The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 769 LR chi2(60) = 869.51 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -689.11447 Pseudo R2 = 0.3868 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | 1.347904 .6036373 0.67 0.505 .5603535 3.242321 _Iretnat_3 | .7538827 .4033147 -0.53 0.597 .2641953 2.151208 age | .9553512 .0147449 -2.96 0.003 .9268845 .9846921 male | .9978299 .3617354 -0.01 0.995 .4903172 2.030654 edulevel | 1.447603 .2313075 2.32 0.021 1.058373 1.979977 relig | .9936719 .066326 -0.10 0.924 .8718196 1.132555 urban | 1.418183 .365825 1.35 0.176 .855386 2.35127 occupa2 | 1.818331 .97711 1.11 0.266 .6342576 5.212908 occupa3 | 2.130819 1.093479 1.47 0.140 .7793505 5.825864 demsat | 2.419654 .648564 3.30 0.001 1.43086 4.091752 lrself | .7129775 .0986899 -2.44 0.015 .543567 .9351872 eusup | .850303 .1530433 -0.90 0.368 .5975424 1.209981 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- d66 | _Iretnat_1 | 1.023591 .4629579 0.05 0.959 .4218305 2.483789 _Iretnat_3 | .8024587 .4748894 -0.37 0.710 .2515867 2.559516 age | 1.002649 .0138371 0.19 0.848 .9758924 1.030139 male | 1.420159 .5214962 0.96 0.339 .6914607 2.916799 edulevel | 1.164834 .1778441 1.00 0.318 .8635841 1.571171 relig | 1.021423 .0634168 0.34 0.733 .9043933 1.153597 urban | 1.16278 .2734914 0.64 0.521 .7333156 1.843759 occupa2 | 4.326541 2.441084 2.60 0.009 1.431803 13.0737 occupa3 | 2.250982 1.357557 1.35 0.179 .6902656 7.340537 demsat | .8216708 .1966019 -0.82 0.412 .5140793 1.313305 lrself | 1.565533 .1768504 3.97 0.000 1.254603 1.953522 eusup | 1.15443 .2812932 0.59 0.556 .7160777 1.861122 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cda | _Iretnat_1 | 1.581328 .5429043 1.33 0.182 .8068375 3.09926 _Iretnat_3 | .1662097 .1006897 -2.96 0.003 .050699 .5448959 age | 1.017761 .0106164 1.69 0.091 .9971641 1.038783 male | 1.052516 .2907796 0.19 0.853 .6124436 1.808801 edulevel | 1.130772 .1286655 1.08 0.280 .9047339 1.413284 relig | 1.415161 .069839 7.04 0.000 1.284691 1.558882 urban | .9364321 .1675524 -0.37 0.714 .6594378 1.329777 occupa2 | 1.790911 .6468184 1.61 0.107 .882364 3.634964 occupa3 | .8473863 .3165765 -0.44 0.658 .4074549 1.762314 demsat | .5074317 .0997273 -3.45 0.001 .3452137 .745877 lrself | 2.449023 .221874 9.89 0.000 2.05058 2.924887 eusup | .9061045 .1563578 -0.57 0.568 .6460924 1.270755 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | 2.047402 .8910643 1.65 0.100 .8724607 4.804637 _Iretnat_3 | .4820943 .3458122 -1.02 0.309 .1181829 1.96657 age | 1.001868 .0120381 0.16 0.877 .9785492 1.025742 male | 1.573738 .5002961 1.43 0.154 .8439815 2.934486 edulevel | 1.267453 .1658937 1.81 0.070 .9806643 1.638112 relig | .9831563 .0545417 -0.31 0.759 .8818632 1.096084 urban | 1.321305 .2732942 1.35 0.178 .8809339 1.981813 occupa2 | 2.939701 1.256318 2.52 0.012 1.27213 6.793206 occupa3 | 1.162144 .5514073 0.32 0.751 .4585502 2.945324 demsat | .5697153 .1286672 -2.49 0.013 .3659472 .8869461 lrself | 3.476792 .3760415 11.52 0.000 2.812644 4.297764 eusup | .9920824 .2004417 -0.04 0.969 .6676822 1.474096 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- calvin | _Iretnat_1 | 1.305247 .8075122 0.43 0.667 .388225 4.38836 _Iretnat_3 | 1.001073 .9203217 0.00 0.999 .1651683 6.067436 age | .942211 .018141 -3.09 0.002 .9073178 .9784462 male | .7409249 .4011144 -0.55 0.580 .2564244 2.140864 edulevel | 1.10199 .2230696 0.48 0.631 .7410946 1.638632 relig | 5.341957 1.612883 5.55 0.000 2.955965 9.653869 urban | 1.087375 .4087874 0.22 0.824 .5204501 2.271851 occupa2 | 2.275914 1.523357 1.23 0.219 .6129339 8.450801 occupa3 | 2.255043 1.532476 1.20 0.231 .5952474 8.543031 demsat | 1.294726 .4779525 0.70 0.484 .6279917 2.669327 lrself | 2.756826 .3769247 7.42 0.000 2.108771 3.604036 eusup | .4098634 .1101438 -3.32 0.001 .2420434 .6940408 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==pvda is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [d66]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [cda]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [calvin]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 6) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [d66]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [cda]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 9) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0 (10) [calvin]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 10) = 21.57 Prob > chi2 = 0.0175 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 45 5.85 5.85 pvda | 310 40.31 46.16 d66 | 41 5.33 51.50 cda | 233 30.30 81.79 lib | 106 13.78 95.58 calvin | 34 4.42 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 769 100.00 > .98 .99 .99 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .4506409 .0585176 .0580893 .0514213 .0629519 .0548069 .0478386 .0648431 20 . .4031209 .4121638 .4700786 .3828346 .4239129 .54516 .3680355 22 .890557 .053316 .0555369 .0664623 .0529542 .0637927 .0809554 .051377 63 .0002329 .3029909 .2955557 .2467091 .3198986 .300428 .123946 .3259883 70 .0302204 .1378414 .1327561 .1068823 .1398726 .111688 .1169433 .1484009 85 .8927781 .0442133 .0458982 .0584465 .0414881 .0453716 .0851567 .0413552 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0580893 .0563028 .0275477 .0175438 .1232551 20 .4121638 .3624371 .0557194 .2530412 .470986 22 .0555369 .0625408 .0344505 .0187787 .1515802 63 .2955557 .3157625 .0585604 .2075643 .4338156 70 .1327561 .1441108 .0432391 .0744949 .2413527 85 .0458982 .0588462 .0271527 .0210276 .1216319 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0514213 -.0074617 .0207092 -.052415 .0312091 20 .4700786 .0689821 .0491114 -.0223689 .1708134 22 .0664623 .016178 .0331256 -.0429361 .0935558 63 .2467091 -.064386 .0592171 -.1804875 .0523725 70 .1068823 -.0337435 .0427835 -.1180782 .0555315 85 .0584465 .0204312 .0291625 -.0276745 .0881102 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0629519 .0112635 .0299304 -.0426019 .0798102 20 .3828346 -.0675575 .0524713 -.1780161 .0318042 22 .0529542 -.0072758 .0291588 -.0738364 .0500286 63 .3198986 .0683742 .0528773 -.0308265 .1757627 70 .1398726 .0165165 .0314188 -.0511761 .079694 85 .0414881 -.021321 .0352015 -.1011561 .041896 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0478386 -.0051 .0249657 -.0575888 .0435071 20 .54516 .1046671 .0697084 -.0286739 .251582 22 .0809554 .0213777 .0523897 -.0677394 .1419742 63 .123946 -.1722882 .0732963 -.3181806 -.0379757 70 .1169433 .0111804 .0615015 -.097626 .1509179 85 .0851567 .0401629 .0433207 -.0231487 .1431653 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0648431 .0099133 .0222394 -.0299454 .0599931 20 .3680355 -.0603071 .0450806 -.1538075 .0218497 22 .051377 -.0138335 .0286042 -.0811986 .0396242 63 .3259883 .0317595 .0526373 -.0732163 .1343549 70 .1484009 .0414995 .0352203 -.029071 .1151464 85 .0413552 -.0090317 .023309 -.0636797 .0340376 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0548993 .0266424 .0183582 .121015 20 .3674802 .0497976 .2717869 .467056 22 .0606921 .0330185 .0186321 .1462222 63 .3236329 .0509916 .2285271 .4293255 70 .1443316 .042561 .0747332 .2416374 85 .0587595 .0279941 .0197805 .124628 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0071229 .0187844 -.0466399 .0300798 20 .0582865 .0414434 -.0189474 .1452921 22 .0078686 .0296129 -.0457812 .0769609 63 -.0827005 .0476299 -.1784062 .0133187 70 -.043848 .038578 -.120547 .0366578 85 .0114193 .0256169 -.0349699 .0687993 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0104812 .0266212 -.0418265 .0667824 20 -.0698855 .0428729 -.1603153 .0141763 22 -.006561 .0301663 -.0744663 .0512908 63 .0859809 .0430949 .0017386 .1751378 70 .0267913 .0332073 -.0442612 .0935042 85 -.0123983 .031977 -.0809648 .0481576 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0083387 .0214803 -.0555198 .0350265 20 .1164842 .0550474 -.0006947 .232243 22 .0066506 .0379578 -.0669938 .0975049 63 -.1923968 .0623261 -.3229957 -.0658929 70 .0092161 .0499887 -.0837869 .1286009 85 .0238769 .0382658 -.0389891 .1128872 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0078835 .0204427 -.0323204 .0506086 20 -.0432471 .0385056 -.1240944 .0246023 22 -.007998 .0274007 -.0702324 .0413462 63 .0423691 .0401359 -.0363884 .1215946 70 .0551035 .0339195 -.0110933 .1257253 85 -.0043414 .0197641 -.0480026 .0338261