The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 781 LR chi2(60) = 780.11 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -758.54922 Pseudo R2 = 0.3396 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | 1.023773 .5493609 0.04 0.965 .3576395 2.930637 _Iretnat_3 | 1.378383 .8781798 0.50 0.614 .3954228 4.804828 age | .9370827 .0180973 -3.36 0.001 .9022756 .9732326 male | .7226009 .3299959 -0.71 0.477 .2952389 1.768575 edulevel | 1.724697 .3552202 2.65 0.008 1.151857 2.582421 notrelig | 1.149662 .5589694 0.29 0.774 .4433156 2.981447 urban | 1.281731 .3735289 0.85 0.394 .7239944 2.269126 occupa2 | 10.3154 11.09097 2.17 0.030 1.253969 84.85662 occupa3 | 17.79164 19.17173 2.67 0.008 2.152716 147.0433 demsat | 1.643076 .4869237 1.68 0.094 .9191893 2.937042 lrself | .7886878 .1335619 -1.40 0.161 .5659222 1.099141 eusup | .5911249 .1321725 -2.35 0.019 .3813774 .916228 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- d66 | _Iretnat_1 | 1.562698 .5222122 1.34 0.182 .8117567 3.00832 _Iretnat_3 | 1.065663 .5182181 0.13 0.896 .4108576 2.764065 age | .9945072 .0113999 -0.48 0.631 .9724129 1.017104 male | 1.236438 .3510048 0.75 0.455 .7088101 2.156824 edulevel | 1.134895 .140688 1.02 0.307 .8900939 1.447023 notrelig | .7651541 .1822499 -1.12 0.261 .4797375 1.220377 urban | 1.027985 .1923318 0.15 0.883 .7124109 1.483349 occupa2 | 2.518911 .9171795 2.54 0.011 1.233887 5.142214 occupa3 | 1.303527 .5836302 0.59 0.554 .5420133 3.134944 demsat | .667901 .133963 -2.01 0.044 .4508 .9895558 lrself | 1.418526 .1325166 3.74 0.000 1.181189 1.703551 eusup | 1.096844 .2078779 0.49 0.626 .7565223 1.590258 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cda | _Iretnat_1 | 1.973412 .5806395 2.31 0.021 1.108582 3.512917 _Iretnat_3 | .8610467 .3699927 -0.35 0.728 .3709066 1.99889 age | 1.009946 .0097252 1.03 0.304 .9910642 1.029188 male | 1.242898 .3149039 0.86 0.391 .7564376 2.0422 edulevel | .9722247 .102798 -0.27 0.790 .7902509 1.196102 notrelig | .294513 .0562411 -6.40 0.000 .2025612 .4282059 urban | .8359529 .1430695 -1.05 0.295 .5977266 1.169125 occupa2 | 1.070676 .339034 0.22 0.829 .5756014 1.991566 occupa3 | 1.608536 .5703262 1.34 0.180 .8028362 3.22281 demsat | .5086608 .0927226 -3.71 0.000 .3558482 .727096 lrself | 3.005114 .2801755 11.80 0.000 2.503231 3.607622 eusup | 1.082227 .1775007 0.48 0.630 .7847097 1.492545 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | 2.200741 .8173033 2.12 0.034 1.062803 4.557064 _Iretnat_3 | 1.847546 .9682977 1.17 0.241 .6614257 5.16071 age | 1.002692 .0110457 0.24 0.807 .9812749 1.024577 male | 1.409867 .4268385 1.13 0.257 .7788903 2.551997 edulevel | 1.166627 .1501122 1.20 0.231 .9065804 1.501267 notrelig | 1.065468 .2715292 0.25 0.803 .6465701 1.755759 urban | .9607392 .1909714 -0.20 0.840 .6507399 1.418416 occupa2 | 4.334777 1.835375 3.46 0.001 1.890436 9.93966 occupa3 | 3.877959 1.847979 2.84 0.004 1.523971 9.868012 demsat | .4115753 .0920555 -3.97 0.000 .2654998 .6380202 lrself | 3.625108 .3890988 12.00 0.000 2.937364 4.473879 eusup | .8392388 .1617081 -0.91 0.363 .5752709 1.224331 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- calvin | _Iretnat_1 | 1.268188 .7542512 0.40 0.690 .3953067 4.06849 _Iretnat_3 | 1.057795 .7850736 0.08 0.940 .2469774 4.530496 age | .9916763 .019216 -0.43 0.666 .9547199 1.030063 male | 1.450655 .763133 0.71 0.479 .5173448 4.067692 edulevel | .8290342 .1794254 -0.87 0.386 .5424372 1.267055 notrelig | .1319385 .0460642 -5.80 0.000 .0665561 .2615501 urban | 1.669642 .5778779 1.48 0.139 .8472565 3.290271 occupa2 | .9669458 .6763438 -0.05 0.962 .2454807 3.808789 occupa3 | 1.870079 1.30282 0.90 0.369 .4773717 7.325936 demsat | 1.218621 .4401339 0.55 0.584 .6003952 2.473434 lrself | 3.51435 .530845 8.32 0.000 2.613788 4.725194 eusup | .5992378 .1610106 -1.91 0.057 .353906 1.014636 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==pvda is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [d66]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [cda]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [calvin]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 6) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [d66]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [cda]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 9) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0 (10) [calvin]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 10) = 11.31 Prob > chi2 = 0.3340 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 31 3.97 3.97 pvda | 273 34.96 38.92 d66 | 73 9.35 48.27 cda | 267 34.19 82.46 lib | 113 14.47 96.93 calvin | 24 3.07 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 781 100.00 > .97 .97 .98 .99 .99 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .8535985 .0396927 .043703 .0489977 .0405941 .0444051 .0540634 .0399271 20 . .3495519 .3548296 .3916627 .3379994 .3981214 .3797184 .3266801 22 .3512449 .0934699 .0944165 .0888437 .0977301 .088794 .0870146 .0998068 63 .0219851 .3418694 .3321024 .2938648 .3502554 .3134271 .2583453 .3580127 70 .103406 .1446863 .1435776 .1402636 .1446029 .1197271 .1839387 .1484616 85 .9174836 .0307298 .031371 .0363675 .0288181 .0355254 .0369196 .0271117 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .043703 .0420012 .0249944 .0119906 .1060313 20 .3548296 .3729205 .0574298 .2588881 .4837768 22 .0944165 .100257 .0398757 .0425848 .1992835 63 .3321024 .3086574 .0567997 .1995508 .4246088 70 .1435776 .1416017 .040018 .0749256 .2311525 85 .031371 .0345623 .0257136 .0067244 .1035953 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0489977 .0064904 .0201728 -.0322339 .053156 20 .3916627 .0498052 .0458488 -.0408225 .1464393 22 .0888437 -.0089904 .0310927 -.0721714 .0538419 63 .2938648 -.0507424 .0487495 -.1522679 .0424819 70 .1402636 -.0034769 .0366969 -.0777086 .0669395 85 .0363675 .0069141 .0210512 -.0305241 .0576156 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0405941 -.0071507 .0237269 -.0620905 .0413101 20 .3379994 -.0336759 .0463931 -.1343369 .0588198 22 .0977301 .0055905 .0256885 -.0468637 .059404 63 .3502554 .0438861 .0471549 -.0465301 .1422828 70 .1446029 -.0005733 .0327106 -.0651944 .0656423 85 .0288181 -.0080768 .0280365 -.0721234 .0460526 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0540634 .0096035 .0276501 -.0440043 .0762693 20 .3797184 -.0173255 .0534903 -.1303546 .0900967 22 .0870146 -.0008716 .0376694 -.0727801 .0813995 63 .2583453 -.0563582 .0564917 -.1760929 .0565807 70 .1839387 .0643192 .0481183 -.0192802 .1753579 85 .0369196 .0006326 .0264592 -.0528565 .0585837 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0399271 -.0051357 .0180713 -.0462518 .0288569 20 .3266801 -.0691958 .043273 -.1629831 .0135592 22 .0998068 .011664 .0277045 -.04183 .0703108 63 .3580127 .0456074 .043726 -.0355404 .1365009 70 .1484616 .0280174 .0299838 -.0232167 .0938842 85 .0271117 -.0109574 .0198476 -.060983 .022259 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0426183 .0245174 .012457 .1065547 20 .3768123 .0514478 .2786287 .4821952 22 .098687 .039793 .0416424 .1990703 63 .3174958 .0518994 .2210519 .428019 70 .1453455 .0406779 .0780634 .2392321 85 .0359114 .0274212 .0065303 .11011 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0073579 .0202475 -.0304834 .0546618 20 .052409 .042041 -.0354959 .139375 22 -.0059965 .0323186 -.0739252 .0611267 63 -.0579333 .0423036 -.1508453 .0291794 70 -.0097052 .0354783 -.0858689 .0655447 85 .0074113 .0226742 -.0344673 .0633047 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0078218 .0236951 -.0619902 .0395872 20 -.0349985 .0405217 -.117613 .0517606 22 .0058903 .0283118 -.0518689 .0684675 63 .0549518 .0407278 -.0279314 .1479965 70 .0058447 .0317385 -.0605625 .073181 85 -.0092009 .0300924 -.0792099 .0486619 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0060995 .0241082 -.0438798 .0608468 20 -.0311259 .0489566 -.1425139 .070549 22 -.0119613 .0387516 -.0958376 .0756857 63 -.0626207 .0489963 -.1699831 .0377242 70 .0530603 .0464735 -.037909 .1606657 85 -.0000855 .0263447 -.0580606 .0579372 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0083316 .0199152 -.0557729 .0270289 20 -.0798769 .0392146 -.1608159 -.0016044 22 .0039196 .0289684 -.0537377 .0647504 63 .0528762 .0374536 -.0240069 .1364296 70 .0313944 .0295603 -.027059 .0978755 85 -.0120967 .0225647 -.0694674 .0250262