The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 716 LR chi2(70) = 786.58 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -724.4988 Pseudo R2 = 0.3518 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | 2.084701 .915739 1.67 0.094 .8813324 4.931147 _Iretnat_3 | 1.569233 .8120285 0.87 0.384 .5691377 4.326706 age | .9910021 .0134604 -0.67 0.506 .9649683 1.017738 male | .4553181 .1682755 -2.13 0.033 .2206631 .9395072 edulevel | 1.509807 .2297371 2.71 0.007 1.120469 2.034431 newrelg | 1.130638 .2195423 0.63 0.527 .7727535 1.654269 urban | 1.458204 .3572759 1.54 0.124 .9021205 2.357067 ownhome | .8530022 .3241659 -0.42 0.676 .4050126 1.796519 unionhld | .6184826 .2310321 -1.29 0.198 .2974158 1.286148 occupa2 | 3.478775 2.022557 2.14 0.032 1.113111 10.87212 occupa3 | 5.289066 3.605948 2.44 0.015 1.390119 20.12362 demsat | .8731254 .0922892 -1.28 0.199 .709749 1.074109 lrself | .8779609 .114632 -1.00 0.319 .6797309 1.134001 eusup | .6147087 .2073854 -1.44 0.149 .3173203 1.190805 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- d66 | _Iretnat_1 | 1.075859 .3324369 0.24 0.813 .5871337 1.971396 _Iretnat_3 | .6593652 .3066537 -0.90 0.371 .2650051 1.640581 age | .9992384 .009981 -0.08 0.939 .9798663 1.018994 male | .7361401 .2120676 -1.06 0.288 .4185486 1.294718 edulevel | 1.530357 .1901185 3.43 0.001 1.199629 1.952266 newrelg | 1.361441 .220467 1.91 0.057 .9911929 1.869991 urban | 1.384633 .2772997 1.62 0.104 .935115 2.050238 ownhome | 1.494762 .4609731 1.30 0.192 .8167107 2.735748 unionhld | .6143818 .1864248 -1.61 0.108 .3389646 1.113583 occupa2 | 1.935845 .7630685 1.68 0.094 .8940161 4.191756 occupa3 | 3.361203 1.586544 2.57 0.010 1.332642 8.477663 demsat | .9942694 .0849136 -0.07 0.946 .8410249 1.175437 lrself | 1.887183 .1854965 6.46 0.000 1.556493 2.288132 eusup | .7999733 .2322083 -0.77 0.442 .4528947 1.413038 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cda | _Iretnat_1 | 1.059406 .32058 0.19 0.849 .5854447 1.917075 _Iretnat_3 | .6446248 .3203242 -0.88 0.377 .2434062 1.707192 age | 1.002831 .0097331 0.29 0.771 .9839344 1.02209 male | .8434222 .2400036 -0.60 0.550 .4828673 1.473202 edulevel | 1.050756 .1233596 0.42 0.673 .8347766 1.322616 newrelg | .2860769 .0507758 -7.05 0.000 .2020239 .4051004 urban | 1.078593 .2194011 0.37 0.710 .7239542 1.606956 ownhome | 1.574888 .475747 1.50 0.133 .8711963 2.846972 unionhld | .4962203 .1515189 -2.29 0.022 .2727492 .9027877 occupa2 | 1.511048 .5476132 1.14 0.255 .7426727 3.07439 occupa3 | 2.15524 .9684886 1.71 0.087 .893297 5.199906 demsat | 1.154558 .100256 1.66 0.098 .9738716 1.368768 lrself | 2.971968 .3051907 10.61 0.000 2.430158 3.634576 eusup | 1.845426 .5793292 1.95 0.051 .9974273 3.41438 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | 1.091494 .3743002 0.26 0.798 .557344 2.137565 _Iretnat_3 | .1631209 .1390146 -2.13 0.033 .0306973 .8668001 age | .98714 .0108477 -1.18 0.239 .9661062 1.008632 male | .7762696 .2519323 -0.78 0.435 .4109242 1.466437 edulevel | 1.366375 .1917253 2.22 0.026 1.037844 1.798902 newrelg | 1.178016 .2187373 0.88 0.378 .8186489 1.695136 urban | 1.11548 .2564583 0.48 0.635 .7108265 1.750493 ownhome | 2.139418 .7588426 2.14 0.032 1.067525 4.287591 unionhld | .4678747 .1705456 -2.08 0.037 .2290114 .9558771 occupa2 | 1.790482 .7920731 1.32 0.188 .7523422 4.261126 occupa3 | 4.39805 2.269681 2.87 0.004 1.599502 12.09304 demsat | 1.299872 .1355652 2.51 0.012 1.059565 1.594679 lrself | 3.326324 .3826485 10.45 0.000 2.654882 4.167578 eusup | 1.005833 .3545942 0.02 0.987 .5040168 2.007274 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- calvin | _Iretnat_1 | 1.590393 1.068939 0.69 0.490 .4259833 5.93767 _Iretnat_3 | 1.07614 .9570838 0.08 0.934 .1882947 6.150346 age | .9612238 .0180298 -2.11 0.035 .9265277 .9972191 male | .8007515 .4626391 -0.38 0.701 .2580541 2.484761 edulevel | .9810024 .2312381 -0.08 0.935 .6180564 1.557084 newrelg | .0269837 .0289862 -3.36 0.001 .0032865 .2215497 urban | 1.374156 .5471044 0.80 0.425 .6297088 2.998694 ownhome | 1.050643 .6010578 0.09 0.931 .3423695 3.224151 unionhld | .5617051 .3617514 -0.90 0.370 .1589697 1.984734 occupa2 | .6587221 .4374411 -0.63 0.530 .1792422 2.420829 occupa3 | 1.831286 1.445528 0.77 0.443 .3898155 8.603065 demsat | 1.060705 .1597157 0.39 0.696 .7896324 1.424834 lrself | 5.202789 .9966248 8.61 0.000 3.574239 7.573365 eusup | 1.14517 .5676452 0.27 0.784 .433452 3.025513 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==pvda is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [d66]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [cda]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [calvin]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 6) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [d66]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [cda]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 9) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0 (10) [calvin]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 10) = 8.86 Prob > chi2 = 0.5452 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 46 6.42 6.42 pvda | 236 32.96 39.39 d66 | 89 12.43 51.82 cda | 217 30.31 82.12 lib | 102 14.25 96.37 calvin | 26 3.63 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 716 100.00 > .9 .91 .92 .92 .93 .94 .94 .95 .96 .97 .97 .98 .99 .99 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2451949 .0642458 .0640714 .0581451 .0676582 .0422617 .0728269 .0750839 20 . .3296089 .3308071 .3624667 .3175839 .3413788 .3916929 .3129641 22 .5513445 .1243017 .1269412 .1264505 .1289906 .1318763 .1301861 .1279137 63 .5975255 .3030726 .2996702 .3039398 .2982198 .3067683 .3128151 .2965077 70 .0766068 .1424581 .1432067 .1149228 .1517678 .1505471 .0494021 .1504241 85 .7642568 .0363128 .0353033 .0340752 .0357798 .0271679 .0430768 .0371065 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0640714 .0645136 .0316611 .0209226 .1417377 20 .3308071 .3427077 .0565032 .2363267 .4540558 22 .1269412 .1205797 .0468284 .0503694 .2333822 63 .2996702 .2902805 .0609671 .1782448 .4136967 70 .1432067 .1484086 .0483094 .0717633 .2585964 85 .0353033 .0335099 .0248002 .0066877 .0982322 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0581451 -.0062468 .0239161 -.0521054 .0408463 20 .3624667 .0340947 .0453275 -.0527598 .1314622 22 .1264505 -.0018271 .0339787 -.06857 .0704235 63 .3039398 .0017503 .0506825 -.1004483 .1061835 70 .1149228 -.0272346 .0428823 -.1172385 .0660425 85 .0340752 -.0005366 .0205354 -.040526 .0450778 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0676582 .0100438 .0276915 -.0402443 .0697437 20 .3175839 -.0294834 .046228 -.1279992 .0586103 22 .1289906 .0047971 .0332355 -.0650843 .0743269 63 .2982198 -.0018849 .0429406 -.0916525 .0861726 70 .1517678 .0141176 .0324089 -.0539032 .0839362 85 .0357798 .0024099 .0171198 -.0313811 .0387007 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0728269 .0295159 .029772 -.0183376 .1023577 20 .3916929 .0426025 .0577683 -.0677163 .1631117 22 .1301861 -.0023606 .0440819 -.0878447 .0939929 63 .3128151 .0060429 .0676457 -.1290911 .1457435 70 .0494021 -.0923546 .0611569 -.2181229 .0536142 85 .0430768 .0165539 .0258615 -.0238872 .0832707 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0750839 .0310036 .0232024 -.0030274 .0856743 20 .3129641 -.0276667 .0376131 -.1100779 .0434168 22 .1279137 -.002294 .0301159 -.0646708 .0586842 63 .2965077 -.0055078 .039619 -.0878425 .0759784 70 .1504241 -.0044696 .0323494 -.0711801 .0636973 85 .0371065 .0089346 .0173658 -.0229778 .0502157 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0644931 .0327931 .0215841 .1490381 20 .3406889 .0521009 .2419893 .4454479 22 .1250053 .0452588 .0561441 .2318862 63 .3038805 .0558093 .2012224 .4198953 70 .1446325 .044261 .0734453 .2455544 85 .0341856 .027611 .0065287 .1017695 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0052638 .0254218 -.0591147 .0433579 20 .0308853 .0358375 -.0417856 .1029024 22 .0009939 .0330939 -.0703753 .0671243 63 -.0087442 .041506 -.0952489 .0707117 70 -.0242641 .0365002 -.1081861 .040973 85 .0006087 .0222119 -.0425713 .0467327 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0106233 .027703 -.0362883 .0741598 20 -.0390091 .0389298 -.1150665 .0444232 22 -.0037517 .0304545 -.0659549 .0611276 63 -.0060408 .0375855 -.075405 .0771687 70 .0159615 .0289231 -.0360985 .0824596 85 .0008489 .0185531 -.0338794 .0398625 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0286436 .0282629 -.0151574 .1013116 20 .0210614 .0429008 -.0547247 .1151812 22 -.0394654 .0389317 -.1176744 .0416221 63 -.0568909 .0496435 -.1495237 .0450418 70 -.1099688 .049033 -.2124199 -.0166587 85 .0150607 .0268179 -.0198279 .0827217 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0287815 .0252553 -.0047175 .0948734 20 -.040835 .0323783 -.1000163 .03405 22 -.02258 .0301127 -.0822669 .0440116 63 -.0240253 .0348681 -.0859564 .0568262 70 -.0107761 .0299694 -.0659311 .059077 85 .0069868 .019376 -.0237367 .0557692