The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 2248 LR chi2(34) = 1769.89 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -1431.7163 Pseudo R2 = 0.3820 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ postvote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- labour | _Iretnat_1 | .3870621 .0992936 -3.70 0.000 .2341104 .639942 _Iretnat_3 | .675707 .1049366 -2.52 0.012 .4983882 .9161132 working | 1.621329 .1316454 5.95 0.000 1.382793 1.901014 ethnic3 | .200082 .0843407 -3.82 0.000 .0875791 .4571046 age | .9875341 .0044673 -2.77 0.006 .978817 .9963287 male | 1.411043 .2036918 2.39 0.017 1.063322 1.872474 own | .3174357 .0538696 -6.76 0.000 .2276171 .4426971 private | .6554594 .1005452 -2.75 0.006 .4852599 .8853545 educat | .8928772 .0303673 -3.33 0.001 .8352988 .9544247 stheast | 1.090987 .3479141 0.27 0.785 .5839464 2.038293 sthwest | .995628 .3687621 -0.01 0.991 .4817569 2.057625 midlands | 1.511216 .4520387 1.38 0.167 .8408398 2.716065 north | 3.442901 1.010104 4.21 0.000 1.937282 6.11866 wales | 7.14265 3.187469 4.41 0.000 2.978539 17.12834 scotland | 2.488288 .7347642 3.09 0.002 1.394923 4.438653 distCON | 7.079159 .713066 19.43 0.000 5.810884 8.624244 distLAB | .1946495 .0191122 -16.67 0.000 .1605742 .2359558 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- sdp-lib | _Iretnat_1 | .4337684 .1048083 -3.46 0.001 .2701396 .6965103 _Iretnat_3 | .553397 .0860201 -3.81 0.000 .4080617 .7504949 working | 1.125909 .0862234 1.55 0.121 .968986 1.308246 ethnic3 | 4.078129 3.218224 1.78 0.075 .868444 19.1505 age | .9945052 .0043426 -1.26 0.207 .9860301 1.003053 male | 1.354505 .1932244 2.13 0.033 1.024128 1.791461 own | .5888973 .1066018 -2.93 0.003 .4130053 .8396987 private | .8226176 .1252249 -1.28 0.200 .6104103 1.108598 educat | 1.067558 .0287669 2.43 0.015 1.012639 1.125455 stheast | 2.041669 .6173379 2.36 0.018 1.128777 3.692857 sthwest | 1.855083 .6276835 1.83 0.068 .9557667 3.6006 midlands | 1.18021 .3631684 0.54 0.590 .6457016 2.157182 north | 2.351031 .7070844 2.84 0.004 1.303933 4.238981 wales | 1.769068 .9047949 1.12 0.265 .649225 4.820521 scotland | 1.740096 .5328127 1.81 0.070 .9548554 3.171092 distCON | 4.247173 .417214 14.72 0.000 3.50335 5.148922 distLAB | .5185101 .0439454 -7.75 0.000 .4391523 .6122084 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome postvote==cons is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [labour]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 2) [sdp-lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 3) [labour]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 4) [sdp-lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 chi2( 4) = 27.72 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 postvote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- labour | 887 39.46 39.46 sdp-lib | 383 17.04 56.49 cons | 978 43.51 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 2248 100.00 > .96 .97 .97 .97 .97 .98 .98 .98 .98 .98 .99 .99 .99 .99 1 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0002751 .394573 .4091959 .4112091 .3773656 .4237809 .4118691 .3572374 40 .0000254 .1703737 .1726415 .1532571 .1671759 .1963363 .1468404 .1501381 60 . .4350534 .4181626 .4355339 .4554585 .3798828 .4412906 .4926246 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .4091959 .3963993 .0310671 .3338301 .4588448 40 .1726415 .1771546 .0327714 .119485 .2516815 60 .4181626 .4264461 .0297303 .3658939 .4851957 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .4112091 .0020146 .0196411 -.0386584 .0431204 40 .1532571 -.0319224 .0223295 -.0810108 .0101319 60 .4355339 .0299078 .0190276 -.004268 .0709816 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .3773656 -.0277017 .0270178 -.0845687 .0247625 40 .1671759 -.0086297 .0290322 -.0589069 .0585424 60 .4554585 .0363314 .0259551 -.0159242 .086256 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .4118691 -.0105563 .0182306 -.0486587 .0276736 40 .1468404 -.0507282 .0207667 -.097346 -.0130316 60 .4412906 .0612846 .0185348 .0289884 .1016041 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .3572374 -.0555837 .0295098 -.1168334 .0012712 40 .1501381 -.0499597 .0317971 -.1066869 .0225057 60 .4926246 .1055434 .0302909 .0452499 .1652634 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .4008051 .0303454 .3421737 .4634412 40 .1771816 .0323117 .1202862 .2500197 60 .4256486 .0293922 .3675529 .4853048 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.0062445 .0175668 -.0426981 .0276813 40 -.0378663 .0201403 -.0796258 .000527 60 .0272846 .0170621 -.0070411 .061598 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.0485898 .0270727 -.0999077 .0023165 40 -.0374502 .0252356 -.0867111 .0110479 60 .0358392 .0239517 -.00689 .0864154 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.0163527 .0160488 -.0506256 .0147246 40 -.0575623 .0182467 -.0972122 -.0236976 60 .0576228 .0163905 .0248074 .0919666 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.0797431 .0309027 -.1380182 -.0237283 40 -.0871789 .0285851 -.1445852 -.0350782 60 .1033626 .0282951 .0555359 .1634658