The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 436 LR chi2(60) = 397.85 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -446.29481 Pseudo R2 = 0.3083 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pcf-psu | _Iretnat_1 | 1.345242 1.307652 0.31 0.760 .2001633 9.041 _Iretnat_3 | 1.058091 .5695592 0.10 0.916 .3684087 3.038896 age | .9610654 .0185729 -2.05 0.040 .925344 .9981657 male | 2.292959 1.207268 1.58 0.115 .8170142 6.435216 edulevel | 1.031893 .2290438 0.14 0.888 .6678791 1.594305 notrelig | 1.2395 .2632642 1.01 0.312 .8174389 1.879481 urban | 1.351948 .4576114 0.89 0.373 .6963742 2.624685 pubhome | 3.208183 2.345587 1.59 0.111 .7654614 13.44606 ownhome | 2.440802 1.560785 1.40 0.163 .6969904 8.547485 unionhld | 2.832886 1.575897 1.87 0.061 .9521752 8.428327 occupa2 | 1.869226 .9904174 1.18 0.238 .6616815 5.280495 occupa3 | .5653347 .4734358 -0.68 0.496 .1095148 2.918359 demsat | 2.15094 .7631182 2.16 0.031 1.07309 4.311423 lrself | .618349 .1139586 -2.61 0.009 .4308852 .8873721 eusup | .3579635 .14256 -2.58 0.010 .1640005 .781326 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- green | _Iretnat_1 | 1.007295 .7730842 0.01 0.992 .2238061 4.533582 _Iretnat_3 | 1.60375 .5141588 1.47 0.141 .8555462 3.006285 age | .9689591 .0105232 -2.90 0.004 .9485519 .9898053 male | .73175 .2209605 -1.03 0.301 .4048857 1.322492 edulevel | 1.322963 .182722 2.03 0.043 1.009214 1.734251 notrelig | .883659 .1241896 -0.88 0.379 .6708982 1.163892 urban | 1.128292 .2287547 0.60 0.552 .7583071 1.678795 pubhome | .1736041 .1234885 -2.46 0.014 .0430607 .6999046 ownhome | 1.346167 .4448583 0.90 0.368 .704382 2.572702 unionhld | .6546807 .3308317 -0.84 0.402 .2431585 1.762665 occupa2 | 1.152058 .4147052 0.39 0.694 .5689423 2.332816 occupa3 | .6335854 .2588678 -1.12 0.264 .2844622 1.411191 demsat | 1.505641 .3347678 1.84 0.066 .973785 2.327981 lrself | 1.500457 .1656183 3.68 0.000 1.208563 1.862851 eusup | .4183054 .1255246 -2.90 0.004 .2323089 .7532186 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- rpr | _Iretnat_1 | 1.655938 1.511146 0.55 0.580 .2768659 9.904178 _Iretnat_3 | 1.208073 .5483893 0.42 0.677 .4962506 2.940933 age | .9941464 .0130219 -0.45 0.654 .9689489 1.019999 male | .6985676 .2756213 -0.91 0.363 .3223777 1.513742 edulevel | 1.369874 .2301826 1.87 0.061 .9854888 1.904188 notrelig | .5805907 .1404114 -2.25 0.025 .3614212 .932667 urban | .8396632 .2230397 -0.66 0.511 .498885 1.41322 pubhome | 2.517984 1.721261 1.35 0.177 .6594512 9.614422 ownhome | 1.530856 .7119385 0.92 0.360 .6152833 3.808845 unionhld | 1.637338 1.178178 0.69 0.493 .3996131 6.708678 occupa2 | 2.377422 1.291069 1.59 0.111 .8200829 6.892152 occupa3 | 3.799032 1.99437 2.54 0.011 1.357749 10.62983 demsat | 1.599597 .4481447 1.68 0.094 .9237129 2.770027 lrself | 4.017522 .608404 9.18 0.000 2.985756 5.405828 eusup | .7179817 .2743161 -0.87 0.386 .3395459 1.518197 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- udf | _Iretnat_1 | 1.301568 1.060361 0.32 0.746 .2636393 6.425746 _Iretnat_3 | 1.287814 .5174604 0.63 0.529 .5859081 2.83059 age | 1.004352 .0117983 0.37 0.712 .981492 1.027745 male | 1.074524 .3826972 0.20 0.840 .5346337 2.159613 edulevel | 1.453721 .2183304 2.49 0.013 1.083033 1.951285 notrelig | .6982048 .1387341 -1.81 0.071 .4729858 1.030665 urban | .8729225 .2108996 -0.56 0.574 .5436557 1.401611 pubhome | 1.899096 1.211287 1.01 0.315 .5440407 6.629223 ownhome | 1.688041 .7151552 1.24 0.217 .7358053 3.872602 unionhld | 1.016467 .6860097 0.02 0.981 .2707824 3.815628 occupa2 | 1.39408 .6678068 0.69 0.488 .545175 3.564833 occupa3 | 2.445451 1.136499 1.92 0.054 .9834938 6.0806 demsat | 1.675011 .4336353 1.99 0.046 1.00845 2.782153 lrself | 2.835023 .3854505 7.66 0.000 2.171836 3.70072 eusup | 1.061629 .3909275 0.16 0.871 .5158599 2.184811 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==ps-mrg is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [pcf-psu]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [green]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [rpr]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [udf]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [pcf-psu]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [green]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [rpr]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [udf]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 2.84 Prob > chi2 = 0.9438 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- pcf-psu | 29 6.65 6.65 ps-mrg | 167 38.30 44.95 green | 88 20.18 65.14 rpr | 76 17.43 82.57 udf | 76 17.43 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 436 100.00 > .98 .98 .98 .98 .99 .99 .99 .99 1 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .954403 .0665138 .068316 .0662482 .0751131 .0729581 .068893 .0862903 20 . .3830275 .3810364 .3660609 .4023343 .4152389 .3631206 .3806232 50 .3127037 .2018349 .2160958 .2344961 .1780521 .1844835 .2382626 .1652472 60 .8311653 .1743119 .1629811 .1600501 .1760468 .1632513 .1584053 .1997549 70 .8131894 .1743119 .1715708 .1731447 .1684537 .1640683 .1713184 .1680843 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .068316 .0739891 .0470282 .0168522 .1923537 20 .3810364 .3709582 .087525 .2066894 .5432623 50 .2160958 .2043539 .076605 .0866324 .3808164 60 .1629811 .1748461 .0617027 .0754491 .3100248 70 .1715708 .1758527 .0694682 .0694145 .3366488 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0662482 -.0057359 .0397771 -.0939555 .0715402 20 .3660609 -.0382947 .0691788 -.1801569 .0993848 50 .2344961 .0469131 .0546113 -.060447 .1593331 60 .1600501 -.007045 .0386027 -.0910131 .0653686 70 .1731447 .0041626 .0450167 -.0945644 .0907723 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0751131 .0083756 .0414959 -.0656622 .104699 20 .4023343 .0136297 .0754459 -.136085 .1650992 50 .1780521 -.0344221 .0629962 -.1564592 .0980476 60 .1760468 .0136861 .0554321 -.0861557 .1362558 70 .1684537 -.0012693 .0590608 -.1095605 .134611 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .068893 -.0032637 .0305943 -.0685948 .0587257 20 .3631206 -.0449785 .0561819 -.1638856 .0645463 50 .2382626 .0464734 .0477569 -.044081 .1489887 60 .1584053 -.0048274 .0410011 -.0896834 .0755661 70 .1713184 .0065961 .0452424 -.0905726 .0963771 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0862903 .0159167 .0615543 -.0841063 .1674249 20 .3806232 -.0389222 .1092582 -.2600525 .1736954 50 .1652472 -.0169064 .0901003 -.1751314 .188276 60 .1997549 .0340311 .0895838 -.1204698 .23911 70 .1680843 .0058808 .0908462 -.1503897 .2242098 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0763389 .048062 .0178032 .1970536 20 .3837582 .0775701 .239713 .540248 50 .2099323 .0728576 .0957586 .3781151 60 .1797692 .0607475 .0821536 .3145964 70 .1823366 .067954 .0776601 .3395139 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0077555 .0401678 -.0967482 .068841 20 -.0526973 .0583555 -.1694404 .0617323 50 .045331 .0524904 -.0557089 .1534114 60 -.0011632 .0385341 -.0827385 .0735739 70 .0161736 .045324 -.0751696 .1081588 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0106213 .042685 -.0646535 .1101562 20 .0261663 .0639041 -.0983094 .1561414 50 -.0341131 .0609789 -.152782 .0926772 60 .0063872 .0538626 -.0936961 .1220329 70 -.0144998 .0547194 -.1204388 .1007174 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0047573 .0315186 -.0728083 .0583181 20 -.0622378 .0474583 -.1583105 .0280912 50 .0499727 .0447382 -.0298096 .1469663 60 .0058065 .0399061 -.073737 .0865807 70 .0226464 .0434118 -.0605132 .1128869 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0207009 .0646788 -.0815 .1800486 20 -.0360343 .0932067 -.2214804 .1560893 50 -.0029896 .0913235 -.1626724 .2128415 60 .0388155 .0874345 -.1142363 .2374436 70 .0049064 .0823951 -.1441462 .1954768