The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 600 LR chi2(70) = 552.09 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -686.89728 Pseudo R2 = 0.2867 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | 1.023713 .7815039 0.03 0.976 .2292818 4.570742 _Iretnat_3 | .8663414 .3846204 -0.32 0.747 .3629027 2.068178 age | .977344 .0154378 -1.45 0.147 .94755 1.008075 male | .5013687 .2125826 -1.63 0.103 .2183956 1.150987 edulevel | 1.999083 .4080387 3.39 0.001 1.339953 2.982443 notrelig | 5.664271 1.744979 5.63 0.000 3.096822 10.36029 urban | 2.48351 .7490351 3.02 0.003 1.37512 4.485297 ownhome | 1.231574 .5587157 0.46 0.646 .5061796 2.996515 unionhld | 1.882946 .8092591 1.47 0.141 .8109712 4.3719 occupa2 | .344043 .1929966 -1.90 0.057 .1145822 1.033019 occupa3 | .2474453 .1871508 -1.85 0.065 .0561938 1.089608 demsat | 2.594049 .8259392 2.99 0.003 1.389817 4.84171 lrself | .2655063 .0409222 -8.60 0.000 .1962818 .3591449 eusup | .5729118 .2589762 -1.23 0.218 .236219 1.389507 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pvda | _Iretnat_1 | 1.263733 .7026147 0.42 0.674 .4250121 3.757589 _Iretnat_3 | .6846129 .2403782 -1.08 0.281 .3440131 1.362433 age | 1.010145 .011527 0.88 0.376 .9878035 1.032992 male | .7481056 .2522585 -0.86 0.389 .3863143 1.448722 edulevel | 1.395358 .209912 2.21 0.027 1.039045 1.87386 notrelig | 4.765474 1.318814 5.64 0.000 2.770394 8.197297 urban | 1.689408 .4144813 2.14 0.033 1.044479 2.732558 ownhome | .5641209 .2000705 -1.61 0.106 .2815049 1.130468 unionhld | 2.121606 .7282573 2.19 0.028 1.082639 4.157633 occupa2 | .3573321 .1518666 -2.42 0.015 .1553497 .821928 occupa3 | .3843379 .2179761 -1.69 0.092 .1264611 1.168072 demsat | 1.570786 .4085971 1.74 0.083 .9434092 2.615374 lrself | .3339216 .0408632 -8.96 0.000 .2627119 .4244331 eusup | .9104029 .3521172 -0.24 0.808 .426593 1.942914 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- d66 | _Iretnat_1 | 2.36678 1.040171 1.96 0.050 1.00015 5.600807 _Iretnat_3 | 1.235705 .3519174 0.74 0.457 .7071319 2.15938 age | .9848736 .0092986 -1.61 0.106 .9668162 1.003268 male | .5992591 .1623795 -1.89 0.059 .3523441 1.019207 edulevel | 1.358339 .1668797 2.49 0.013 1.06766 1.728157 notrelig | 4.02258 .9914137 5.65 0.000 2.481508 6.520691 urban | 1.955907 .3961731 3.31 0.001 1.31503 2.909115 ownhome | 1.073052 .3066924 0.25 0.805 .6128248 1.878908 unionhld | 1.234354 .3483172 0.75 0.456 .7099748 2.146035 occupa2 | .505791 .1799556 -1.92 0.055 .2518383 1.015829 occupa3 | .5360407 .2357046 -1.42 0.156 .2264188 1.269062 demsat | 1.504475 .3195885 1.92 0.055 .9921291 2.281401 lrself | .5190239 .0472072 -7.21 0.000 .4342774 .620308 eusup | .8040841 .2426849 -0.72 0.470 .4450368 1.452804 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | 3.082137 1.634055 2.12 0.034 1.090363 8.712302 _Iretnat_3 | 2.582643 .9229961 2.65 0.008 1.281912 5.2032 age | 1.015141 .0102225 1.49 0.136 .9953018 1.035376 male | .939992 .2968697 -0.20 0.845 .50617 1.745629 edulevel | 1.528418 .2047728 3.17 0.002 1.175441 1.987392 notrelig | 5.61116 1.513189 6.40 0.000 3.307539 9.519198 urban | 1.055764 .2480513 0.23 0.817 .6661584 1.673232 ownhome | 1.098291 .3630284 0.28 0.777 .5745952 2.099293 unionhld | .5482235 .200823 -1.64 0.101 .2673924 1.124 occupa2 | .9396176 .4415361 -0.13 0.895 .3740784 2.36015 occupa3 | 1.613537 .8204561 0.94 0.347 .5956039 4.371198 demsat | 1.356345 .3364834 1.23 0.219 .8340712 2.205652 lrself | 1.071218 .1045888 0.70 0.481 .8846476 1.297135 eusup | 1.20536 .4208379 0.53 0.593 .608036 2.389485 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- calvin | _Iretnat_1 | .3131598 .3612035 -1.01 0.314 .032657 3.002999 _Iretnat_3 | .5757947 .3087201 -1.03 0.303 .2013189 1.646838 age | .9687446 .0181442 -1.70 0.090 .9338275 1.004967 male | 1.088748 .6241534 0.15 0.882 .3539594 3.348891 edulevel | 1.12128 .2594557 0.49 0.621 .7124465 1.764719 notrelig | 9.96e-10 2.59e-09 -7.98 0.000 6.13e-12 1.62e-07 urban | 1.44378 .5635721 0.94 0.347 .6717979 3.102867 ownhome | 1.134401 .6449017 0.22 0.824 .3722738 3.456772 unionhld | .5106149 .3215823 -1.07 0.286 .1485975 1.754589 occupa2 | .1438928 .0923813 -3.02 0.003 .0408842 .5064342 occupa3 | .2879177 .1984817 -1.81 0.071 .0745549 1.111887 demsat | .9080267 .3494385 -0.25 0.802 .4270988 1.930496 lrself | 1.649427 .3068983 2.69 0.007 1.145396 2.375258 eusup | .4004287 .1697821 -2.16 0.031 .1744275 .9192538 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==cda is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 2) [pvda]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 3) [d66]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 4) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 5) [calvin]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 6) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 7) [pvda]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 8) [d66]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 9) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 (10) [calvin]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 chi2( 10) = 17.73 Prob > chi2 = 0.0596 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 49 8.17 8.17 pvda | 93 15.50 23.67 d66 | 162 27.00 50.67 cda | 192 32.00 82.67 lib | 82 13.67 96.33 calvin | 22 3.67 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 600 100.00 > ........... These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one cat > egory better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one ca > tegory party test freq pv worse better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .9380744 .0816667 .0893566 .0890235 .0826842 20 .3961549 .155 .1592448 .14113 .1756317 22 .1463735 .27 .2783327 .2814033 .3057974 63 . .32 .3057744 .3038894 .2917012 70 .0181637 .1366667 .1321505 .152778 .1112189 85 .4285084 .0366667 .0351411 .0317757 .0329666 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0893566 .0819602 .0383715 .0277906 .1724044 20 .1592448 .1520429 .0519538 .0700762 .2680144 22 .2783327 .2573101 .069069 .1412515 .4068167 63 .3057744 .3419005 .067563 .2148259 .4762582 70 .1321505 .1272189 .0481181 .0552798 .239965 85 .0351411 .0395674 .0278827 .0074994 .1107857 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0890235 -.0049572 .0203556 -.04624 .0362258 20 .14113 -.0425407 .0336204 -.11883 .0158779 22 .2814033 .0146821 .0477816 -.0790832 .1045522 63 .3038894 -.0002808 .0548832 -.1113376 .1040065 70 .152778 .0450789 .0378464 -.0195923 .1269869 85 .0317757 -.0119823 .0273918 -.0713395 .0353625 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0826842 -.004572 .0300174 -.0636585 .0607647 20 .1756317 .0220096 .0435899 -.0531466 .1202519 22 .3057974 .0221931 .0586425 -.0890782 .1363019 63 .2917012 -.0199536 .0514166 -.1188691 .083928 70 .1112189 -.0167776 .0388204 -.096073 .0549943 85 .0329666 -.0028995 .0252738 -.0516148 .0489675