The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 487 LR chi2(60) = 186.28 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -539.81151 Pseudo R2 = 0.1472 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- labor | _Iretnat_1 | .8858378 .3813498 -0.28 0.778 .3809914 2.059649 _Iretnat_3 | .9869319 .3540194 -0.04 0.971 .488602 1.993513 age | .984382 .0099466 -1.56 0.119 .9650789 1.004071 male | .8108244 .2503833 -0.68 0.497 .4426648 1.485178 edulevel | 1.162914 .193068 0.91 0.363 .8399051 1.610144 notrelig | 1.255374 .3730067 0.77 0.444 .7012252 2.247444 urban | .9922122 .1782829 -0.04 0.965 .697684 1.411076 pubhome | 1.714782 1.321368 0.70 0.484 .3786994 7.764678 ownhome | .8852801 .610181 -0.18 0.860 .2292917 3.418008 unionhld | 1.794251 .6056936 1.73 0.083 .9258466 3.47718 occupa2 | 1.028159 .4201878 0.07 0.946 .4615209 2.290494 occupa3 | .5976888 .2376848 -1.29 0.196 .2741417 1.303092 demsat | 1.540086 .2634128 2.52 0.012 1.101431 2.153439 lrself | .5257556 .0515941 -6.55 0.000 .4337632 .6372578 eusup | .8974611 .255776 -0.38 0.704 .5133618 1.568945 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- workers | _Iretnat_1 | .9929003 .6413632 -0.01 0.991 .279945 3.521589 _Iretnat_3 | 1.059647 .57948 0.11 0.916 .3628041 3.094927 age | .9689785 .0155568 -1.96 0.050 .9389626 .999954 male | .669555 .3173223 -0.85 0.397 .2644699 1.695104 edulevel | .980519 .2701795 -0.07 0.943 .5713597 1.682683 notrelig | 2.096894 .8626308 1.80 0.072 .9362784 4.696216 urban | 1.710308 .521406 1.76 0.078 .9409707 3.108653 pubhome | 1.175439 1.032719 0.18 0.854 .2100631 6.57734 ownhome | .3627841 .290392 -1.27 0.205 .0755615 1.741791 unionhld | 1.996044 .9762677 1.41 0.158 .7653261 5.205877 occupa2 | .7526256 .4702978 -0.45 0.649 .2211482 2.561383 occupa3 | .5373976 .3454342 -0.97 0.334 .1524584 1.894263 demsat | 1.185003 .302406 0.67 0.506 .7186172 1.954075 lrself | .4958215 .0748734 -4.65 0.000 .3687961 .6665985 eusup | .6893895 .2946241 -0.87 0.384 .2983232 1.593097 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- progdem | _Iretnat_1 | 1.579472 1.0332 0.70 0.485 .4382328 5.69271 _Iretnat_3 | 1.447139 .8448197 0.63 0.527 .4608831 4.543912 age | 1.003256 .0146051 0.22 0.823 .9750348 1.032293 male | .7163073 .3268613 -0.73 0.465 .292876 1.751922 edulevel | 1.33819 .3039775 1.28 0.200 .8573587 2.088686 notrelig | 1.509325 .5812499 1.07 0.285 .7095453 3.210595 urban | 1.124942 .2928199 0.45 0.651 .675405 1.873683 pubhome | 1.583357 2.012658 0.36 0.718 .1310957 19.12358 ownhome | 1.292892 1.412563 0.24 0.814 .1519053 11.00403 unionhld | 1.125857 .5982019 0.22 0.823 .3973876 3.189719 occupa2 | 1.811899 1.098355 0.98 0.327 .5522605 5.944617 occupa3 | 1.202585 .7271246 0.31 0.760 .3676632 3.933523 demsat | 1.951353 .5019187 2.60 0.009 1.178673 3.230564 lrself | .863296 .1068435 -1.19 0.235 .6773499 1.100288 eusup | 1.880513 .9637727 1.23 0.218 .6887018 5.134777 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- fg | _Iretnat_1 | .7338867 .2532335 -0.90 0.370 .3731771 1.443255 _Iretnat_3 | 1.099083 .3015438 0.34 0.731 .641941 1.881766 age | .9901326 .0075834 -1.29 0.195 .9753804 1.005108 male | 1.256971 .2976804 0.97 0.334 .7902063 1.999447 edulevel | 1.117686 .1378663 0.90 0.367 .8776563 1.423362 notrelig | 1.124674 .2757432 0.48 0.632 .6955565 1.818532 urban | .7962686 .1115822 -1.63 0.104 .6050338 1.047948 pubhome | 1.35632 .8936138 0.46 0.644 .3728608 4.933757 ownhome | .9850523 .527725 -0.03 0.978 .3447011 2.814984 unionhld | 1.004145 .2872733 0.01 0.988 .5731636 1.759197 occupa2 | 1.861801 .6456769 1.79 0.073 .9434841 3.673939 occupa3 | 1.963533 .5868844 2.26 0.024 1.093001 3.527407 demsat | 1.167876 .1598268 1.13 0.257 .8931155 1.527164 lrself | .8795586 .0536567 -2.10 0.035 .7804373 .9912692 eusup | 1.043563 .2444931 0.18 0.856 .6593155 1.651749 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==ff is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [labor]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [workers]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [progdem]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [fg]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [labor]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [workers]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [progdem]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [fg]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 2.38 Prob > chi2 = 0.9671 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- labor | 76 15.61 15.61 workers | 28 5.75 21.36 progdem | 24 4.93 26.28 fg | 122 25.05 51.33 ff | 237 48.67 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 487 100.00 >98 .99 .99 .99 .99 .99 1 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .9555269 .1560575 .1688254 .1676559 .1707728 .1743792 .1654707 .1657514 21 .9922731 .0574949 .0616881 .061443 .0622277 .0601366 .0613931 .0637334 22 .7553185 .0492813 .0504962 .0498162 .0499748 .0379491 .0521213 .0633743 30 .4531612 .2505133 .2478976 .2616192 .2265398 .2512394 .2637804 .1990008 60 . .486653 .4710927 .4594658 .4904848 .4762956 .4572345 .5081401 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .1688254 .1547938 .0604972 .0615106 .2912323 21 .0616881 .0652749 .045444 .0128812 .1797578 22 .0504962 .0611508 .0496853 .0102751 .192945 30 .2478976 .248341 .0761909 .123568 .4163824 60 .4710927 .4704394 .0878752 .3017988 .640353 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .1676559 -.0000495 .0428459 -.0880041 .0836178 21 .061443 -.001936 .0329129 -.069168 .0650659 22 .0498162 -.0036065 .0386375 -.0881934 .0702494 30 .2616192 .029249 .0537867 -.0780427 .1374943 60 .4594658 -.023657 .0632238 -.1476711 .1036438 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .1707728 -.0000846 .0431501 -.0834867 .089296 21 .0622277 .0026188 .0323823 -.0607467 .0705368 22 .0499748 .0019026 .0390149 -.0716938 .0895734 30 .2265398 -.0271677 .0538502 -.1347629 .0813307 60 .4904848 .0227309 .0619851 -.1017365 .1449539 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .1654707 -.0062811 .0401569 -.089824 .0699086 21 .0613931 -.0018942 .03098 -.0643879 .059648 22 .0521213 .0142151 .0346424 -.0545524 .091915 30 .2637804 .0126849 .0512481 -.0926132 .1151261 60 .4572345 -.0187246 .0560207 -.1301302 .0942633 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .1657514 -.0101163 .0470655 -.1043584 .0866073 21 .0637334 .0027849 .0335603 -.0638998 .0745473 22 .0633743 .0303567 .0469624 -.0394285 .1487472 30 .1990008 -.0536284 .0592632 -.1723222 .0612392 60 .5081401 .030603 .0728134 -.1155166 .1713287 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .1631895 .060036 .0699221 .2990393 21 .0681116 .0459017 .014394 .1836935 22 .0628105 .0497522 .0109602 .1944061 30 .2570133 .0741722 .1344419 .4195642 60 .486405 .0808701 .3321499 .6435293 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.0028279 .0417642 -.0888031 .0763535 21 .0007341 .0334188 -.0700835 .0677491 22 -.0028269 .036767 -.0814619 .0675469 30 .0271628 .0500632 -.0720037 .1231171 60 -.0254406 .0554097 -.1364232 .0760092 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0031627 .0420698 -.0756952 .090748 21 -.0001574 .0327726 -.0646148 .0701679 22 .0015291 .0378094 -.0699566 .0851504 30 -.0257835 .0502643 -.1216191 .0743915 60 .0247581 .0543389 -.074776 .1338726 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.0112624 .0379753 -.0914526 .0573199 21 .0003375 .0297714 -.0628549 .0587076 22 .014367 .0330573 -.0488986 .0880714 30 .0126655 .0463623 -.0802022 .0979843 60 -.0186689 .049634 -.1182908 .0717384 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.0102956 .0477302 -.1050717 .0863798 21 -.0005057 .0365886 -.0743208 .077293 22 .0297347 .0456377 -.0395287 .1427361 30 -.0492874 .0576354 -.1648706 .064446 60 .0349566 .0626974 -.080543 .1608767