The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 657 LR chi2(48) = 675.66 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -586.11582 Pseudo R2 = 0.3656 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- com-exleft | _Iretnat_1 | 2.843304 4.084572 0.73 0.467 .1702248 47.49237 _Iretnat_3 | 1.847988 1.521681 0.75 0.456 .3679576 9.28112 age | .9265569 .0164472 -4.30 0.000 .8948754 .9593601 male | .7544311 .2753536 -0.77 0.440 .3689322 1.54274 income | 1.123584 .2308698 0.57 0.571 .7511101 1.680766 edulevel | 1.527889 .2386658 2.71 0.007 1.124939 2.075175 notrelig | .9647412 .2892612 -0.12 0.905 .5360343 1.736317 urban | 1.152466 .2701355 0.61 0.545 .7279617 1.824517 occupa2 | 1.033738 .4700602 0.07 0.942 .4239876 2.520391 occupa3 | 1.32383 .6321286 0.59 0.557 .5192586 3.375055 demsat | 1.577941 .3708131 1.94 0.052 .9955433 2.501045 lrself | .7780093 .1014468 -1.93 0.054 .6025516 1.004559 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- d66 | _Iretnat_1 | .6408662 .6992729 -0.41 0.683 .0755075 5.439324 _Iretnat_3 | .1598412 .0976703 -3.00 0.003 .0482576 .529434 age | .9768445 .0168625 -1.36 0.175 .9443474 1.01046 male | .9153538 .3954152 -0.20 0.838 .3925422 2.134478 income | .9578223 .2448404 -0.17 0.866 .5803623 1.580777 edulevel | 1.295382 .2296637 1.46 0.144 .9151344 1.833627 notrelig | 1.412812 .4949532 0.99 0.324 .711019 2.807291 urban | .5879935 .1785461 -1.75 0.080 .3242667 1.06621 occupa2 | 1.645965 .8577675 0.96 0.339 .5926943 4.57099 occupa3 | .8889239 .5470902 -0.19 0.848 .2660668 2.969877 demsat | 1.255849 .3620755 0.79 0.429 .7137171 2.209777 lrself | 1.601223 .2180815 3.46 0.001 1.226086 2.091138 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- christ | _Iretnat_1 | .2655446 .2720449 -1.29 0.196 .0356533 1.977769 _Iretnat_3 | .1263538 .0761887 -3.43 0.001 .0387553 .4119507 age | 1.034121 .0118421 2.93 0.003 1.01117 1.057594 male | .9072209 .2817324 -0.31 0.754 .4936022 1.667435 income | 1.073103 .1951836 0.39 0.698 .7513092 1.532724 edulevel | 1.181812 .1418596 1.39 0.164 .9340579 1.495281 notrelig | .1481191 .0607611 -4.66 0.000 .0662877 .3309705 urban | .8334684 .1674112 -0.91 0.364 .5622326 1.235555 occupa2 | .7374416 .2881692 -0.78 0.436 .3428504 1.586174 occupa3 | .5796904 .253209 -1.25 0.212 .2462583 1.364587 demsat | .4754854 .0969089 -3.65 0.000 .3188992 .7089588 lrself | 3.267241 .3672131 10.53 0.000 2.621275 4.072394 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | .4724124 .4655927 -0.76 0.447 .0684554 3.260131 _Iretnat_3 | .1479339 .0862592 -3.28 0.001 .0471778 .4638712 age | 1.008865 .0112766 0.79 0.430 .9870038 1.031211 male | .8327356 .2541081 -0.60 0.549 .4578932 1.514433 income | 1.611208 .295636 2.60 0.009 1.124519 2.308533 edulevel | 1.4231 .1687941 2.97 0.003 1.127909 1.795546 notrelig | .8131571 .2371789 -0.71 0.478 .4590912 1.44029 urban | .8584753 .1715722 -0.76 0.445 .5802423 1.270124 occupa2 | 1.257355 .4805817 0.60 0.549 .5944488 2.659506 occupa3 | .7814489 .3449408 -0.56 0.576 .3289805 1.856227 demsat | .7380623 .1488278 -1.51 0.132 .4971083 1.095809 lrself | 3.570702 .3975471 11.43 0.000 2.870677 4.44143 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==soc is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [com-exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [d66]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [christ]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [com-exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [d66]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [christ]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 19.75 Prob > chi2 = 0.0113 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- com-exleft | 51 7.76 7.76 soc | 231 35.16 42.92 d66 | 29 4.41 47.34 christ | 170 25.88 73.21 lib | 176 26.79 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 657 100.00 >.99 .99 1 1 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .7036495 .0776256 .0817207 .0854071 .0410955 .0342064 .0861578 .0899267 20 . .3515982 .3577369 .3689211 .2163624 .2087816 .3745748 .2578783 22 .0058492 .04414 .0464688 .0406142 .0935629 .0939475 .0393202 .086927 63 .0022873 .2587519 .2538664 .2516384 .333317 .3509173 .2490965 .2350494 70 .0023359 .2678843 .2602073 .2534191 .3156623 .3121473 .2508507 .3302187 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0817207 .0824772 .0350284 .0325632 .1653927 20 .3577369 .3435445 .0586339 .2327102 .4572992 22 .0464688 .050976 .0338963 .0118941 .138883 63 .2538664 .2572033 .0532465 .1632405 .3682565 70 .2602073 .265799 .0554738 .1656454 .3795904 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0854071 .0258581 .042896 -.0643175 .1004825 20 .3689211 .0904993 .0710545 -.0473063 .2284605 22 .0406142 -.0500698 .0631582 -.2018982 .0451554 63 .2516384 -.0216172 .0787655 -.1868369 .1241734 70 .2534191 -.0446704 .0840676 -.2200687 .1131465 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0410955 -.0388073 .0393948 -.1159408 .0364526 20 .2163624 -.1401532 .071737 -.2827405 -.0057216 22 .0935629 .0524011 .0555123 -.0257546 .1873846 63 .333317 .0766926 .0707637 -.0497255 .2245127 70 .3156623 .0498668 .0721007 -.0799381 .2034747 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0861578 .048638 .0350565 -.014065 .1215794 20 .3745748 .1555185 .0679837 .0311148 .2929459 22 .0393202 -.0584488 .0519298 -.1850947 .0121181 63 .2490965 -.0929293 .0683378 -.2367571 .0274269 70 .2508507 -.0527783 .069094 -.2009706 .0701736 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0899267 .0604919 .079101 -.0464829 .2547263 20 .2578783 .0389796 .1044189 -.1505359 .2596073 22 .086927 -.0030764 .0846362 -.1495065 .198661 63 .2350494 -.1088354 .1003771 -.307742 .0907705 70 .3302187 .0124402 .1054468 -.1951784 .2263342 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0844659 .0354571 .0343148 .1685697 20 .3546873 .0517641 .2593016 .4592685 22 .0537541 .0352436 .0129596 .1450454 63 .2633679 .0511979 .1732968 .3710804 70 .2721663 .0523591 .1787239 .3813691 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0233811 .0446127 -.0765842 .0987422 20 .0928708 .0614568 -.0281921 .2101622 22 -.0500157 .066415 -.2143153 .0474332 63 -.0221478 .0703036 -.1616472 .107974 70 -.0544167 .0699786 -.1971551 .0740779 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0361375 .0392727 -.1121357 .0427009 20 -.1396625 .0603894 -.2580948 -.0270193 22 .0559093 .0553885 -.016383 .1959745 63 .0708176 .060453 -.037485 .192856 70 .0538901 .0588692 -.0500337 .175355 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .04577 .0345557 -.0198771 .1168294 20 .1586471 .056548 .055772 .27115 22 -.0624738 .0524731 -.1966294 .0010564 63 -.0891252 .0582073 -.2082413 .0130704 70 -.054746 .0552613 -.1688402 .0417859 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0613541 .081798 -.0534334 .2654659 20 .0726946 .0962444 -.1027227 .2767053 22 -.0000465 .083121 -.1541137 .1958778 63 -.112739 .0889705 -.2941464 .0502699 70 .0482571 .096991 -.1349018 .2460752