The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 1405 LR chi2(38) = 669.97 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -1039.1738 Pseudo R2 = 0.2438 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ prevote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- sdp-lib | _Iretnat_1 | .6228249 .1225699 -2.41 0.016 .4234989 .9159665 _Iretnat_3 | 1.405989 .3066882 1.56 0.118 .9168732 2.156028 class | .8394383 .0576595 -2.55 0.011 .7337047 .960409 white | .9476745 .3407864 -0.15 0.881 .4683438 1.917581 own | 1.360638 .290381 1.44 0.149 .8955367 2.067293 age | 1.004927 .0050035 0.99 0.324 .9951682 1.014782 male | .9825966 .163431 -0.11 0.916 .7092489 1.361294 educat | 1.024037 .0177953 1.37 0.172 .9897457 1.059515 stheast | 1.442782 .5810064 0.91 0.363 .6552738 3.176716 sthwest | 1.496095 .6644377 0.91 0.364 .62651 3.572648 midlands | 1.148969 .4823193 0.33 0.741 .5046464 2.61595 north | .7356987 .3015678 -0.75 0.454 .3294479 1.642908 wales | .9034843 .3925511 -0.23 0.815 .3855544 2.117169 scotland | .5569621 .2343902 -1.39 0.164 .244123 1.270699 private | .7850687 .1422417 -1.34 0.182 .5504067 1.119777 selfLR | 1.048056 .0465347 1.06 0.290 .9607051 1.143348 dstaxLAB | 1.405369 .0740748 6.46 0.000 1.267433 1.558317 dstaxCON | .9148803 .037333 -2.18 0.029 .8445586 .9910573 dstaxLIB | .8122668 .0489417 -3.45 0.001 .7217903 .9140846 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cons | _Iretnat_1 | .3625636 .0698431 -5.27 0.000 .2485487 .5288796 _Iretnat_3 | 2.04295 .3885753 3.76 0.000 1.407203 2.965916 class | .690259 .0452127 -5.66 0.000 .6070962 .7848138 white | 3.636504 1.785974 2.63 0.009 1.388797 9.52203 own | 2.010602 .4241982 3.31 0.001 1.329655 3.040277 age | 1.015077 .0047248 3.21 0.001 1.005859 1.02438 male | .9480133 .1498914 -0.34 0.736 .6953925 1.292406 educat | 1.00029 .0217836 0.01 0.989 .9584932 1.043909 stheast | .9321397 .4167571 -0.16 0.875 .388071 2.238983 sthwest | .9330799 .4626388 -0.14 0.889 .3530831 2.465817 midlands | .8426635 .3861139 -0.37 0.709 .3432639 2.068618 north | .5842343 .2602785 -1.21 0.228 .2439909 1.398944 wales | 1.299885 .6047439 0.56 0.573 .5222774 3.235254 scotland | .7071218 .3192381 -0.77 0.443 .2918836 1.713084 private | .956108 .1592234 -0.27 0.788 .6898488 1.325135 selfLR | 1.335508 .0574282 6.73 0.000 1.227564 1.452945 dstaxLAB | 1.650508 .0867191 9.54 0.000 1.489001 1.829534 dstaxCON | .5206482 .028847 -11.78 0.000 .4670708 .5803715 dstaxLIB | 1.123752 .0667988 1.96 0.050 1.000167 1.262607 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome prevote==labour is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [sdp-lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 2) [cons]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 3) [sdp-lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 4) [cons]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 chi2( 4) = 82.36 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 prevote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- labour | 766 54.52 54.52 sdp-lib | 212 15.09 69.61 cons | 427 30.39 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 1405 100.00 > .96 .96 .96 .97 .97 .98 .98 .98 .99 .99 .99 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 . .5451957 .5441901 .4597431 .6201795 .5256676 .4200088 .6656757 40 .000268 .1508897 .1498437 .1631576 .1432974 .1603534 .1685218 .138564 60 3.95e-18 .3039146 .3059662 .3770993 .2365232 .3139791 .4114693 .1957603 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .5441901 .5563382 .04971 .4602242 .649053 40 .1498437 .144353 .0416549 .0782356 .2345005 60 .3059662 .2993089 .04403 .2209412 .3872583 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .4597431 -.1158422 .0329191 -.1806414 -.0531094 40 .1631576 .0175876 .0263325 -.0298641 .0729049 60 .3770993 .0982546 .030146 .0430334 .1592428 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .6201795 .1262164 .0349898 .0590845 .1936362 40 .1432974 -.0059704 .0291271 -.064086 .0474145 60 .2365232 -.120246 .0361451 -.1914511 -.0519118 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .4200088 -.1063457 .0361076 -.1754006 -.0349918 40 .1685218 .0110437 .0320087 -.0472698 .0739109 60 .4114693 .095302 .0346075 .0273876 .1640945 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .6656757 .1356045 .0335589 .0736842 .2017837 40 .138564 -.0177657 .0256362 -.0738701 .02752 60 .1957603 -.1178388 .0307609 -.1791409 -.0637131 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .5583056 .045498 .4726936 .6452198 40 .1450251 .0382788 .0823173 .2269705 60 .3004935 .0416949 .2244129 .38199 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.1179146 .0306105 -.1843962 -.0674004 40 .0157621 .0228621 -.0222991 .0656458 60 .0975194 .0278421 .0526627 .1585269 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .1209252 .0308817 .0702098 .1878848 40 -.0129212 .0229355 -.0619639 .0255476 60 -.1205442 .0324301 -.1899093 -.0677003 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.0993297 .0278314 -.1593473 -.0542238 40 .0015744 .0214066 -.0359679 .0445928 60 .0919424 .0264274 .0496558 .1481982 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .139832 .0340413 .0833183 .2142018 40 -.024952 .0247201 -.0810631 .0149764 60 -.1194717 .032473 -.1904039 -.0662868