The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 436 LR chi2(52) = 404.56 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -464.48802 Pseudo R2 = 0.3034 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- prd | _Iretnat_1 | 2.492031 1.15685 1.97 0.049 1.003249 6.190106 _Iretnat_3 | 1.476085 .5776979 0.99 0.320 .6854492 3.178686 age | .9804887 .011644 -1.66 0.097 .9579305 1.003578 male | 1.384702 .4699043 0.96 0.337 .7120287 2.692868 income | .6719597 .1430179 -1.87 0.062 .4427678 1.019789 edulevel | .9861983 .1250389 -0.11 0.913 .7692038 1.264408 relig | .9035026 .0706603 -1.30 0.194 .7751029 1.053172 urban | .8998627 .2057287 -0.46 0.644 .5748739 1.408575 occupa2 | .7673277 .3214975 -0.63 0.527 .3375527 1.744296 occupa3 | .6042936 .3026964 -1.01 0.315 .2263983 1.612957 demsat | 1.174096 .2743534 0.69 0.492 .7426795 1.856118 lrself | .4948856 .0566101 -6.15 0.000 .3954902 .6192614 eusup | .7717455 .1318847 -1.52 0.129 .5520915 1.078791 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | 1.692008 1.098302 0.81 0.418 .4741083 6.038476 _Iretnat_3 | 1.250794 .6332461 0.44 0.658 .4637066 3.373868 age | .9501901 .0150526 -3.23 0.001 .9211408 .9801555 male | 2.464079 1.087244 2.04 0.041 1.037702 5.851089 income | .7947225 .2172738 -0.84 0.401 .465051 1.358096 edulevel | .6817663 .1270384 -2.06 0.040 .4731785 .9823042 relig | .8890104 .0813583 -1.29 0.199 .743034 1.063665 urban | 1.590112 .4727712 1.56 0.119 .8878695 2.84778 occupa2 | .4654237 .2482377 -1.43 0.152 .1636262 1.323866 occupa3 | .5689904 .3521712 -0.91 0.362 .169146 1.914027 demsat | 1.133085 .3359114 0.42 0.673 .6337495 2.025851 lrself | .2051997 .0339741 -9.57 0.000 .1483361 .2838616 eusup | .5102222 .1089901 -3.15 0.002 .3356847 .7755094 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- psp | _Iretnat_1 | 2.924572 1.188395 2.64 0.008 1.318797 6.485547 _Iretnat_3 | .80782 .3007675 -0.57 0.567 .3893994 1.675845 age | .9820838 .0106229 -1.67 0.095 .9614825 1.003127 male | 1.958896 .6249557 2.11 0.035 1.04821 3.660784 income | .9136823 .1811095 -0.46 0.649 .6195418 1.347472 edulevel | .9044213 .1075266 -0.84 0.398 .7164262 1.141748 relig | 1.044603 .0832304 0.55 0.584 .8935736 1.221159 urban | 1.193003 .2527211 0.83 0.405 .7876379 1.806995 occupa2 | .5178168 .2083407 -1.64 0.102 .2353423 1.139337 occupa3 | 1.068731 .4705285 0.15 0.880 .4509326 2.532944 demsat | .8899177 .1969491 -0.53 0.598 .5767254 1.37319 lrself | .4313191 .0480942 -7.54 0.000 .3466456 .5366756 eusup | 1.110496 .1833543 0.63 0.526 .8034792 1.534826 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- christ | _Iretnat_1 | .6474 .3667493 -0.77 0.443 .21329 1.965055 _Iretnat_3 | .330007 .1762269 -2.08 0.038 .1158706 .9398813 age | 1.008526 .0159842 0.54 0.592 .9776788 1.040346 male | 1.5725 .735416 0.97 0.333 .6287912 3.932554 income | 1.484637 .4344067 1.35 0.177 .8366767 2.634408 edulevel | .6322957 .1287732 -2.25 0.024 .4241942 .9424878 relig | 1.038058 .1217423 0.32 0.750 .824885 1.306319 urban | 1.604391 .4894094 1.55 0.121 .8823814 2.917184 occupa2 | 1.133187 .6364512 0.22 0.824 .3769006 3.407034 occupa3 | .9185181 .566319 -0.14 0.890 .27433 3.075404 demsat | .6517069 .2192431 -1.27 0.203 .3370517 1.260109 lrself | 1.7066 .2578814 3.54 0.000 1.269136 2.294855 eusup | .8501082 .2071728 -0.67 0.505 .5272723 1.370609 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==psd is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [prd]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [psp]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [christ]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [prd]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [psp]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [christ]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 19.58 Prob > chi2 = 0.0121 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- prd | 78 17.89 17.89 exleft | 83 19.04 36.93 psp | 113 25.92 62.84 psd | 129 29.59 92.43 christ | 33 7.57 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 436 100.00 > 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .1440128 .1788991 .1911699 .2044435 .1774186 .1551052 .2179456 .2008161 10 .718441 .190367 .1870599 .1956245 .1728136 .1826136 .1976184 .1548074 20 .0045239 .2591743 .2505179 .2094487 .3161913 .2491859 .199962 .3688068 30 . .2958716 .2944071 .3272896 .2498636 .3016881 .335643 .2111112 60 .1147185 .0756881 .0768452 .0631937 .0837129 .1114073 .048831 .0644585 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .1911699 .1512488 .0676059 .0577852 .3070113 10 .1870599 .2148438 .0557649 .1183073 .3248848 20 .2505179 .2688426 .07711 .1432321 .4293035 30 .2944071 .2812847 .0681647 .1593994 .4135544 60 .0768452 .0837801 .0460837 .0254721 .1929223 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .2044435 .0105746 .0485395 -.0816234 .1018484 10 .1956245 .0193181 .0355922 -.0518003 .0916607 20 .2094487 -.0753881 .0629112 -.2001495 .0458522 30 .3272896 .0654508 .0634302 -.0496786 .1903208 60 .0631937 -.0199555 .0539521 -.1259011 .0715012 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .1774186 -.0078282 .0533235 -.1089934 .0965622 10 .1728136 -.0172323 .040441 -.1024953 .0653349 20 .3161913 .070883 .0593854 -.0392058 .1921449 30 .2498636 -.0504928 .0571356 -.161928 .052575 60 .0837129 .0046703 .0443111 -.0718459 .0916563 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .2179456 .0525505 .0475624 -.0251502 .158289 10 .1976184 .0168202 .0379853 -.0564959 .0977522 20 .199962 -.0471897 .0589954 -.1666011 .0651914 30 .335643 .0402203 .0566957 -.0604246 .1518288 60 .048831 -.0624012 .0449774 -.1606894 -.0000142 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .2008161 .0468006 .0594482 -.0477108 .1798912 10 .1548074 -.0329916 .0532531 -.1365439 .0774864 20 .3688068 .106639 .0709719 -.0285953 .2459503 30 .2111112 -.0760448 .0564969 -.1870721 .026459 60 .0644585 -.0444032 .0459514 -.1416093 .029723 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .1767679 .0611308 .0840114 .31101 10 .224544 .0501237 .1377705 .3229163 20 .304194 .070668 .1849732 .4493081 30 .2898984 .0616643 .1819879 .414085 60 .0877753 .0442072 .0292277 .1931056 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0084311 .0453037 -.0736425 .1052007 10 .0166582 .0324407 -.0386818 .0877385 20 -.1031233 .0537911 -.2040093 -.0011271 30 .0543498 .0501862 -.0313425 .1569125 60 -.0230489 .0474374 -.1095111 .0647551 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 -.0096875 .0462641 -.1034746 .0782488 10 -.0185836 .0391834 -.1036643 .050994 20 .097056 .0549139 -.0027 .2052432 30 -.0549026 .0466023 -.1505233 .024722 60 .0026671 .0393018 -.0659026 .0758332 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .045811 .0452065 -.0350786 .139307 10 .0167931 .0388199 -.0526264 .0976795 20 -.0719101 .0525482 -.1763436 .024169 30 .0212866 .0458231 -.0635192 .1116406 60 -.0678808 .0413857 -.1607177 -.0087103 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 .0408427 .0472115 -.0544057 .1347526 10 -.0255851 .044585 -.1223862 .0502927 20 .1411619 .0599884 .0279971 .2531408 30 -.0886733 .0469149 -.1875285 -.0161233 60 -.0499064 .0391549 -.1378527 .0031498