The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 1366 LR chi2(40) = 969.62 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -1537.3369 Pseudo R2 = 0.2398 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ votelist | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- red_left | _Iretnat_1 | 1.207069 .2700916 0.84 0.400 .7785185 1.871524 _Iretnat_3 | 2.986077 2.599265 1.26 0.209 .5422041 16.4452 age | .9811054 .0089097 -2.10 0.036 .9637972 .9987244 educat | 1.465273 .0997451 5.61 0.000 1.282257 1.674411 relig | 1.046849 .128952 0.37 0.710 .822303 1.332711 male | .6984802 .1635601 -1.53 0.125 .4413996 1.10529 occupa1 | 1.113138 .325964 0.37 0.714 .6270304 1.976102 occupa3 | .5832314 .1665686 -1.89 0.059 .3332277 1.0208 unionhld | 1.113775 .293287 0.41 0.682 .6647419 1.86613 lrself | .7481695 .0476541 -4.55 0.000 .6603639 .8476502 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib_cpp_cen | _Iretnat_1 | .8637567 .133416 -0.95 0.343 .6381381 1.169144 _Iretnat_3 | 2.147967 1.2477 1.32 0.188 .6879962 6.706086 age | 1.003732 .0057067 0.66 0.512 .9926091 1.01498 educat | 1.170319 .0576677 3.19 0.001 1.062579 1.288984 relig | 1.808509 .1318323 8.13 0.000 1.567732 2.086265 male | .8504289 .1346298 -1.02 0.306 .623571 1.159819 occupa1 | 1.450718 .2596055 2.08 0.038 1.021552 2.06018 occupa3 | .7274442 .1515454 -1.53 0.127 .4835846 1.094276 unionhld | .7304889 .1179722 -1.94 0.052 .5322879 1.002491 lrself | 1.239704 .0534409 4.98 0.000 1.139264 1.348998 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- con | _Iretnat_1 | .9688241 .2097978 -0.15 0.884 .6337502 1.481057 _Iretnat_3 | 3.718714 2.969959 1.64 0.100 .7772826 17.79126 age | 1.008206 .0080563 1.02 0.306 .9925385 1.02412 educat | 1.383425 .08675 5.18 0.000 1.223431 1.564341 relig | 1.016217 .1082972 0.15 0.880 .8246598 1.252271 male | .9136238 .2042264 -0.40 0.686 .5895146 1.415925 occupa1 | .4558723 .1377695 -2.60 0.009 .2521163 .8243002 occupa3 | 1.321328 .3294256 1.12 0.264 .8105766 2.153908 unionhld | .7043326 .1541204 -1.60 0.109 .4586906 1.081523 lrself | 3.273972 .2508495 15.48 0.000 2.817451 3.804463 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pp | _Iretnat_1 | .943457 .2196972 -0.25 0.803 .5977339 1.489143 _Iretnat_3 | 2.495712 2.062208 1.11 0.268 .4941358 12.605 age | .9975288 .0085705 -0.29 0.773 .9808715 1.014469 educat | 1.008666 .0753031 0.12 0.908 .871365 1.167602 relig | 1.042298 .1228184 0.35 0.725 .827354 1.313085 male | 1.190385 .2924023 0.71 0.478 .735531 1.926521 occupa1 | 1.270706 .3428989 0.89 0.375 .748771 2.156458 occupa3 | .9870766 .2977274 -0.04 0.966 .546521 1.782768 unionhld | .7747486 .1810108 -1.09 0.275 .4901033 1.224712 lrself | 2.909306 .2306143 13.47 0.000 2.490672 3.398305 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome votelist==soc is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [red_left]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 2) [lib_cpp_cen]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 3) [con]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 4) [pp]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 5) [red_left]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 6) [lib_cpp_cen]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 7) [con]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 8) [pp]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 chi2( 8) = 5.75 Prob > chi2 = 0.6749 PARTY LIST | VOTED FOR - | DISTRICT | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- red_left | 122 8.93 8.93 soc | 485 35.51 44.44 lib_cpp_cen | 378 27.67 72.11 con | 236 17.28 89.39 pp | 145 10.61 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 1366 100.00 > 99 .99 .99 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .3571426 .0893119 .0902124 .1055769 .0973222 .0812437 .131863 .0979005 20 . .3550512 .3610926 .2799425 .3693711 .3608994 .2033829 .3700642 40 .2291773 .2767204 .2755172 .306742 .2608701 .2873844 .3201483 .2601421 60 .2413307 .1727672 .1668476 .197136 .1667052 .1641388 .2323335 .1664566 80 .498785 .1061493 .1063301 .1106026 .1057314 .1063338 .1122723 .1054366 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0902124 .0971818 .0254622 .055801 .1553649 20 .3610926 .3611029 .0432408 .2790783 .4474159 40 .2755172 .2789036 .0394625 .208001 .3615511 60 .1668476 .159114 .0261412 .1113502 .2146842 80 .1063301 .1036976 .0254025 .0618148 .1606489 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1055769 .016316 .0444864 -.0559663 .1211983 20 .2799425 -.0826594 .0526401 -.1796491 .0311799 40 .306742 .0224382 .0618307 -.0865331 .1492856 60 .197136 .0333389 .0516855 -.0528705 .1589042 80 .1106026 .0105663 .0451429 -.0550118 .1244763 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0973222 .0112152 .0165371 -.0230725 .0448491 20 .3693711 .0195596 .0291626 -.040016 .0768232 40 .2608701 -.0290552 .0302549 -.0866742 .0270468 60 .1667052 .0009796 .0211427 -.0434543 .0418532 80 .1057314 -.0026993 .0206468 -.0510851 .0354478 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .131863 .064579 .0798141 -.0593248 .251048 20 .2033829 -.1679778 .0828299 -.3182126 .0151238 40 .3201483 .020414 .0977972 -.1454118 .2266124 60 .2323335 .064792 .0812627 -.0650968 .2675165 80 .1122723 .0181929 .0699984 -.0801676 .1955691 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0979005 .0172536 .0168049 -.0154083 .0529014 20 .3700642 .0092712 .0272546 -.0453608 .0632533 40 .2601421 -.028139 .0255182 -.0766586 .0198325 60 .1664566 .0031421 .0170669 -.0309896 .0377869 80 .1054366 -.0015279 .0156236 -.0382155 .0282678 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0957681 .0241294 .05622 .1494824 20 .3624714 .0392087 .2879298 .4416538 40 .2801604 .0374048 .2098433 .356607 60 .1599139 .0257687 .1135862 .2146401 80 .1043601 .0250056 .0622397 .1604612 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0226541 .0480103 -.0509239 .1329564 20 -.0641828 .0550672 -.164118 .046533 40 .0434097 .0609453 -.0714293 .1615783 60 .0449897 .0518374 -.0482483 .1540664 80 .0155104 .0441117 -.0551658 .1161215 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0089849 .0155163 -.0224043 .0399883 20 .0054559 .0285337 -.0501354 .0628551 40 -.0437442 .0295299 -.1026841 .0140947 60 -.0054653 .0203589 -.0462176 .0354862 80 -.0048518 .0210728 -.0486861 .0370184 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0717429 .086364 -.0562375 .2685509 20 -.1377849 .0892011 -.2967882 .040397 40 .0458029 .0957991 -.1322817 .2297192 60 .0833532 .0829956 -.0621918 .2589133 80 .0259644 .0683616 -.0775835 .1827137 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0148599 .0156738 -.0153851 .0484309 20 -.0021358 .0255366 -.0520637 .0499731 40 -.0421291 .0248769 -.0927605 .0067928 60 -.0020505 .0169137 -.0356339 .0329761 80 -.003253 .0163246 -.0367293 .0307258