The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 542 LR chi2(48) = 583.37 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -507.15962 Pseudo R2 = 0.3651 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pcf-psu | _Iretnat_1 | .1835107 .1171096 -2.66 0.008 .0525359 .6410118 _Iretnat_3 | .656373 .2468401 -1.12 0.263 .3140812 1.371701 age | .9847409 .0111715 -1.36 0.175 .9630868 1.006882 male | .7948206 .2808863 -0.65 0.516 .3976106 1.58884 edulevel | 1.411025 .3137433 1.55 0.121 .9125757 2.181727 notrelig | 2.192801 .8548339 2.01 0.044 1.021339 4.707916 urban | 1.118946 .1518231 0.83 0.408 .8576589 1.459834 occupa2 | .8589294 .3380206 -0.39 0.699 .3971715 1.857534 occupa3 | .3624789 .2026468 -1.82 0.069 .1211746 1.084311 demsat | 1.428407 .3413725 1.49 0.136 .8941798 2.281808 lrself | .735844 .0969866 -2.33 0.020 .5683221 .9527455 eusup | .3078174 .0866518 -4.19 0.000 .1772868 .5344534 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- green | _Iretnat_1 | .7820206 .3568373 -0.54 0.590 .3197522 1.912594 _Iretnat_3 | 1.107174 .4096325 0.28 0.783 .5361521 2.286355 age | .9782268 .0113542 -1.90 0.058 .9562242 1.000736 male | .6583547 .2231654 -1.23 0.218 .3387852 1.279368 edulevel | 1.828128 .3720092 2.96 0.003 1.226857 2.724075 notrelig | 1.173265 .3962268 0.47 0.636 .6052492 2.274353 urban | 1.028048 .1228067 0.23 0.817 .813452 1.299255 occupa2 | .6485705 .2530778 -1.11 0.267 .3018637 1.393489 occupa3 | .7123352 .3189498 -0.76 0.449 .2961808 1.713215 demsat | 2.89593 .6961018 4.42 0.000 1.807934 4.63867 lrself | 1.843921 .2350529 4.80 0.000 1.436269 2.367275 eusup | 1.115921 .3478799 0.35 0.725 .6057284 2.055839 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- rpr | _Iretnat_1 | 1.972595 .8526205 1.57 0.116 .8455139 4.602092 _Iretnat_3 | 1.458292 .6407947 0.86 0.391 .6163311 3.450443 age | 1.022942 .011771 1.97 0.049 1.00013 1.046275 male | 1.509414 .5541899 1.12 0.262 .7349961 3.099787 edulevel | 1.548285 .3433445 1.97 0.049 1.002514 2.391177 notrelig | .7921914 .2967884 -0.62 0.534 .3801316 1.650921 urban | .7621018 .098579 -2.10 0.036 .5914375 .9820128 occupa2 | .778216 .3418132 -0.57 0.568 .3290257 1.840647 occupa3 | 1.248646 .607353 0.46 0.648 .4812901 3.239453 demsat | 1.551596 .4474854 1.52 0.128 .8816363 2.730662 lrself | 6.391978 1.097516 10.80 0.000 4.565435 8.949286 eusup | .9979124 .3378538 -0.01 0.995 .5139361 1.937651 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- udf | _Iretnat_1 | .6504254 .2901313 -0.96 0.335 .2713359 1.55915 _Iretnat_3 | 1.364552 .5580472 0.76 0.447 .6121852 3.041568 age | 1.020991 .0113831 1.86 0.062 .9989225 1.043547 male | 2.564547 .9190402 2.63 0.009 1.270489 5.176668 edulevel | 1.08701 .233767 0.39 0.698 .7131461 1.656872 notrelig | 1.185896 .4295232 0.47 0.638 .5831055 2.411825 urban | .7926307 .0985465 -1.87 0.062 .6212156 1.011345 occupa2 | 1.003877 .4399736 0.01 0.993 .4252267 2.369956 occupa3 | 2.581457 1.185853 2.06 0.039 1.049169 6.351617 demsat | .965822 .2719641 -0.12 0.902 .5561716 1.677202 lrself | 5.091254 .8403254 9.86 0.000 3.684102 7.035872 eusup | .5596866 .1786163 -1.82 0.069 .2994301 1.046151 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==ps-mrg is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [pcf-psu]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [green]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [rpr]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [udf]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [pcf-psu]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [green]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [rpr]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [udf]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 19.28 Prob > chi2 = 0.0134 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- pcf-psu | 54 9.96 9.96 ps-mrg | 217 40.04 50.00 green | 58 10.70 60.70 rpr | 114 21.03 81.73 udf | 99 18.27 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 542 100.00 > .98 .98 .99 .99 .99 .99 .99 .99 1 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0258631 .099631 .0968137 .0956136 .0744405 .1247748 .0907302 .0370123 20 . .400369 .3783279 .3653909 .407015 .367653 .3629501 .436471 50 .7774093 .1070111 .1258368 .1302741 .1174478 .1271855 .1313183 .1134437 60 .2780978 .2103321 .205004 .1853024 .2472203 .1697756 .1896056 .2843167 70 .3278628 .1826568 .1940176 .223419 .1538763 .2106112 .2253957 .1287563 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0968137 .1046303 .0430947 .0418388 .2058482 20 .3783279 .3898155 .0703802 .2532503 .5252335 50 .1258368 .1119967 .0486441 .0419557 .227509 60 .205004 .209857 .0533156 .1166978 .3215264 70 .1940176 .1837005 .0553369 .0912203 .303716 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0956136 .0030275 .032198 -.0607482 .0649853 20 .3653909 -.0203137 .0504469 -.121714 .0775365 50 .1302741 .007151 .0341119 -.0595522 .0778029 60 .1853024 -.0367699 .0437178 -.1229183 .0483022 70 .223419 .0469052 .0449169 -.0397704 .1389055 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0744405 -.0342317 .040285 -.1183525 .0380467 20 .407015 .038722 .0573047 -.0715169 .1553628 50 .1174478 -.0099896 .0381947 -.0866675 .0665671 60 .2472203 .0556492 .0401844 -.0179062 .1391237 70 .1538763 -.05015 .0378674 -.1274661 .0223358 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0907302 -.0317527 .0309593 -.1000485 .0219481 20 .3629501 -.0011166 .0482499 -.0964206 .0935242 50 .1313183 .0047309 .0325718 -.058055 .0737243 60 .1896056 .016344 .0379758 -.0549216 .0949139 70 .2253957 .0117944 .0425588 -.0705959 .0998631 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0370123 -.0883403 .0435559 -.187092 -.019193 20 .436471 .0729247 .0607033 -.0424118 .1983379 50 .1134437 -.0107184 .0400011 -.0880506 .0718825 60 .2843167 .1073167 .0463307 .0279482 .2077772 70 .1287563 -.0811826 .0395895 -.1613424 -.0058515 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1067436 .0430455 .0435386 .2080031 20 .4024602 .0623848 .2856585 .5273721 50 .1158788 .049161 .0452675 .2338807 60 .2148208 .0517706 .1263702 .3256086 70 .18855 .053986 .0994375 .3074271 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .005533 .0321653 -.0565839 .0703615 20 -.0142033 .042515 -.0972308 .0706119 50 .005081 .0337569 -.0600578 .0765488 60 -.0395947 .0410825 -.1210032 .0416508 70 .0379834 .0425913 -.0405048 .1266724 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0369648 .0397072 -.1219245 .0329041 20 .0226271 .0460358 -.069656 .1132229 50 -.0108413 .0370054 -.0882777 .061697 60 .0595343 .0396278 -.0143012 .1419718 70 -.0537063 .0379082 -.1345494 .0142215 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0290029 .0305666 -.0948068 .0271596 20 -.0038885 .0409638 -.0819738 .0778015 50 -.0031159 .0331059 -.0669101 .0666923 60 .0086378 .0356652 -.0582841 .0835486 70 -.0063194 .0387126 -.0802747 .0720723 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0901007 .0431179 -.1892088 -.0225951 20 .0356954 .0477534 -.0604847 .1315793 50 -.0217288 .0385043 -.102511 .0546744 60 .1084618 .0462329 .0280124 .2092659 70 -.0981069 .0414883 -.1890137 -.0268776