The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 523 LR chi2(60) = 476.70 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -530.24074 Pseudo R2 = 0.3101 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pcf-psu | _Iretnat_1 | .6683771 .426751 -0.63 0.528 .1912226 2.336167 _Iretnat_3 | .63806 .2842044 -1.01 0.313 .2665138 1.527578 age | .978576 .015837 -1.34 0.181 .9480231 1.010114 male | 1.035084 .4451936 0.08 0.936 .4455238 2.40481 edulevel | .9168435 .2345505 -0.34 0.734 .5553126 1.513746 notrelig | 1.22698 .2180675 1.15 0.250 .8660761 1.738277 urban | 1.167912 .3323502 0.55 0.585 .6686297 2.040021 pubhome | 1.719415 .9203565 1.01 0.311 .6022207 4.909146 ownhome | 1.209417 .6129319 0.38 0.708 .4479065 3.265612 unionhld | 2.245562 1.058009 1.72 0.086 .8918193 5.654228 occupa2 | .4737595 .2220301 -1.59 0.111 .1890765 1.187075 occupa3 | .470044 .3571353 -0.99 0.320 .1060237 2.083886 demsat | 2.737521 .7987916 3.45 0.001 1.54519 4.8499 lrself | .5543388 .0923867 -3.54 0.000 .3998647 .7684886 eusup | .6940215 .2446989 -1.04 0.300 .3477405 1.38513 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- green | _Iretnat_1 | .7394111 .319824 -0.70 0.485 .3167439 1.726091 _Iretnat_3 | .9672246 .3025797 -0.11 0.915 .5238941 1.785711 age | .9829327 .0093799 -1.80 0.071 .9647194 1.00149 male | .8567721 .2429336 -0.55 0.586 .4914861 1.493549 edulevel | .9201276 .1638234 -0.47 0.640 .6490774 1.304366 notrelig | 1.216069 .1562276 1.52 0.128 .9453772 1.56427 urban | 1.070986 .2133771 0.34 0.731 .7247614 1.582604 pubhome | .5079128 .2387252 -1.44 0.149 .2021688 1.27604 ownhome | 1.008611 .331845 0.03 0.979 .5292587 1.922114 unionhld | .568598 .2720341 -1.18 0.238 .2226206 1.452263 occupa2 | 1.456184 .5076239 1.08 0.281 .7353407 2.88366 occupa3 | 2.000965 .8226117 1.69 0.092 .8939316 4.478936 demsat | 1.880414 .3641849 3.26 0.001 1.286468 2.748577 lrself | 1.966987 .2325341 5.72 0.000 1.560176 2.479871 eusup | 1.003952 .2507938 0.02 0.987 .6152867 1.638131 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- rpr | _Iretnat_1 | .7936361 .4429294 -0.41 0.679 .265806 2.369617 _Iretnat_3 | 1.179316 .4758692 0.41 0.683 .534761 2.600764 age | 1.005097 .0111089 0.46 0.646 .9835584 1.027108 male | .9281523 .3227043 -0.21 0.830 .4695368 1.834716 edulevel | 1.213255 .271199 0.86 0.387 .7828575 1.880274 notrelig | 1.000492 .1786463 0.00 0.998 .705057 1.41972 urban | .9249482 .2336789 -0.31 0.757 .5637283 1.517627 pubhome | .2301028 .1527763 -2.21 0.027 .062628 .8454257 ownhome | 1.166967 .4790497 0.38 0.707 .5219554 2.609059 unionhld | .8075403 .4469536 -0.39 0.699 .2729262 2.389369 occupa2 | 2.046896 .912411 1.61 0.108 .8544166 4.903676 occupa3 | 2.657465 1.306251 1.99 0.047 1.014069 6.96414 demsat | 2.288941 .5275287 3.59 0.000 1.457 3.595918 lrself | 5.157964 .8069952 10.49 0.000 3.795794 7.008967 eusup | .7127061 .2171764 -1.11 0.266 .3922217 1.295058 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- udf | _Iretnat_1 | 1.468873 .8144778 0.69 0.488 .4954503 4.354802 _Iretnat_3 | 1.706231 .737976 1.24 0.217 .7309334 3.982887 age | .9973146 .0112761 -0.24 0.812 .9754569 1.019662 male | 1.331355 .4780154 0.80 0.425 .6586804 2.690995 edulevel | 1.281972 .2956152 1.08 0.281 .8158238 2.014469 notrelig | .7388995 .1518452 -1.47 0.141 .493926 1.105373 urban | .6124447 .1622179 -1.85 0.064 .3644262 1.029258 pubhome | .8698744 .5136023 -0.24 0.813 .2734509 2.767157 ownhome | 1.241552 .5456407 0.49 0.622 .5246581 2.93801 unionhld | .5487996 .3160137 -1.04 0.297 .1775288 1.696519 occupa2 | 1.885264 .8637638 1.38 0.166 .7680341 4.627684 occupa3 | 2.286595 1.146649 1.65 0.099 .8557381 6.109948 demsat | 1.876359 .4605233 2.56 0.010 1.15985 3.0355 lrself | 4.347025 .6828538 9.35 0.000 3.195073 5.9143 eusup | 1.148851 .3644333 0.44 0.662 .6169491 2.139331 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==ps-mrg is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [pcf-psu]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [green]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [rpr]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [udf]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [pcf-psu]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [green]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [rpr]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [udf]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 4.09 Prob > chi2 = 0.8486 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- pcf-psu | 41 7.84 7.84 ps-mrg | 212 40.54 48.37 green | 91 17.40 65.77 rpr | 104 19.89 85.66 udf | 75 14.34 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 523 100.00 >.99 .99 1 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .571161 .0783939 .0783939 .0731466 .0847788 .0941027 .0698456 .0749994 20 . .4053537 .4053537 .4014635 .4155326 .3980496 .4010559 .4318408 50 .7691881 .1739962 .1739962 .1758331 .172238 .1900529 .1730542 .1533467 60 .7372258 .1988528 .1988528 .2032473 .1957484 .207789 .201989 .1745978 70 .4644758 .1434034 .1434034 .1463094 .1317022 .1100057 .1540554 .1652154 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0783939 .0841827 .0433201 .0255908 .1859573 20 .4053537 .3931267 .080814 .2403906 .5478793 50 .1739962 .1779599 .069028 .0742131 .3371045 60 .1988528 .1981095 .0603147 .0975424 .3261124 70 .1434034 .1466213 .0580574 .0589125 .2780915 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0731466 -.0107135 .0324925 -.0806692 .0479666 20 .4014635 -.0061441 .0617888 -.129255 .1128929 50 .1758331 .0022597 .0491095 -.0943376 .1006103 60 .2032473 .007555 .0396052 -.0721587 .0865129 70 .1463094 .007043 .0411469 -.0740314 .086528 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0847788 .0077099 .0334852 -.0529882 .0803425 20 .4155326 .0091407 .0587198 -.1037042 .1269791 50 .172238 -.0005106 .0492941 -.0972687 .0986087 60 .1957484 -.0022358 .0445941 -.0907878 .0878077 70 .1317022 -.0141042 .0444603 -.0978778 .0766995 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0698456 -.0230904 .0283607 -.0884592 .0227707 20 .4010559 .0046997 .052392 -.1010009 .1046291 50 .1730542 -.0195319 .0455067 -.1124287 .0686564 60 .201989 -.0074759 .0401054 -.0882123 .071768 70 .1540554 .0453985 .0398601 -.0263932 .1288432 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0749994 -.0171608 .0394068 -.0975508 .0626244 20 .4318408 .0290972 .0685466 -.1037084 .1657025 50 .1533467 -.0367965 .0557902 -.1502966 .070937 60 .1745978 -.031317 .0533451 -.1371757 .0769495 70 .1652154 .0561772 .0542426 -.0328125 .1799141 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0862936 .0439025 .0269055 .1891821 20 .4065473 .0716732 .2718129 .5469811 50 .1831177 .0664797 .0807066 .3351125 60 .2043658 .0585418 .1081199 .3309839 70 .1513959 .0574805 .0641666 .2823258 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0109043 .0329027 -.0815689 .0486121 20 -.0042188 .0494043 -.1015799 .0907784 50 .0021136 .0452375 -.0893568 .0898104 60 .0067181 .0380504 -.0698073 .0813787 70 .0058012 .0400763 -.0713688 .0835536 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0076415 .0344101 -.0546412 .0817073 20 .0060035 .0469339 -.0841463 .098222 50 -.0021586 .0454687 -.0893835 .0906785 60 -.0057677 .0416381 -.0868294 .0779436 70 -.0123936 .0424172 -.0927656 .0707518 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0251954 .0291448 -.0933469 .0213453 20 .0104662 .0415032 -.0701105 .092257 50 -.0182024 .0401837 -.1017443 .0576659 60 -.0011708 .0368347 -.075723 .0706577 70 .0453383 .0375733 -.0191178 .1259364 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0214067 .0404648 -.1056161 .0567662 20 .0317623 .0563343 -.0723653 .1452739 50 -.0385363 .0542821 -.1458616 .0687641 60 -.0214813 .0508024 -.1205124 .079617 70 .0577476 .0522715 -.0264122 .1746626