The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 1769 LR chi2(36) = 1289.37 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -1097.539 Pseudo R2 = 0.3700 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ postvote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- sdp-lib | _Iretnat_1 | 1.42261 .2412413 2.08 0.038 1.020334 1.983489 _Iretnat_3 | .9426039 .179636 -0.31 0.756 .648802 1.36945 working | .5971996 .097453 -3.16 0.002 .4337281 .8222832 white | 6.182284 3.971835 2.84 0.005 1.755056 21.77745 own | 2.027681 .3608338 3.97 0.000 1.430622 2.873917 age | 1.002821 .0048476 0.58 0.560 .9933643 1.012367 male | .7868502 .1171813 -1.61 0.107 .5876615 1.053554 educat | 1.075539 .0308635 2.54 0.011 1.016718 1.137764 stheast | 1.386515 .4067662 1.11 0.265 .7801983 2.46402 sthwest | 3.42139 1.170188 3.60 0.000 1.750142 6.688545 midlands | .7498195 .2126271 -1.02 0.310 .4301111 1.307172 north | .487676 .1415957 -2.47 0.013 .2760493 .8615411 wales | .4102641 .1767452 -2.07 0.039 .1763432 .9544832 scotland | .6084692 .1744375 -1.73 0.083 .3469077 1.067243 private | .9833133 .1563516 -0.11 0.916 .7200236 1.34288 mpolLAB | 1.346965 .0434509 9.23 0.000 1.26444 1.434877 mpolCON | .961704 .0154632 -2.43 0.015 .9318694 .9924939 mpolLIB | .7554123 .0277762 -7.63 0.000 .7028874 .8118622 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cons | _Iretnat_1 | 1.913227 .3555349 3.49 0.000 1.329193 2.753882 _Iretnat_3 | .4613932 .1187657 -3.00 0.003 .2785904 .7641457 working | .4042596 .0744319 -4.92 0.000 .281798 .5799396 white | 3.147067 1.877482 1.92 0.055 .9774507 10.13251 own | 2.744568 .5813386 4.77 0.000 1.81208 4.15691 age | 1.011459 .0055358 2.08 0.037 1.000668 1.022368 male | .6501844 .1124308 -2.49 0.013 .4632822 .9124886 educat | 1.012309 .0394304 0.31 0.753 .937903 1.092618 stheast | 2.16788 .7692039 2.18 0.029 1.081467 4.345676 sthwest | 2.304389 1.011598 1.90 0.057 .9747408 5.447817 midlands | 1.759847 .5964328 1.67 0.095 .905717 3.419457 north | .7293041 .2538943 -0.91 0.365 .3686192 1.44291 wales | .3090719 .1654713 -2.19 0.028 .1082287 .8826261 scotland | .4689253 .1710178 -2.08 0.038 .22944 .9583812 private | .9327003 .175178 -0.37 0.711 .6454626 1.347762 mpolLAB | 1.473666 .0547062 10.45 0.000 1.370252 1.584885 mpolCON | .687768 .0161152 -15.97 0.000 .6568971 .7200898 mpolLIB | 1.029114 .0430904 0.69 0.493 .9480306 1.117131 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome postvote==labour is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [sdp-lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 2) [cons]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 3) [sdp-lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 4) [cons]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 chi2( 4) = 32.66 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 postvote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- labour | 987 55.79 55.79 sdp-lib | 317 17.92 73.71 cons | 465 26.29 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 1769 100.00 > .99 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 . .5579423 .5697462 .6152471 .5299214 .5873549 .6362875 .5146692 40 .0544996 .1791973 .1767985 .1780485 .1831748 .1688252 .1861385 .18823 60 1.08e-07 .2628604 .2534553 .2067044 .2869038 .24382 .177574 .2971009 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .5697462 .5537246 .0408584 .4734996 .6292967 40 .1767985 .1846146 .0374902 .120879 .2641334 60 .2534553 .2616609 .0297363 .2073087 .3208586 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .6152471 .0536357 .0260578 .0065195 .1059275 40 .1780485 .0038887 .0231796 -.0398296 .0483835 60 .2067044 -.0575244 .0209566 -.10043 -.0213014 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .5299214 -.0589391 .0254177 -.1099208 -.0117243 40 .1831748 .0119957 .0205722 -.0270313 .0515152 60 .2869038 .0469433 .017716 .0164425 .0841525 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .6362875 .0416227 .0268733 -.004408 .0957553 40 .1861385 .0219018 .024636 -.0250453 .0684617 60 .177574 -.0635245 .0213766 -.1068955 -.0261109 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .5146692 -.0709047 .0254396 -.1214159 -.0218831 40 .18823 .0217318 .0204705 -.0178204 .060607 60 .2971009 .0491729 .0194027 .0157473 .0897937 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .5529631 .0375003 .4792255 .6231946 40 .1869561 .0359638 .1252539 .2627341 60 .2649529 .0300058 .210773 .3257348 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0555856 .0269488 .0093261 .1106757 40 -.0042474 .0255181 -.0552474 .0429319 60 -.0601133 .0236945 -.1100003 -.0198326 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.063535 .025695 -.1168149 -.0186366 40 .0072411 .022787 -.0351146 .0536024 60 .0486651 .0193915 .0160482 .0900346 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0354091 .0280097 -.0116936 .0913478 40 .0040623 .0260328 -.0464591 .0519004 60 -.0632074 .0252729 -.1155324 -.0214056 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.0800579 .0256513 -.1342329 -.0347279 40 .0132311 .0227496 -.0291167 .0607972 60 .0523003 .0205827 .0168281 .0966546