The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 602 LR chi2(65) = 683.90 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -608.61086 Pseudo R2 = 0.3597 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | .725914 .4657719 -0.50 0.618 .206407 2.552971 _Iretnat_3 | 1.471996 1.061592 0.54 0.592 .3581183 6.050434 age | .9193381 .0184927 -4.18 0.000 .8837983 .956307 male | 1.440843 .6874017 0.77 0.444 .5656179 3.670375 income | 1.172175 .2724859 0.68 0.494 .7432256 1.848691 edulevel | 1.003305 .1788427 0.02 0.985 .7074621 1.422861 notrelig | 4.209422 1.403602 4.31 0.000 2.189753 8.091884 urban | .8720822 .2502334 -0.48 0.633 .4969531 1.53038 occupa2 | .7171258 .4609813 -0.52 0.605 .203436 2.527918 occupa3 | 1.221277 .8938427 0.27 0.785 .2909557 5.126272 demsat | 4.470022 1.535094 4.36 0.000 2.280291 8.762521 lrself | .2597264 .0422717 -8.28 0.000 .1887901 .3573165 eusup | .8576547 .2400359 -0.55 0.583 .4955444 1.484371 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pci | _Iretnat_1 | .2215674 .0997417 -3.35 0.001 .0916907 .5354099 _Iretnat_3 | .5697633 .286861 -1.12 0.264 .2123912 1.528454 age | .9735636 .0119825 -2.18 0.029 .9503593 .9973345 male | .904958 .3142448 -0.29 0.774 .458195 1.787337 income | .9880899 .1712622 -0.07 0.945 .7034944 1.387817 edulevel | .7599326 .1046929 -1.99 0.046 .5801073 .9955011 notrelig | 3.145653 .7205045 5.00 0.000 2.007914 4.928066 urban | 1.361441 .2974395 1.41 0.158 .8872239 2.089124 occupa2 | .4153427 .1891359 -1.93 0.054 .1701344 1.01396 occupa3 | .6123856 .2997583 -1.00 0.316 .2346216 1.598387 demsat | 2.153159 .4862297 3.40 0.001 1.383109 3.351936 lrself | .2635656 .0314836 -11.16 0.000 .2085502 .333094 eusup | .7852984 .1693901 -1.12 0.263 .5145518 1.198506 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- soc | _Iretnat_1 | 1.031897 .4191866 0.08 0.938 .4654294 2.287806 _Iretnat_3 | .5861571 .2871618 -1.09 0.276 .224391 1.531167 age | 1.000196 .0102167 0.02 0.985 .9803704 1.020422 male | 1.121295 .3257334 0.39 0.694 .6345242 1.98149 income | .827417 .1234526 -1.27 0.204 .6176225 1.108475 edulevel | .7516476 .089345 -2.40 0.016 .5954369 .9488395 notrelig | 2.269576 .4346026 4.28 0.000 1.559365 3.303254 urban | .9936019 .1818001 -0.04 0.972 .6941724 1.422189 occupa2 | 2.245747 .9606485 1.89 0.059 .9710638 5.193663 occupa3 | 1.429538 .6439199 0.79 0.428 .5912634 3.45629 demsat | 1.738452 .3191509 3.01 0.003 1.213099 2.491318 lrself | .4354414 .0418488 -8.65 0.000 .3606813 .5256975 eusup | .8750632 .1690145 -0.69 0.490 .5992854 1.277748 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pri_pli | _Iretnat_1 | .5297334 .2505512 -1.34 0.179 .2096328 1.338614 _Iretnat_3 | .612869 .3434811 -0.87 0.382 .2043213 1.838323 age | 1.006526 .0124539 0.53 0.599 .9824108 1.031234 male | 1.253255 .4589538 0.62 0.538 .6113943 2.568961 income | 1.586637 .3084283 2.37 0.018 1.083956 2.322436 edulevel | 1.034599 .143701 0.24 0.807 .788033 1.358314 notrelig | 1.908115 .4673848 2.64 0.008 1.18061 3.083918 urban | 1.551145 .356352 1.91 0.056 .9887843 2.433341 occupa2 | 1.288149 .7470175 0.44 0.662 .4133723 4.014126 occupa3 | 2.01459 1.251173 1.13 0.259 .5964073 6.805033 demsat | 1.447266 .3401268 1.57 0.116 .9130708 2.293992 lrself | .8338444 .0864051 -1.75 0.080 .6805834 1.021618 eusup | .6967279 .1627238 -1.55 0.122 .4408202 1.101197 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exright | _Iretnat_1 | 2.388382 2.303436 0.90 0.367 .3607251 15.81362 _Iretnat_3 | 2.730077 3.004374 0.91 0.361 .3158285 23.59927 age | .9893569 .0195317 -0.54 0.588 .9518066 1.028389 male | 2.251178 1.527143 1.20 0.232 .595629 8.50832 income | 1.487167 .4154453 1.42 0.155 .8601489 2.57126 edulevel | 1.981056 .4883851 2.77 0.006 1.221946 3.211748 notrelig | 2.473115 .9674445 2.31 0.021 1.148861 5.323794 urban | .879551 .3276144 -0.34 0.730 .4238441 1.825223 occupa2 | .7809985 .6459877 -0.30 0.765 .1543816 3.950981 occupa3 | 2.387495 2.146355 0.97 0.333 .4099335 13.90502 demsat | 3.175147 1.282698 2.86 0.004 1.438451 7.008624 lrself | 3.499162 .8861365 4.95 0.000 2.130118 5.748102 eusup | .5960671 .2115659 -1.46 0.145 .2972848 1.195137 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==dc is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [pci]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [soc]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [pri_pli]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [exright]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 6) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [pci]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [soc]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 9) [pri_pli]_Iretnat_3 = 0 (10) [exright]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 10) = 33.15 Prob > chi2 = 0.0003 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 41 6.81 6.81 pci | 144 23.92 30.73 soc | 140 23.26 53.99 pri_pli | 47 7.81 61.79 dc | 200 33.22 95.02 exright | 30 4.98 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 602 100.00 > .9 .91 .92 .93 .93 .94 .95 .96 .97 .97 .98 .99 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .431169 .0681063 .0702344 .066743 .0669499 .0469766 .0915703 .0727597 10 .0013885 .2392027 .23961 .3266492 .2181574 .3497214 .2951102 .1729579 20 .3060951 .2325581 .2373121 .1684961 .2653657 .1804905 .1489562 .2947527 40 .4049687 .0780731 .0817481 .0985336 .0828654 .1076215 .0821347 .0756696 60 . .3322259 .3278196 .3045698 .3270738 .2893243 .3350952 .3393664 80 .628831 .0498339 .0432758 .0350083 .0395878 .0258656 .0471334 .0444937 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0702344 .0719943 .0356731 .022313 .1594573 10 .23961 .249086 .058033 .1440901 .3667294 20 .2373121 .2133274 .0624628 .112597 .3531535 40 .0817481 .0850132 .0454268 .0260698 .2017343 60 .3278196 .3183251 .0654486 .1992225 .4503381 80 .0432758 .062254 .0264643 .0197193 .1156941 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .066743 -.0013536 .0283743 -.0556182 .0567149 10 .3266492 .1168336 .0540738 .0199345 .2253464 20 .1684961 -.0854644 .0487316 -.1917376 .0081064 40 .0985336 .0175207 .04336 -.0688752 .1098568 60 .3045698 -.0410568 .0543404 -.1574663 .0636368 80 .0350083 -.0064795 .0241631 -.0541895 .0412826 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0669499 -.003018 .0306475 -.0682205 .05274 10 .2181574 -.0513458 .0479722 -.1388504 .0477444 20 .2653657 .0587182 .0460266 -.0306428 .1604328 40 .0828654 .0014753 .0377565 -.0742473 .0815669 60 .3270738 .0026487 .0567382 -.1108636 .1142934 80 .0395878 -.0084785 .032962 -.0657992 .0605202 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0915703 .0430234 .0321805 -.0084282 .1180207 10 .2951102 -.0552271 .0535529 -.1703986 .0415144 20 .1489562 -.0273844 .0460782 -.1318832 .0637171 40 .0821347 -.0251075 .042997 -.1262706 .0511893 60 .3350952 .0399307 .0594732 -.0763648 .1598144 80 .0471334 .0247649 .0285209 -.0231562 .0830638 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0727597 .0264124 .025856 -.02285 .0808414 10 .1729579 -.1752426 .0522931 -.2815055 -.0835628 20 .2947527 .1081313 .0508928 .0104726 .2170006 40 .0756696 -.0305556 .0417833 -.1264697 .0455081 60 .3393664 .0499873 .0548331 -.0551599 .1684167 80 .0444937 .0212672 .0260125 -.0276141 .0779372 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0728614 .0368751 .0233937 .165812 10 .2524718 .052282 .1564945 .3625061 20 .2165196 .055971 .1207676 .3415525 40 .0922525 .0466147 .0289406 .2097129 60 .3431056 .0579387 .2316653 .4599892 80 .0646133 .0286801 .0196225 .1254147 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 -.0056767 .0297491 -.0689501 .0565761 10 .1167199 .0529374 .0217428 .2316645 20 -.0988238 .0446945 -.1908776 -.0104563 40 .0028816 .0427871 -.0717849 .1018268 60 -.0401024 .0480353 -.1330888 .0602691 80 -.0063105 .0269033 -.06101 .0526063 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 -.0046894 .0321822 -.0745969 .0571217 10 -.0482384 .0471037 -.142468 .0454704 20 .0666821 .0457573 -.0217294 .1658133 40 .0038802 .0406081 -.0774841 .0841342 60 .0037615 .0453654 -.0861984 .0969905 80 -.0073632 .0332814 -.068559 .0660368 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .044129 .0346662 -.019484 .1229131 10 -.0473732 .0511035 -.1555545 .0513456 20 -.0234417 .0442868 -.1269916 .05739 40 -.0152051 .0457043 -.12405 .0626836 60 .0412317 .0518387 -.0731775 .1413699 80 .0225034 .0305957 -.0431608 .0847642 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0300722 .0269521 -.0250569 .0895187 10 -.1677251 .0524287 -.284288 -.0776762 20 .1272819 .0461234 .0328699 .2185818 40 -.0088928 .0398221 -.1096936 .0525251 60 .0637529 .0457451 -.0332051 .1490971 80 .0209802 .0272118 -.0349838 .0770808