The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 727 LR chi2(42) = 535.33 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -511.86184 Pseudo R2 = 0.3434 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- fdp | _Iretnat_1 | 1.440046 .5903855 0.89 0.374 .6447683 3.216246 _Iretnat_3 | .7021452 .4842214 -0.51 0.608 .1817237 2.712953 age | 1.010965 .012491 0.88 0.377 .986777 1.035746 male | 1.153383 .4642904 0.35 0.723 .5239927 2.538761 edulevel | 1.671888 .2664357 3.23 0.001 1.22337 2.284844 newrelg | 1.56082 .3971666 1.75 0.080 .9478857 2.570099 urban | .5229971 .1355643 -2.50 0.012 .314675 .8692332 ownhome | 1.308739 .5448546 0.65 0.518 .5787361 2.959549 unionhld | .2558774 .1693021 -2.06 0.039 .0699571 .9359054 occupa2 | 1.63554 .9522585 0.84 0.398 .5224768 5.119826 occupa3 | 5.241662 3.166523 2.74 0.006 1.604178 17.12717 demsat | 1.054302 .108645 0.51 0.608 .8614881 1.29027 lrself | 2.040658 .241312 6.03 0.000 1.618504 2.572921 eusup | 1.006188 .3351319 0.02 0.985 .5238038 1.932812 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- green | _Iretnat_1 | 1.639055 .6145661 1.32 0.188 .7860209 3.417848 _Iretnat_3 | 1.029641 .4536241 0.07 0.947 .4341861 2.441719 age | .9715496 .0123397 -2.27 0.023 .9476628 .9960384 male | .535582 .1852175 -1.81 0.071 .2719314 1.054855 edulevel | 1.140829 .1623111 0.93 0.354 .8632089 1.507734 newrelg | 2.299412 .4509619 4.25 0.000 1.565592 3.377185 urban | .8469512 .1736881 -0.81 0.418 .5666287 1.265955 ownhome | .6696644 .2658791 -1.01 0.313 .3075402 1.458185 unionhld | .3829116 .1805533 -2.04 0.042 .1519615 .964858 occupa2 | 1.14662 .4585606 0.34 0.732 .5236053 2.510934 occupa3 | 2.875472 1.309073 2.32 0.020 1.178136 7.018154 demsat | .7719184 .0628261 -3.18 0.001 .6581008 .9054205 lrself | 1.036843 .1138875 0.33 0.742 .8360192 1.285906 eusup | .8117335 .2335875 -0.72 0.469 .4618155 1.426785 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- christ | _Iretnat_1 | 1.369593 .3447714 1.25 0.212 .836212 2.243194 _Iretnat_3 | .6694562 .2492423 -1.08 0.281 .322712 1.388767 age | 1.003176 .0073407 0.43 0.665 .9888916 1.017668 male | .8056953 .1905858 -0.91 0.361 .5067813 1.280917 edulevel | 1.31194 .1331877 2.67 0.007 1.075227 1.600765 newrelg | .6856747 .1264913 -2.05 0.041 .4776293 .9843405 urban | .7634301 .1167254 -1.77 0.077 .5657492 1.030184 ownhome | 1.616341 .4104373 1.89 0.059 .9826244 2.658756 unionhld | .5207964 .1536045 -2.21 0.027 .292155 .9283733 occupa2 | .9437205 .2501862 -0.22 0.827 .5612864 1.586727 occupa3 | 2.051434 .6740895 2.19 0.029 1.077352 3.906227 demsat | 1.09133 .0665601 1.43 0.152 .9683697 1.229902 lrself | 2.70396 .2160107 12.45 0.000 2.312067 3.162278 eusup | 1.164448 .231203 0.77 0.443 .7890644 1.718412 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==soc is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [fdp]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [green]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [christ]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [fdp]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 5) [green]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [christ]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 6) = 4.99 Prob > chi2 = 0.5448 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- soc | 359 49.38 49.38 fdp | 38 5.23 54.61 green | 58 7.98 62.59 christ | 272 37.41 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 727 100.00 > .89 .9 .9 .91 .92 .92 .93 .94 .94 .95 .96 .97 .97 .98 .99 .99 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 . .4938102 .4883048 .5284167 .4526804 .5023916 .5444806 .4456247 40 .5013292 .0522696 .0519536 .0464735 .0559584 .0499108 .0443016 .0564247 50 .3969688 .0797799 .0780835 .0757623 .0902862 .0715966 .0784234 .0956745 60 .1708302 .3741403 .3816582 .3493475 .401075 .3761009 .3327944 .4022762 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .4883048 .4966352 .0620444 .3732748 .6131615 40 .0519536 .0554118 .036197 .0136911 .1531012 50 .0780835 .0828398 .0389017 .0289369 .1797773 60 .3816582 .3651132 .0554633 .2581787 .4740587 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .5284167 .0473254 .0495478 -.051662 .1495723 40 .0464735 -.0057144 .0310948 -.0648653 .0636812 50 .0757623 -.0051185 .0300773 -.0679654 .0554854 60 .3493475 -.0364925 .0450291 -.1333955 .0481754 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .4526804 -.0515666 .0423773 -.1407379 .0277644 40 .0559584 .0055268 .023825 -.0452045 .0565806 50 .0902862 .0201356 .0332629 -.0399016 .0951244 60 .401075 .0259042 .0356447 -.040935 .1062328 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .5444806 .0416488 .0588114 -.0821517 .1608549 40 .0443016 -.0054047 .0352885 -.0676894 .0747709 50 .0784234 .0066325 .03283 -.0567369 .0800828 60 .3327944 -.0428766 .0494874 -.1473886 .0512424 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .4456247 -.0568672 .0385855 -.1389036 .0118895 40 .0564247 .0058352 .0241878 -.0452083 .0591811 50 .0956745 .0260174 .030493 -.0254055 .0962034 60 .4022762 .0250145 .0362495 -.0421224 .1070944 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .492236 .054095 .3892718 .6003738 40 .053758 .0326154 .0153427 .1390646 50 .0812667 .0361207 .03122 .1718182 60 .3675089 .0494272 .277162 .4690156 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0426715 .0429798 -.0342159 .1302299 40 -.0099463 .0266884 -.0656135 .0467943 50 -.0007634 .0279162 -.0533759 .0589265 60 -.0352737 .0399591 -.1137807 .0426562 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.0563698 .0353945 -.1290271 .0109671 40 .0094681 .0209349 -.029253 .0600811 50 .0156373 .0282015 -.035236 .0802471 60 .0238897 .0290718 -.0312994 .0873252 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0270509 .0499346 -.0583228 .1283223 40 -.0104966 .0320143 -.0710647 .0633023 50 .0130328 .0324472 -.0375668 .0915994 60 -.043201 .0471694 -.1295475 .0495982 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.0639705 .0330299 -.1316999 .0006889 40 .0095981 .0197231 -.0238583 .060171 50 .0233426 .0245624 -.015924 .0858669 60 .0226408 .0282251 -.0302296 .0863142