The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 576 LR chi2(56) = 328.60 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -717.25115 Pseudo R2 = 0.1864 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | 1.128585 .8410441 0.16 0.871 .2619402 4.862578 _Iretnat_3 | 1.056134 .4859796 0.12 0.906 .4285867 2.60255 age | .969074 .014215 -2.14 0.032 .9416097 .9973394 male | 1.005672 .4015757 0.01 0.989 .4597931 2.199634 edulevel | 1.558342 .3748503 1.84 0.065 .9725479 2.496976 notrelig | 1.594824 .381892 1.95 0.051 .9974395 2.549994 urban | 1.504794 .382115 1.61 0.108 .9148083 2.475279 ownhome | 1.193544 .489219 0.43 0.666 .5344925 2.665235 unionhld | 1.913876 .7602421 1.63 0.102 .8786059 4.169016 occupa2 | 1.059922 .6312672 0.10 0.922 .3298495 3.405898 occupa3 | 1.278702 .9038874 0.35 0.728 .3199435 5.110527 demsat | .9317357 .3001127 -0.22 0.826 .4955873 1.751722 lrself | .2741804 .0430743 -8.24 0.000 .2015167 .3730455 eusup | .404588 .1527069 -2.40 0.017 .19308 .8477909 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pvda | _Iretnat_1 | 1.866793 .9771233 1.19 0.233 .6692018 5.207569 _Iretnat_3 | 1.44355 .4893981 1.08 0.279 .7427697 2.805496 age | .9929763 .0093326 -0.75 0.453 .9748522 1.011437 male | 1.1909 .3328016 0.63 0.532 .6886585 2.059429 edulevel | 1.045848 .1746737 0.27 0.788 .7538832 1.450886 notrelig | 1.90823 .3610503 3.42 0.001 1.316975 2.764929 urban | 1.211225 .2286507 1.02 0.310 .836639 1.753524 ownhome | .5407262 .1570651 -2.12 0.034 .3060049 .9554907 unionhld | 2.201868 .6218173 2.79 0.005 1.265925 3.829784 occupa2 | .8457652 .3155426 -0.45 0.653 .4070793 1.757198 occupa3 | 1.025334 .4842215 0.05 0.958 .40633 2.587328 demsat | 1.292256 .276041 1.20 0.230 .8502018 1.964152 lrself | .4238082 .0440013 -8.27 0.000 .3457757 .5194505 eusup | 1.17119 .3540475 0.52 0.601 .6476065 2.118084 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- d66 | _Iretnat_1 | 1.615997 .7239079 1.07 0.284 .671635 3.888194 _Iretnat_3 | 1.057785 .3098627 0.19 0.848 .5957313 1.878212 age | .9832984 .0082862 -2.00 0.046 .9671912 .9996739 male | .9887796 .2464738 -0.05 0.964 .6066245 1.611681 edulevel | 1.039894 .1556107 0.26 0.794 .7755587 1.394324 notrelig | 1.767356 .3126083 3.22 0.001 1.249581 2.499677 urban | 1.159715 .1970102 0.87 0.383 .8312865 1.617901 ownhome | 1.027938 .2663832 0.11 0.915 .6185625 1.708244 unionhld | 1.331588 .3430577 1.11 0.266 .8036641 2.206304 occupa2 | 1.261745 .437249 0.67 0.502 .6397251 2.488568 occupa3 | 1.350301 .5778815 0.70 0.483 .5836415 3.124029 demsat | 1.658394 .3191419 2.63 0.009 1.137319 2.418206 lrself | .6561852 .0571602 -4.84 0.000 .5531952 .7783491 eusup | .902896 .2317132 -0.40 0.691 .5459981 1.493084 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | .7255942 .4133637 -0.56 0.573 .2375598 2.216229 _Iretnat_3 | 1.267464 .4326253 0.69 0.487 .6492226 2.474443 age | .9827614 .0090714 -1.88 0.060 .9651417 1.000703 male | .8916892 .2511784 -0.41 0.684 .5133813 1.54877 edulevel | 1.330065 .226742 1.67 0.094 .9522805 1.857723 notrelig | 1.713893 .3343861 2.76 0.006 1.169261 2.51221 urban | 1.591657 .3030605 2.44 0.015 1.095912 2.311655 ownhome | 1.272409 .3778063 0.81 0.417 .7110273 2.277022 unionhld | .7849136 .2498053 -0.76 0.447 .4206491 1.464616 occupa2 | 1.62671 .7395038 1.07 0.284 .6673489 3.965218 occupa3 | 3.252667 1.660158 2.31 0.021 1.196154 8.844881 demsat | 1.412231 .3069846 1.59 0.112 .9223064 2.162401 lrself | 1.301721 .1212257 2.83 0.005 1.084546 1.562385 eusup | .544811 .1500544 -2.21 0.027 .3175441 .9347334 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==cda is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [pvda]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [d66]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [pvda]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [d66]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 5.48 Prob > chi2 = 0.7058 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 47 8.16 8.16 pvda | 120 20.83 28.99 d66 | 137 23.78 52.78 cda | 179 31.08 83.85 lib | 93 16.15 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 576 100.00 >9 .99 1 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .9856827 .0815972 .0798732 .079378 .0811189 .0875072 .0792767 .0708659 20 .4177182 .2083333 .2060493 .209644 .1924162 .1750237 .2153738 .2332317 22 .5261311 .2378472 .2397908 .2298229 .2653054 .2459658 .22827 .3081793 63 . .3107639 .3111343 .3084842 .3224425 .336951 .3035844 .2869042 70 .4811127 .1614583 .1631524 .1726708 .138717 .1545523 .1734951 .1008189 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0798732 .0874005 .0427942 .0282716 .1904123 20 .2060493 .2065326 .061897 .1029709 .3412618 22 .2397908 .2348689 .0691548 .1204321 .3872553 63 .3111343 .3072034 .069547 .1845472 .4528563 70 .1631524 .1639947 .0549681 .0770297 .2882097 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .079378 -.0016348 .0357905 -.0785115 .066931 20 .209644 .010817 .0460302 -.081182 .1006223 22 .2298229 -.0293558 .0542243 -.142818 .074341 63 .3084842 -.0082117 .0539916 -.1189707 .095647 70 .1726708 .0283853 .0445996 -.0622578 .1175812 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0811189 .0019739 .0339 -.0620493 .0746759 20 .1924162 -.0151061 .0439505 -.1010713 .0717855 22 .2653054 .0257505 .0516926 -.0728497 .1337931 63 .3224425 .0114519 .0531999 -.0912978 .1209573 70 .138717 -.0240702 .0420238 -.1078541 .0633087 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0792767 -.0075428 .0295703 -.0714259 .0479065 20 .2153738 .0390915 .03724 -.0314368 .1145167 22 .22827 -.0157511 .0443168 -.1081818 .068356 63 .3035844 -.0310906 .0471255 -.1299201 .0599337 70 .1734951 .015293 .0392326 -.0697815 .0914842 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0708659 -.0132093 .0465116 -.1021763 .0856354 20 .2332317 .0551049 .0627725 -.0608246 .1880211 22 .3081793 .0560659 .0744171 -.0872692 .2121527 63 .2869042 -.0457045 .0717932 -.1840313 .0965161 70 .1008189 -.0522569 .0534095 -.1644379 .0467107 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0894462 .0431726 .0295948 .1929805 20 .2139825 .0595507 .114462 .3439221 22 .2441827 .0666349 .13213 .3899213 63 .3146841 .0663677 .1967142 .4530755 70 .1680451 .0542741 .081802 .2902649 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0011212 .0360125 -.0756513 .0702367 20 .0175448 .0471127 -.0767799 .1080399 22 -.0288788 .0529284 -.1366682 .0691988 63 -.0120999 .0518442 -.1160642 .0865628 70 .0298943 .0428521 -.0546837 .1152345 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0002437 .0336334 -.0636017 .0721292 20 -.0215436 .0452762 -.1094876 .0677299 22 .0253233 .0510311 -.0691805 .1288794 63 .0173635 .0510197 -.0793208 .1195373 70 -.0260162 .0400883 -.1057847 .0526058 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0057956 .0298156 -.0703134 .0485258 20 .0524129 .038901 -.0198867 .1313397 22 -.0108477 .0440735 -.0992399 .0703772 63 -.0366708 .045051 -.1267309 .0470163 70 .0199554 .0371144 -.052972 .0928341 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0155626 .0450722 -.1068369 .079508 20 .0679658 .0634341 -.0452235 .2063737 22 .0688377 .0720196 -.0656331 .2188455 63 -.0424379 .0690571 -.1782794 .0960666 70 -.0472289 .0519593 -.1535701 .0546299