417 1.744749 income | .9863931 .228821 -0.06 0.953 .6260231 1.55421 edulevel | 1.238182 .2144268 1.23 0.217 .8818091 1.73858 relginx | .4250501 .1795108 -2.03 0.043 .1857606 .9725833 urban | 1.640937 .4752764 1.71 0.087 .9301487 2.894886 occupa2 | 1.086976 .6671774 0.14 0.892 .3264065 3.619769 occupa3 | 1.455075 1.03336 0.53 0.597 .3617282 5.853136 demsat | 2.166171 .71689 2.34 0.020 1.132372 4.143775 lrself | .3372944 .0555454 -6.60 0.000 .2442496 .4657837 eusup | 1.12049 .3112491 0.41 0.682 .6500725 1.931321 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pci | _Iretnat_1 | .8556843 .401686 -0.33 0.740 .3409823 2.147313 _Iretnat_3 | 1.191838 .4933864 0.42 0.672 .5294736 2.68281 age | .9880109 .0123186 -0.97 0.333 .9641595 1.012452 male | .998974 .3314578 -0.00 0.998 .5213471 1.914174 income | .9037309 .1560791 -0.59 0.558 .644217 1.267786 edulevel | .9149506 .1230627 -0.66 0.509 .7029256 1.190929 relginx | .4771948 .1295197 -2.73 0.006 .2803262 .8123213 urban | .8596712 .1759654 -0.74 0.460 .5755732 1.283997 occupa2 | .4842374 .2078399 -1.69 0.091 .2087918 1.123061 occupa3 | .6905837 .3424586 -0.75 0.455 .2612809 1.825261 demsat | 2.119509 .4742545 3.36 0.001 1.367015 3.286226 lrself | .2551061 .0324405 -10.74 0.000 .1988283 .3273132 eusup | .8754338 .1761371 -0.66 0.508 .5901492 1.298628 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- soc | _Iretnat_1 | 1.313472 .486694 0.74 0.462 .6353552 2.715345 _Iretnat_3 | 1.426555 .4775737 1.06 0.289 .7401644 2.749469 age | 1.011913 .0101959 1.18 0.240 .9921258 1.032096 male | 1.061889 .2855266 0.22 0.823 .6269078 1.798684 income | .8989952 .1272463 -0.75 0.452 .6812019 1.186421 edulevel | .9901968 .1063612 -0.09 0.927 .8022143 1.222229 relginx | .546694 .0990091 -3.33 0.001 .3833429 .7796528 urban | .9925071 .1649642 -0.05 0.964 .7165652 1.374711 occupa2 | .7698002 .2690983 -0.75 0.454 .3879934 1.527326 occupa3 | .4869467 .2025911 -1.73 0.084 .215449 1.100572 demsat | 1.411353 .246097 1.98 0.048 1.002795 1.986366 lrself | .5475936 .0510581 -6.46 0.000 .4561332 .6573931 eusup | 1.076217 .1910152 0.41 0.679 .7600151 1.523974 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pri_pli | _Iretnat_1 | 1.121488 .6467622 0.20 0.842 .3621652 3.472823 _Iretnat_3 | .7529486 .410453 -0.52 0.603 .2586735 2.191688 age | 1.038634 .0173811 2.27 0.024 1.005121 1.073266 male | .7243981 .3230623 -0.72 0.470 .3022484 1.736163 income | 1.773207 .4787558 2.12 0.034 1.044576 3.010087 edulevel | 1.695943 .2847537 3.15 0.002 1.220371 2.356842 relginx | .6164407 .1778038 -1.68 0.093 .3502467 1.084947 urban | 1.400286 .3982403 1.18 0.236 .8019284 2.445107 occupa2 | 3.503423 3.833569 1.15 0.252 .4102776 29.91626 occupa3 | 5.037981 5.807168 1.40 0.161 .5261329 48.24113 demsat | 1.609966 .4973358 1.54 0.123 .8787626 2.949593 lrself | 1.119869 .1531004 0.83 0.408 .8566377 1.463987 eusup | 1.963464 .7205822 1.84 0.066 .9563916 4.030974 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==dc is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [pci]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [soc]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [pri_pli]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [pci]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [soc]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [pri_pli]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 5.42 Prob > chi2 = 0.7123 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 35 6.64 6.64 pci | 132 25.05 31.69 soc | 123 23.34 55.03 pri_pli | 29 5.50 60.53 dc | 208 39.47 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 527 100.00 > .82 .83 .84 .85 .86 .87 .88 .89 .9 .9 .91 .92 .93 .94 .95 .96 .97 .98 .99 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .3469085 .0664137 .0642281 .0715278 .0674877 .0911126 .0658434 .0416854 10 .6875149 .2504744 .2322039 .2378309 .2253802 .2277637 .2377726 .2179237 20 .5666701 .2333966 .2393954 .2356293 .2258502 .1947933 .2492626 .2578163 40 .7308497 .0550285 .055981 .0505163 .0646843 .0618307 .04654 .0676297 60 . .3946869 .4081916 .4044958 .4165975 .4244998 .4005813 .4149449 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0642281 .0858198 .0447109 .0263111 .1968148 10 .2322039 .2441304 .0563961 .1450352 .3605258 20 .2393954 .2318643 .0702004 .1181096 .3898087 40 .055981 .0585301 .040244 .0129547 .1695223 60 .4081916 .3796556 .0695946 .2409372 .5132081 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0715278 .0058777 .0387867 -.0688862 .0850725 10 .2378309 .0224247 .0422948 -.0608696 .1096613 20 .2356293 -.0088503 .0569925 -.1175841 .1037187 40 .0505163 -.0156396 .0367199 -.1003267 .0519519 60 .4044958 -.0038125 .058002 -.1208625 .1199143 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0674877 .000621 .040455 -.0734135 .0903814 10 .2253802 -.0057077 .0441435 -.0985488 .0810893 20 .2258502 -.0206607 .0552747 -.1314651 .0945778 40 .0646843 .013659 .0310495 -.0385527 .0872372 60 .4165975 .0120884 .0511615 -.093147 .1226423 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0658434 -.0282305 .0331233 -.1099312 .0228575 10 .2377726 .0119349 .0398887 -.0672316 .09344 20 .2492626 .0470724 .0537675 -.062638 .1599432 40 .04654 -.0157829 .0291845 -.0896515 .0280469 60 .4005813 -.0149938 .0518536 -.1220399 .0967762 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0416854 -.053576 .0463213 -.1620032 .025692 10 .2179237 -.0107743 .0501506 -.1159473 .0881112 20 .2578163 .0533084 .062411 -.0666266 .1760993 40 .0676297 .0093043 .034107 -.0591781 .0838799 60 .4149449 .0017377 .0560956 -.1099704 .1209837 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0900917 .0450125 .0279633 .2016108 10 .257198 .0530675 .1611299 .3654801 20 .2413751 .0648989 .1311211 .3833459 40 .0596956 .0388548 .0144212 .1611092 60 .3881335 .0597947 .2721098 .5073632 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0027006 .0435707 -.0753914 .0961038 10 .0086298 .0429885 -.0714645 .0975291 20 -.0037232 .0504826 -.0992807 .0960448 40 -.0152373 .03982 -.1036616 .0636194 60 -.0022933 .0497602 -.0948909 .0962005 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 -.001163 .0471118 -.0912967 .0933787 10 -.0138128 .0439566 -.1036457 .0654413 20 -.0216248 .0503461 -.1215679 .0718842 40 .012319 .0321041 -.0472523 .0862483 60 .011972 .0463609 -.0805917 .0987529 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 -.0289234 .0412341 -.1210553 .0418091 10 .0194273 .0427749 -.0564978 .1081388 20 .0482302 .0494304 -.0386329 .1505537 40 -.0189307 .0316182 -.0922687 .0367597 60 -.0251583 .0461218 -.1101629 .0664542 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 -.0563424 .0478287 -.1718832 .0136835 10 .0011349 .0457897 -.0891859 .0893767 20 .0491064 .0532437 -.0491635 .1568143 40 .0036017 .0340325 -.066606 .0795166 60 -.0182427 .0493174 -.1164385 .0742225