The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 537 LR chi2(70) = 725.69 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -517.79358 Pseudo R2 = 0.4120 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | .4000533 .2719887 -1.35 0.178 .1055363 1.51647 _Iretnat_3 | 2.512519 .9538067 2.43 0.015 1.193919 5.287421 age | .9413807 .0111592 -5.10 0.000 .9197612 .9635084 male | .8972958 .299306 -0.32 0.745 .4666648 1.725307 income | .8527602 .1496392 -0.91 0.364 .6045903 1.202798 edulevel | 1.301198 .194329 1.76 0.078 .9710006 1.743681 notrelig | 1.045534 .2002131 0.23 0.816 .718354 1.521731 urban | 1.040679 .2078197 0.20 0.842 .7036151 1.539213 unionhld | .4190894 .1568526 -2.32 0.020 .2012461 .8727419 occupa2 | 1.390677 .5212482 0.88 0.379 .6670863 2.899147 occupa3 | 1.831883 .9150228 1.21 0.226 .6882145 4.876089 demsat | 1.453249 .3933405 1.38 0.167 .8549715 2.470181 lrself | .4657635 .0630369 -5.65 0.000 .3572424 .6072506 eusup | .3347155 .0828896 -4.42 0.000 .2060073 .5438374 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- center | _Iretnat_1 | 1.784455 1.166168 0.89 0.376 .4957157 6.423602 _Iretnat_3 | 1.32077 .5781675 0.64 0.525 .5600325 3.114877 age | .9715502 .0123438 -2.27 0.023 .9476557 .9960473 male | 1.104661 .4211622 0.26 0.794 .5232392 2.332155 income | .8816095 .1767341 -0.63 0.530 .5951658 1.305914 edulevel | 1.114678 .1829392 0.66 0.508 .8080753 1.537614 notrelig | .3755316 .1196446 -3.07 0.002 .201119 .7011966 urban | .7925884 .1936379 -0.95 0.341 .4910095 1.279397 unionhld | .9429683 .4003355 -0.14 0.890 .4103184 2.167071 occupa2 | 1.747256 .7722324 1.26 0.207 .7347716 4.154904 occupa3 | 3.472935 1.783705 2.42 0.015 1.269165 9.503315 demsat | 1.40588 .4035122 1.19 0.235 .8010111 2.467505 lrself | 1.381845 .1909453 2.34 0.019 1.053996 1.811672 eusup | .156078 .04817 -6.02 0.000 .0852388 .2857893 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cons | _Iretnat_1 | .4335926 .2638443 -1.37 0.170 .1315587 1.42904 _Iretnat_3 | 1.341613 .5752059 0.69 0.493 .5790038 3.108659 age | .9871038 .0119306 -1.07 0.283 .9639952 1.010766 male | 1.01463 .3705721 0.04 0.968 .4959347 2.075826 income | 1.406342 .2686505 1.79 0.074 .9671366 2.045004 edulevel | 1.037816 .1794482 0.21 0.830 .7395022 1.456468 notrelig | .9219741 .2228072 -0.34 0.737 .5741358 1.480549 urban | 1.217072 .2557634 0.93 0.350 .8061934 1.837356 unionhld | .5770701 .2230491 -1.42 0.155 .2705342 1.230935 occupa2 | 2.248899 1.004909 1.81 0.070 .936731 5.399146 occupa3 | 2.428543 1.246827 1.73 0.084 .8878397 6.64289 demsat | 1.383988 .3622752 1.24 0.214 .8285525 2.311768 lrself | 4.74918 .7455716 9.92 0.000 3.491314 6.460236 eusup | 1.057127 .324569 0.18 0.856 .5791394 1.929616 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cpp | _Iretnat_1 | 1.363486 1.058824 0.40 0.690 .2976079 6.246786 _Iretnat_3 | .9691907 .4998726 -0.06 0.952 .3526883 2.663345 age | .9722404 .0148813 -1.84 0.066 .9435067 1.001849 male | .7059701 .3202932 -0.77 0.443 .2901368 1.717789 income | .8047435 .2036336 -0.86 0.391 .4900812 1.321438 edulevel | 1.343077 .2874941 1.38 0.168 .8828679 2.043177 notrelig | .0568433 .0442441 -3.68 0.000 .0123636 .2613444 urban | .798585 .2239992 -0.80 0.423 .4608539 1.383818 unionhld | .3037156 .1468356 -2.46 0.014 .1177448 .7834161 occupa2 | 2.334092 1.319755 1.50 0.134 .7705968 7.069828 occupa3 | 2.611187 1.721101 1.46 0.145 .7174459 9.503571 demsat | .9937842 .3437008 -0.02 0.986 .5045493 1.957404 lrself | 2.161287 .3636289 4.58 0.000 1.554178 3.005551 eusup | .2294681 .0821868 -4.11 0.000 .1137246 .46301 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- prog | _Iretnat_1 | 1.088734 .8828122 0.10 0.916 .2221856 5.334921 _Iretnat_3 | 2.952856 1.763672 1.81 0.070 .9158814 9.52018 age | .9700498 .0135995 -2.17 0.030 .943758 .997074 male | 2.036362 .9313695 1.55 0.120 .8308857 4.99078 income | 1.09506 .2448626 0.41 0.685 .7064859 1.697353 edulevel | .7966967 .1535217 -1.18 0.238 .5460952 1.162299 notrelig | 1.361595 .3874613 1.08 0.278 .7795184 2.378316 urban | .7014174 .1937752 -1.28 0.199 .4081517 1.205401 unionhld | .4413567 .2029842 -1.78 0.075 .17919 1.08709 occupa2 | .7233307 .3647641 -0.64 0.521 .269209 1.943498 occupa3 | .944478 .5499817 -0.10 0.922 .3016659 2.957042 demsat | 2.284385 .6825264 2.76 0.006 1.271885 4.102896 lrself | 4.161812 .7323115 8.10 0.000 2.947849 5.875701 eusup | .483479 .1669976 -2.10 0.035 .2456777 .9514579 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==labor is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [center]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [cons]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [cpp]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [prog]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 6) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [center]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [cons]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 9) [cpp]_Iretnat_3 = 0 (10) [prog]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 10) = 21.94 Prob > chi2 = 0.0154 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 103 19.18 19.18 labor | 161 29.98 49.16 center | 50 9.31 58.47 cons | 141 26.26 84.73 cpp | 33 6.15 90.88 prog | 49 9.12 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 537 100.00 > .99 .99 1 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .002888 .1918063 .1995835 .2248958 .1346525 .1602231 .2332969 .0889071 20 . .2998138 .2979067 .2707382 .361272 .3450995 .2613207 .3865225 45 .6544856 .0931099 .0938922 .0872284 .1141583 .0926071 .0871928 .160794 60 .1049275 .2625698 .253886 .262281 .2444477 .2718637 .2585725 .1850734 61 .8941206 .0614525 .0616667 .0549863 .0806614 .072591 .0536648 .0988633 80 .089904 .0912477 .093065 .0998704 .0648081 .0576156 .1059525 .0798397 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1995835 .1905195 .0514942 .1028573 .2981438 20 .2979067 .2938547 .0735406 .1650163 .4463904 45 .0938922 .0973751 .0498379 .0302053 .2179854 60 .253886 .2553363 .0575376 .1503844 .3693248 61 .0616667 .0680656 .0442138 .0159435 .1787307 80 .093065 .0948487 .0464351 .0314203 .2065145 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2248958 .0683999 .0426129 -.003159 .1598756 20 .2707382 -.0720938 .0628548 -.2041495 .0420673 45 .0872284 -.0173574 .0372212 -.1026062 .0440979 60 .262281 .0254703 .0452013 -.0622624 .1184871 61 .0549863 -.0214505 .0366901 -.1091388 .0342325 80 .0998704 .0170313 .0352563 -.0501182 .0915151 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1346525 -.069379 .0426756 -.1597318 .0040394 20 .361272 .0657446 .0622866 -.0471494 .1969663 45 .1141583 .0214101 .0427533 -.0518859 .1178238 60 .2444477 -.0122775 .0453451 -.1051924 .0759635 61 .0806614 .0246819 .0424557 -.04108 .1266388 80 .0648081 -.0301802 .0367236 -.1083128 .0384176 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2332969 .0685316 .0385896 .0028023 .1504959 20 .2613207 -.0791389 .0550767 -.1968289 .017147 45 .0871928 -.0036887 .0308924 -.0707452 .0543988 60 .2585725 -.010542 .0426303 -.0973942 .0733421 61 .0536648 -.0212336 .0334244 -.1024209 .0309996 80 .1059525 .0460716 .0357563 -.0153315 .1271718 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0889071 -.0655589 .0484512 -.1690607 .0180275 20 .3865225 .03303 .0803149 -.1221794 .1972259 45 .160794 .0661404 .0682786 -.0375554 .2266378 60 .1850734 -.085279 .0569919 -.210513 .0160198 61 .0988633 .0308433 .0614321 -.0645726 .1747069 80 .0798397 .0208243 .0423055 -.0551698 .1171182 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1952169 .0499203 .1101709 .2999194 20 .3033884 .0663444 .185899 .4418306 45 .1020022 .04913 .0341522 .2205298 60 .2647607 .0535797 .168946 .3744574 61 .0710164 .0432338 .0176196 .1789635 80 .0990781 .0462464 .034383 .2089116 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0682221 .0413464 -.0005114 .1570276 20 -.0749466 .0535911 -.1858181 .0217963 45 -.0174886 .0379907 -.1033939 .0477336 60 .0285253 .0423513 -.0513214 .1138245 61 -.0207187 .0343473 -.1022229 .0338846 80 .0179093 .0375127 -.0520509 .0933773 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0690783 .0419329 -.158563 .0014878 20 .0738295 .0523165 -.0202009 .1820911 45 .0220755 .0432889 -.0535476 .118224 60 -.0186893 .0413237 -.1013483 .0600459 61 .0259579 .0408209 -.0399292 .1215156 80 -.033093 .0399964 -.1141622 .0409306 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0694412 .0378418 .0068367 .1508808 20 -.0730189 .0472341 -.1717635 .0105308 45 -.0027124 .0328155 -.0734051 .0597253 60 .0021308 .0392077 -.0772854 .0773428 61 -.0166227 .0313805 -.0898496 .0361219 80 .0578397 .0375395 -.001712 .1428001 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0617167 .0474689 -.1625193 .0199733 20 .0775095 .0661199 -.0448671 .2119196 45 .0705258 .0648213 -.029957 .2195922 60 -.0706668 .0513759 -.1816874 .0149185 61 .046411 .0595381 -.0448244 .1857813 80 .0470986 .0481551 -.0271779 .1625244