The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 1172 LR chi2(36) = 644.25 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -856.75003 Pseudo R2 = 0.2732 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ postvote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- labour | _Iretnat_1 | 1.76781 .4168841 2.42 0.016 1.11354 2.806503 _Iretnat_3 | .3961251 .0804567 -4.56 0.000 .266039 .5898197 working | 3.088102 .6040003 5.76 0.000 2.104774 4.530829 white | .3800498 .2417058 -1.52 0.128 .1092671 1.321878 age | .9975651 .0055199 -0.44 0.660 .9868047 1.008443 male | .8175639 .1429466 -1.15 0.249 .580355 1.151727 own | .4760419 .0846164 -4.18 0.000 .3360038 .6744445 educat | .9537762 .0242149 -1.86 0.062 .9074774 1.002437 stheast | .5262788 .1775526 -1.90 0.057 .2716708 1.019504 sthwest | .694021 .2813187 -0.90 0.368 .313575 1.536045 midlands | 1.078393 .3587059 0.23 0.821 .5618781 2.069723 north | .9630026 .3045358 -0.12 0.905 .5181401 1.789813 wales | 3.443081 1.672278 2.55 0.011 1.329001 8.920089 scotland | 1.504913 .6415892 0.96 0.338 .6525577 3.470595 dssocCON | 1.745935 .1845739 5.27 0.000 1.419195 2.1479 dssocLAB | .4857835 .0472033 -7.43 0.000 .401543 .5876971 dstaxCON | 1.35866 .0660093 6.31 0.000 1.235252 1.494395 dstaxLAB | .7965643 .0449846 -4.03 0.000 .7131004 .8897971 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- sdp-lib | _Iretnat_1 | 1.135612 .3071323 0.47 0.638 .6683712 1.929487 _Iretnat_3 | .7021557 .1564159 -1.59 0.112 .4537486 1.086555 working | 1.570187 .3175568 2.23 0.026 1.056339 2.333993 white | 2.583014 2.869724 0.85 0.393 .292714 22.79345 age | .9866753 .0060874 -2.17 0.030 .9748161 .9986788 male | 1.109519 .2126063 0.54 0.588 .7621271 1.615259 own | 1.100033 .2299267 0.46 0.648 .7302795 1.656998 educat | 1.004887 .023145 0.21 0.832 .9605324 1.05129 stheast | 1.039166 .3926427 0.10 0.919 .4955226 2.179246 sthwest | 1.79278 .7672857 1.36 0.173 .7748616 4.147914 midlands | 1.198642 .4632407 0.47 0.639 .5619848 2.556551 north | 1.189307 .440592 0.47 0.640 .5753827 2.458278 wales | 2.784185 1.577738 1.81 0.071 .9169389 8.453877 scotland | .7525662 .4290733 -0.50 0.618 .2461698 2.300671 dssocCON | 1.58196 .1873631 3.87 0.000 1.254242 1.995306 dssocLAB | .9123178 .0936711 -0.89 0.371 .7460193 1.115687 dstaxCON | 1.313668 .0723937 4.95 0.000 1.179173 1.463503 dstaxLAB | .9548653 .0568113 -0.78 0.438 .8497642 1.072966 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome postvote==cons is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [labour]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 2) [sdp-lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 3) [labour]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 4) [sdp-lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 chi2( 4) = 50.09 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 postvote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- labour | 461 39.33 39.33 sdp-lib | 172 14.68 54.01 cons | 539 45.99 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 1172 100.00 > .97 .98 .98 .99 .99 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 2.31e-11 .3933447 .3961095 .3401547 .4751345 .4317004 .310874 .5146045 40 .096096 .1467577 .1466689 .1546547 .1410613 .152454 .1580316 .1341646 60 . .4598976 .4572215 .5051906 .3838042 .4158456 .5310943 .3512308 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .3961095 .3845022 .0491554 .2931604 .4785708 40 .1466689 .1576827 .0473098 .0837323 .2626373 60 .4572215 .4578151 .052429 .3584065 .5584309 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .3401547 -.1078955 .0340833 -.1744821 -.0407418 40 .1546547 .0125418 .0301256 -.0433265 .0714196 60 .5051906 .0953537 .0376439 .0246462 .1722102 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .4751345 .1024332 .0328951 .0391371 .1678874 40 .1410613 -.0076046 .0289696 -.0634245 .0467725 60 .3838042 -.0948286 .0374712 -.1719253 -.0244218 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .310874 -.1206158 .0332336 -.1840347 -.0567587 40 .1580316 .0023555 .0286551 -.0506951 .0578024 60 .5310943 .1182603 .038584 .0474945 .19758 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .5146045 .0781305 .0327985 .0136368 .1464456 40 .1341646 -.0203174 .031094 -.08048 .0385425 60 .3512308 -.0578131 .0361274 -.1311402 .0121226 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .3857836 .0475406 .2969427 .4783436 40 .1577303 .0452026 .0866252 .2585695 60 .4618889 .0502345 .3688169 .5591371 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.109866 .0339063 -.180331 -.0491387 40 .0103734 .0284664 -.0461253 .0679017 60 .0915313 .0336102 .0259286 .1587537 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .105598 .0331541 .0474662 .1741369 40 -.0077848 .0272907 -.062836 .0461061 60 -.0926417 .0336927 -.1608494 -.0277504 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.1236622 .033057 -.1903467 -.0630409 40 -.0003928 .027034 -.0525836 .0532852 60 .1110501 .0333026 .0522699 .1798338 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0809728 .0334939 .0257419 .1534205 40 -.0225565 .0291495 -.0821175 .0371544 60 -.0628717 .0340612 -.1279161 .0119187