The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 582 LR chi2(60) = 238.68 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -609.46695 Pseudo R2 = 0.1637 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- labor | _Iretnat_1 | .8782118 .4667622 -0.24 0.807 .3098794 2.488891 _Iretnat_3 | 2.370874 1.18352 1.73 0.084 .8912429 6.306972 age | .9989082 .0104206 -0.10 0.917 .9786916 1.019542 male | 1.026311 .3422801 0.08 0.938 .5338246 1.973145 edulevel | .6485989 .1268752 -2.21 0.027 .4420477 .9516634 newrelg | 2.132215 .6293806 2.57 0.010 1.195573 3.802647 urban | 1.22455 .2567486 0.97 0.334 .8119087 1.846911 pubhome | .8074424 .6556926 -0.26 0.792 .1643932 3.965877 ownhome | .6509233 .4568375 -0.61 0.541 .1644868 2.575898 unionhld | 2.412651 .8459177 2.51 0.012 1.213524 4.796679 occupa2 | .6896273 .3287733 -0.78 0.436 .270902 1.755564 occupa3 | 1.500457 .7150741 0.85 0.395 .589611 3.8184 demsat | .8932145 .0660417 -1.53 0.127 .7727169 1.032502 lrself | .6112802 .0573144 -5.25 0.000 .5086635 .7345984 eusup | 1.011356 .302687 0.04 0.970 .5625347 1.818271 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- workers | _Iretnat_1 | .3644613 .290962 -1.26 0.206 .0762268 1.742589 _Iretnat_3 | 1.471554 .9362233 0.61 0.544 .4228926 5.12062 age | .9665453 .0179714 -1.83 0.067 .9319562 1.002418 male | 1.400509 .6955865 0.68 0.498 .5290812 3.70723 edulevel | .3892561 .1235966 -2.97 0.003 .2089113 .7252855 newrelg | 4.089944 1.51584 3.80 0.000 1.978062 8.456583 urban | 2.00771 .6771946 2.07 0.039 1.036557 3.888738 pubhome | .3374155 .3318209 -1.10 0.269 .0490995 2.318746 ownhome | .275293 .2505005 -1.42 0.156 .0462649 1.638094 unionhld | 2.16426 1.16 1.44 0.150 .7569768 6.187802 occupa2 | .1908038 .1590492 -1.99 0.047 .0372432 .977523 occupa3 | .6144498 .5869134 -0.51 0.610 .0944999 3.995228 demsat | .8842681 .0956926 -1.14 0.256 .7152696 1.093196 lrself | .4970954 .0711297 -4.88 0.000 .3755267 .6580195 eusup | .643081 .2581084 -1.10 0.271 .2928367 1.412231 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- progdem | _Iretnat_1 | .6737646 .306459 -0.87 0.385 .2762757 1.643137 _Iretnat_3 | .5969016 .3064539 -1.01 0.315 .2182174 1.632737 age | .97696 .011314 -2.01 0.044 .9550347 .9993886 male | .4907745 .1804826 -1.94 0.053 .2386998 1.009048 edulevel | .8578892 .1679588 -0.78 0.434 .5844962 1.259159 newrelg | 1.927688 .6991544 1.81 0.070 .946921 3.924276 urban | .8234509 .1891304 -0.85 0.398 .5249689 1.291641 pubhome | .4877457 .4246539 -0.82 0.410 .0885316 2.68713 ownhome | .4661954 .2771544 -1.28 0.199 .1453873 1.494891 unionhld | .6960197 .3036733 -0.83 0.406 .2959664 1.636819 occupa2 | 2.272041 1.091019 1.71 0.087 .8864922 5.823142 occupa3 | 3.640061 1.64553 2.86 0.004 1.500768 8.828843 demsat | .8795852 .0773006 -1.46 0.144 .7404092 1.044923 lrself | .9791788 .0973505 -0.21 0.832 .8058145 1.189841 eusup | 1.998994 .8074976 1.71 0.086 .905664 4.412209 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- fg | _Iretnat_1 | .9277347 .2625927 -0.27 0.791 .5327134 1.615675 _Iretnat_3 | 1.072385 .3275918 0.23 0.819 .5892863 1.951531 age | 1.002186 .0060749 0.36 0.719 .9903497 1.014164 male | .7839126 .1637295 -1.17 0.244 .5205759 1.18046 edulevel | .9589394 .1068437 -0.38 0.707 .7708174 1.192974 newrelg | 1.783396 .4035687 2.56 0.011 1.144531 2.77887 urban | 1.20072 .1615001 1.36 0.174 .9224715 1.562898 pubhome | 1.068587 .658125 0.11 0.914 .319572 3.573147 ownhome | 1.830692 .9427991 1.17 0.240 .6671904 5.023202 unionhld | .440084 .118978 -3.04 0.002 .2590662 .7475847 occupa2 | .8421422 .2413394 -0.60 0.549 .4802306 1.476798 occupa3 | .8783123 .2493846 -0.46 0.648 .5034566 1.532272 demsat | .9272656 .0454684 -1.54 0.124 .8422976 1.020805 lrself | 1.072333 .0617445 1.21 0.225 .9578944 1.200442 eusup | 1.860335 .4208688 2.74 0.006 1.194047 2.898417 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==ff is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [labor]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [workers]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [progdem]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [fg]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [labor]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [workers]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [progdem]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [fg]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 11.67 Prob > chi2 = 0.1668 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- labor | 53 9.11 9.11 workers | 30 5.15 14.26 progdem | 40 6.87 21.13 fg | 160 27.49 48.63 ff | 299 51.37 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 582 100.00 > .93 .94 .95 .96 .97 .97 .98 .99 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0246722 .0910653 .0917762 .1018524 .067125 .0655235 .1276781 .0691169 21 .1189833 .0515464 .0532841 .0620688 .0460821 .0588232 .0636653 .0324478 22 .571615 .0687285 .0691549 .0739075 .0791074 .0953663 .0551125 .0717156 30 .8375008 .2749141 .2729943 .273501 .2729076 .2723007 .2775004 .2749667 60 . .5137457 .5127906 .4886703 .5347779 .5079863 .4760438 .5517531 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0917762 .1002038 .0460089 .0330298 .2146089 21 .0532841 .0650614 .0367306 .0169112 .1571603 22 .0691549 .0660044 .0411176 .0168288 .1802878 30 .2729943 .2778347 .0693248 .1536866 .4290983 60 .5127906 .4908957 .0846302 .3221788 .6586768 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .1018524 .0061057 .0306664 -.0521712 .0787392 21 .0620688 .0174626 .0245164 -.0202615 .0806985 22 .0739075 .0109965 .0372222 -.0589372 .1008088 30 .273501 .0018284 .0537723 -.1126321 .0999031 60 .4886703 -.0363933 .0636889 -.1627386 .0921616 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .067125 -.0531213 .0426895 -.1517077 .0260635 21 .0460821 -.0091887 .0369869 -.0882557 .0770671 22 .0791074 .0204729 .0372363 -.0453386 .1119112 30 .2729076 -.002404 .0563603 -.1077586 .1173494 60 .5347779 .044241 .0652835 -.0839167 .1772962 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .1276781 .0639717 .0436408 -.0121676 .1655706 21 .0636653 .0052513 .0308792 -.0692118 .071441 22 .0551125 -.0400848 .0383218 -.1469964 .0113723 30 .2775004 .011587 .0572339 -.1055509 .1222805 60 .4760438 -.0407253 .0675283 -.1774345 .0935484 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0691169 .0086136 .0341387 -.070199 .0790433 21 .0324478 -.0311313 .0353166 -.1244366 .025102 22 .0717156 -.0279922 .0359334 -.1281438 .0281914 30 .2749667 .008179 .0516144 -.0828245 .1210219 60 .5517531 .042331 .0629549 -.0833704 .1691495 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .1051578 .0459374 .0393162 .2233493 21 .0670719 .0372167 .0193707 .1652114 22 .067099 .0398257 .0176418 .1727645 30 .2886217 .0697534 .1654919 .4430675 60 .5098621 .075126 .3603929 .6596947 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0094361 .0299727 -.0484672 .0804587 21 .018558 .0266975 -.0245679 .089821 22 .0080357 .0363905 -.0656025 .0930549 30 .0040668 .0525199 -.1090639 .1114652 60 -.0361838 .0562765 -.1464351 .0849408 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.0529345 .0406339 -.1471468 .0256072 21 -.0113817 .0384585 -.0947179 .0719956 22 .019632 .03931 -.0487413 .1148179 30 -.0054808 .0542734 -.113528 .1130552 60 .0355239 .0575828 -.0854529 .1514414 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0623085 .0421261 -.0175167 .1603525 21 .0059138 .0328862 -.0711592 .0738369 22 -.0367714 .040345 -.1435356 .0240551 30 .0070082 .0551212 -.1131143 .1185314 60 -.0356055 .0592336 -.1568065 .0884436 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0015403 .03221 -.0739948 .0660033 21 -.0324075 .0364473 -.1313117 .0226924 22 -.0242872 .035104 -.1173685 .0358009 30 -.0026247 .0502184 -.1049533 .1039716 60 .0361655 .0549268 -.0830942 .1420753