The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 656 LR chi2(60) = 685.94 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -680.54865 Pseudo R2 = 0.3351 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | 4.188241 2.509609 2.39 0.017 1.294162 13.55422 _Iretnat_3 | 3.772877 2.112118 2.37 0.018 1.259378 11.30288 age | .9669213 .0146399 -2.22 0.026 .9386493 .9960449 male | 1.432888 .5443759 0.95 0.344 .6804998 3.017148 edulevel | 1.229741 .1991083 1.28 0.202 .8953547 1.689011 relginx | 1.664882 .6155057 1.38 0.168 .8066677 3.436149 urban | 1.925071 .5137629 2.45 0.014 1.14098 3.247995 occupa2 | 2.227394 1.176304 1.52 0.129 .7911718 6.270803 occupa3 | 1.466685 .7782424 0.72 0.470 .5184153 4.149499 demsat | 1.388629 .3529605 1.29 0.196 .843779 2.285304 lrself | .6722156 .0996899 -2.68 0.007 .5026607 .8989638 eusup | 1.035316 .2390156 0.15 0.881 .6585097 1.627734 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- d66 | _Iretnat_1 | 1.713157 .6045878 1.53 0.127 .8578291 3.421318 _Iretnat_3 | 1.234883 .41564 0.63 0.531 .638449 2.388501 age | .9955109 .0112685 -0.40 0.691 .9736682 1.017844 male | 1.262921 .3641351 0.81 0.418 .7177133 2.222292 edulevel | 1.27675 .1529688 2.04 0.041 1.009537 1.61469 relginx | 1.641804 .4117451 1.98 0.048 1.004269 2.684063 urban | 1.028866 .2069896 0.14 0.888 .6936051 1.526179 occupa2 | 1.454493 .5118185 1.06 0.287 .7297669 2.89894 occupa3 | .5655233 .2317089 -1.39 0.164 .2533332 1.262435 demsat | .8130894 .1564655 -1.08 0.282 .5576206 1.185599 lrself | 1.568738 .158083 4.47 0.000 1.28758 1.911291 eusup | 1.074818 .1957925 0.40 0.692 .7521027 1.536005 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cda | _Iretnat_1 | 2.188025 .7288733 2.35 0.019 1.138939 4.203431 _Iretnat_3 | 1.07045 .3542841 0.21 0.837 .55956 2.047795 age | 1.018458 .0107433 1.73 0.083 .9976181 1.039734 male | 1.038513 .289795 0.14 0.892 .6010155 1.794477 edulevel | 1.174105 .1354869 1.39 0.164 .9364438 1.472082 relginx | 2.846526 .6220292 4.79 0.000 1.85485 4.368392 urban | .8022615 .1569367 -1.13 0.260 .5467714 1.177135 occupa2 | 1.513975 .5439563 1.15 0.248 .74867 3.06159 occupa3 | .7418584 .2929044 -0.76 0.449 .3421726 1.60841 demsat | .5264036 .1020278 -3.31 0.001 .3600298 .7696604 lrself | 2.924595 .3114192 10.08 0.000 2.373709 3.603331 eusup | .8688877 .1444556 -0.85 0.398 .6272612 1.203591 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | 3.387466 1.332136 3.10 0.002 1.567242 7.32173 _Iretnat_3 | 1.435091 .583645 0.89 0.374 .6466952 3.184632 age | 1.007099 .0117891 0.60 0.546 .9842561 1.030472 male | 1.039546 .3479247 0.12 0.908 .5394555 2.003233 edulevel | 1.955566 .2776781 4.72 0.000 1.480496 2.58308 relginx | 1.234792 .3388661 0.77 0.442 .7211025 2.114416 urban | 1.011617 .2272086 0.05 0.959 .6513835 1.57107 occupa2 | 1.591749 .7071944 1.05 0.295 .6663409 3.802357 occupa3 | 1.182953 .565991 0.35 0.725 .4631325 3.021551 demsat | .5945876 .140632 -2.20 0.028 .3740154 .9452404 lrself | 3.871386 .4812516 10.89 0.000 3.034266 4.939457 eusup | .7201936 .1411576 -1.67 0.094 .490472 1.05751 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- calvin | _Iretnat_1 | 2.669855 2.615752 1.00 0.316 .3913228 18.21546 _Iretnat_3 | 3.872135 4.0821 1.28 0.199 .4904481 30.57089 age | .9135372 .0316887 -2.61 0.009 .8534927 .9778059 male | .8857949 .6991741 -0.15 0.878 .1885664 4.161042 edulevel | 1.045601 .3468462 0.13 0.893 .545765 2.003208 relginx | 26.31877 12.83634 6.71 0.000 10.11842 68.45708 urban | .9421485 .5880811 -0.10 0.924 .2772085 3.20208 occupa2 | .6197284 .5560247 -0.53 0.594 .1067819 3.59671 occupa3 | .2840609 .3455425 -1.03 0.301 .0261805 3.082092 demsat | 1.031003 .5238094 0.06 0.952 .3808907 2.790742 lrself | 4.520648 1.061962 6.42 0.000 2.852606 7.164066 eusup | 1.431793 .9698232 0.53 0.596 .3795947 5.400581 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==pvda is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [d66]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [cda]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [calvin]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 6) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [d66]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [cda]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 9) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0 (10) [calvin]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 10) = 18.46 Prob > chi2 = 0.0477 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 42 6.40 6.40 pvda | 228 34.76 41.16 d66 | 80 12.20 53.35 cda | 183 27.90 81.25 lib | 100 15.24 96.49 calvin | 23 3.51 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 656 100.00 > .99 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .036691 .0640244 .0641884 .0676884 .0535239 .0295243 .079913 .0758624 20 . .347561 .3521608 .3709138 .3337887 .4177359 .3559991 .2850707 22 .3109733 .1219512 .1248774 .1282696 .1242247 .1259233 .1301885 .1259518 63 .0400783 .2789634 .2744385 .261043 .2916276 .276822 .2462638 .2974268 70 .0058687 .152439 .1509208 .1343394 .1670902 .1216886 .1422587 .1851261 85 .4166951 .035061 .0334141 .0377457 .0297449 .0283059 .0453767 .0305621 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0641884 .0761203 .0366056 .027966 .1648431 20 .3521608 .3669717 .0659994 .2410601 .4911922 22 .1248774 .126572 .0480496 .0556921 .2356575 63 .2744385 .2472993 .0651024 .1360112 .380949 70 .1509208 .1387369 .0423939 .072063 .2300473 85 .0334141 .0442998 .0242504 .0162198 .0977094 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0676884 .0029249 .0288148 -.0502239 .0582316 20 .3709138 .0252393 .0488624 -.0717222 .121673 22 .1282696 .0047491 .0375715 -.0670187 .0810476 63 .261043 -.0192368 .0562271 -.1335539 .0838589 70 .1343394 -.0236683 .0347254 -.0943026 .042203 85 .0377457 .0099918 .0217913 -.0236599 .0555093 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0535239 -.0134591 .0348517 -.0811886 .0504933 20 .3337887 -.0268084 .0566159 -.1359429 .0867068 22 .1242247 -.0003043 .037136 -.0743746 .0732999 63 .2916276 .0244607 .0520935 -.0714676 .1326507 70 .1670902 .0232206 .0311593 -.033936 .0882152 85 .0297449 -.0071095 .0204923 -.0482298 .0236497 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .079913 .0571916 .0327292 .0116209 .1331112 20 .3559991 -.0697823 .0517437 -.1766838 .0252132 22 .1301885 .0010873 .0368203 -.0747528 .073048 63 .2462638 -.0277088 .0520074 -.136315 .0609847 70 .1422587 .0178944 .0309749 -.0381179 .0822962 85 .0453767 .0213178 .026221 -.0072226 .0822955 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0758624 .0525055 .0334066 .0059582 .135705 20 .2850707 -.140075 .0544486 -.2536053 -.0377174 22 .1259518 -.0016879 .0383806 -.0799598 .0710666 63 .2974268 .0235168 .0559238 -.0833364 .1385409 70 .1851261 .0615065 .035414 .0022581 .1419581 85 .0305621 .0042341 .0155933 -.0221984 .0385148 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0776513 .035185 .0291205 .159742 20 .3756234 .0559807 .2709152 .483097 22 .1310935 .0481049 .0597967 .2402257 63 .2701432 .0543243 .175584 .3793577 70 .1480234 .0427184 .080266 .2392002 85 .0473012 .0244893 .0185152 .0992066 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0019107 .0301235 -.0515008 .0559827 20 .0257427 .0442983 -.0555901 .1114542 22 .0049751 .0390339 -.0673244 .0827645 63 -.0261366 .0439667 -.1084494 .0552074 70 -.0268761 .0361689 -.0970325 .037375 85 .007822 .0230958 -.0326659 .0594879 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0115591 .0348364 -.0745376 .0518679 20 -.032425 .048254 -.1248814 .0552493 22 -.0038704 .03772 -.0784368 .067481 63 .0242269 .0410037 -.0513363 .1019865 70 .022764 .0325991 -.0340384 .0901238 85 -.0069798 .0214375 -.0551344 .0271276 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .052517 .0329187 .0045915 .1248367 20 -.0648662 .0442649 -.1570826 .0156228 22 -.007784 .0385753 -.0892509 .0639042 63 -.040833 .0429797 -.1306214 .039131 70 .0144029 .0336709 -.0538074 .0799579 85 .0171649 .0252279 -.0195971 .0780414 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0477023 .0345756 .001437 .1230243 20 -.1385909 .0481472 -.2362233 -.0629849 22 -.0166782 .0383822 -.0992411 .0453951 63 .0097628 .0415182 -.0670091 .079541 70 .0605108 .0352741 .004759 .1303471 85 .0021428 .0186716 -.0358663 .0385027