The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 638 LR chi2(52) = 686.36 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -551.73052 Pseudo R2 = 0.3835 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- com-exleft | _Iretnat_1 | .5244281 .3407397 -0.99 0.321 .1467675 1.873881 _Iretnat_3 | 1.123336 .5370065 0.24 0.808 .440145 2.866971 age | .9429984 .0144536 -3.83 0.000 .9150912 .9717567 male | 1.436345 .5131271 1.01 0.311 .7131342 2.892986 income | 1.081104 .2383237 0.35 0.724 .7018183 1.665369 edulevel | 1.225976 .1802683 1.39 0.166 .9190107 1.635472 notrelig | 2.118514 .6055451 2.63 0.009 1.209841 3.709663 urban | 1.488275 .3754713 1.58 0.115 .9076881 2.440223 occupa2 | 1.39237 .6440835 0.72 0.474 .5623481 3.447498 occupa3 | 1.167076 .6473957 0.28 0.781 .3934812 3.461579 demsat | 2.126895 .5026845 3.19 0.001 1.338343 3.380062 lrself | .7130862 .0974342 -2.47 0.013 .5455519 .9320687 supeu | .5407738 .095782 -3.47 0.001 .3821648 .76521 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- d66 | _Iretnat_1 | 3.754286 3.195717 1.55 0.120 .7078953 19.91066 _Iretnat_3 | 4.160599 3.259944 1.82 0.069 .8958102 19.32394 age | .9856312 .016496 -0.86 0.387 .9538241 1.018499 male | .7580055 .3221235 -0.65 0.514 .3295673 1.743414 income | 1.547196 .4034188 1.67 0.094 .9281145 2.579225 edulevel | 1.147794 .1928062 0.82 0.412 .8258084 1.595323 notrelig | 1.372635 .4809876 0.90 0.366 .6906914 2.727886 urban | .6797244 .2142735 -1.22 0.221 .3664406 1.260846 occupa2 | 1.331848 .7513295 0.51 0.611 .4408289 4.023826 occupa3 | .5914656 .445703 -0.70 0.486 .1350519 2.590349 demsat | .7863564 .2090697 -0.90 0.366 .4669918 1.324127 lrself | 1.5303 .2048031 3.18 0.001 1.177223 1.989274 supeu | 2.904365 1.15897 2.67 0.008 1.328569 6.34919 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- christ | _Iretnat_1 | .9630446 .4343823 -0.08 0.933 .3978424 2.331212 _Iretnat_3 | .8680486 .3249739 -0.38 0.705 .4167515 1.808052 age | 1.00844 .0107938 0.79 0.432 .9875053 1.029819 male | .9794722 .284109 -0.07 0.943 .5547403 1.729396 income | 1.198563 .2008916 1.08 0.280 .8629598 1.664681 edulevel | .9367251 .1059085 -0.58 0.563 .7505389 1.169099 notrelig | .1486812 .0599703 -4.73 0.000 .0674413 .327783 urban | .8067545 .1722866 -1.01 0.315 .5308392 1.226083 occupa2 | .9798086 .3704029 -0.05 0.957 .4670426 2.055541 occupa3 | .9580463 .4035001 -0.10 0.919 .419649 2.187192 demsat | .6085286 .1172031 -2.58 0.010 .4171948 .8876118 lrself | 2.649371 .2631788 9.81 0.000 2.180658 3.21883 supeu | 1.554881 .2661993 2.58 0.010 1.111653 2.174828 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | 1.513158 .7615057 0.82 0.410 .5643028 4.057481 _Iretnat_3 | 1.110356 .4809266 0.24 0.809 .4750978 2.595026 age | .978604 .012373 -1.71 0.087 .9546512 1.003158 male | .730007 .2479384 -0.93 0.354 .3751684 1.420456 income | 1.476203 .2941892 1.95 0.051 .9988773 2.181626 edulevel | 1.265811 .1706025 1.75 0.080 .9719554 1.64851 notrelig | 1.084531 .3515337 0.25 0.802 .5745641 2.047131 urban | .9271394 .223829 -0.31 0.754 .5776289 1.488131 occupa2 | 1.610386 .7091123 1.08 0.279 .6793832 3.817204 occupa3 | .8043067 .4357684 -0.40 0.688 .2781288 2.325934 demsat | .6264151 .14068 -2.08 0.037 .4033665 .9728024 lrself | 3.64652 .4253624 11.09 0.000 2.901262 4.583216 supeu | 1.628126 .3316523 2.39 0.017 1.092186 2.427054 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==soc is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [com-exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [d66]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [christ]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [com-exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [d66]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [christ]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 7.20 Prob > chi2 = 0.5150 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- com-exleft | 56 8.78 8.78 soc | 247 38.71 47.49 d66 | 33 5.17 52.66 christ | 187 29.31 81.97 lib | 115 18.03 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 638 100.00 >.98 .98 .98 .98 .99 .99 .99 .99 .99 .99 1 1 1 > 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .3754578 .0877743 .086381 .093264 .0787832 .0901984 .093303 .0576167 20 . .3871473 .4000713 .398502 .4102305 .4132298 .3930713 .4101754 22 .1905377 .0517241 .0515644 .0502041 .0336955 .0168892 .0625388 .0547854 63 .9131202 .2931034 .2922608 .2954865 .3043048 .3233214 .2861333 .2841417 70 .6623483 .1802508 .1697225 .1625434 .172986 .1563611 .1649536 .1932808 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .086381 .0911312 .0355196 .037474 .1719087 20 .4000713 .3775675 .0700235 .2432137 .5135635 22 .0515644 .0602792 .0391582 .0148851 .1621768 63 .2922608 .289997 .058666 .1829745 .4097463 70 .1697225 .1810252 .0494612 .0977285 .2887791 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .093264 .0169478 .0291217 -.0369845 .0797569 20 .398502 -.0011221 .0594195 -.1202233 .1176135 22 .0502041 -.0042983 .0417992 -.0881448 .0747067 63 .2954865 .0070878 .0548659 -.1028578 .1164232 70 .1625434 -.0186152 .0492434 -.1190658 .0775984 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0787832 -.0088751 .0318406 -.0718161 .0579348 20 .4102305 .0111913 .0605816 -.1109688 .1313843 22 .0336955 -.0226743 .0348893 -.0984314 .0356475 63 .3043048 .015256 .0465634 -.0738677 .1137387 70 .172986 .0051021 .035637 -.0638652 .0786732 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .093303 .0013247 .0294154 -.0639316 .0562641 20 .3930713 -.0184465 .0570497 -.1320691 .0953932 22 .0625388 .047473 .0365484 -.0039436 .1365432 63 .2861333 -.0372645 .0460623 -.1370592 .0494876 70 .1649536 .0069134 .0364578 -.0679951 .0778261 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0576167 -.0343365 .036158 -.1188055 .0260443 20 .4101754 -.0049874 .0688593 -.1416724 .1365467 22 .0547854 .0403889 .0392703 -.0149489 .1378421 63 .2841417 -.0369208 .0540511 -.1486748 .0665362 70 .1932808 .0358559 .0447181 -.0503163 .1284885 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0927722 .0357282 .0389958 .1743914 20 .3884697 .0594923 .275973 .5072576 22 .0613667 .0390851 .016073 .1618367 63 .2956984 .0544095 .1970588 .4082302 70 .1846091 .0474608 .1045849 .2882474 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0180918 .0304471 -.0377158 .0839768 20 -.0082334 .0488948 -.1053601 .0873617 22 -.0063534 .0418807 -.0897444 .0756232 63 .0041679 .048944 -.0897753 .1001703 70 -.028089 .0466564 -.1229294 .0614715 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0070138 .0321976 -.0699182 .06011 20 .0156261 .0480971 -.0749946 .112538 22 -.0221126 .0354321 -.098533 .039626 63 .0230591 .0439094 -.0574648 .1118253 70 .0015745 .0340352 -.0638409 .0717942 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0014012 .0300132 -.0684941 .0537263 20 -.0208606 .0452223 -.1139083 .0611948 22 .0459896 .037373 -.012874 .1342826 63 -.0461147 .0428864 -.1354064 .0286598 70 .0209871 .0345527 -.0497203 .0876991 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0386719 .0371607 -.1265444 .0208939 20 -.0023023 .0547455 -.1145159 .1033971 22 .0404334 .0387456 -.0197834 .1308978 63 -.04488 .049812 -.1495171 .0460535 70 .0567 .042906 -.0236595 .1458686