The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 555 LR chi2(52) = 553.51 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -552.39813 Pseudo R2 = 0.3338 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pcf-psu | _Iretnat_1 | 1.430046 .5481123 0.93 0.351 .6746818 3.031106 _Iretnat_3 | 2.266923 .8343034 2.22 0.026 1.101961 4.663451 age | .9970417 .0118368 -0.25 0.803 .9741098 1.020513 male | 1.280744 .3763132 0.84 0.400 .720044 2.278063 income | .8287433 .1307765 -1.19 0.234 .6082745 1.129121 edulevel | .7828757 .1014643 -1.89 0.059 .6072579 1.009282 notrelig | 1.143151 .2097279 0.73 0.466 .7978813 1.637831 urban | 1.481865 .2958043 1.97 0.049 1.002063 2.191403 occupa2 | .5337361 .19453 -1.72 0.085 .2612705 1.090342 occupa3 | .4923435 .2236511 -1.56 0.119 .2021171 1.199316 demsat | 1.152566 .2098099 0.78 0.435 .8067064 1.646707 lrself | .6568512 .0704956 -3.92 0.000 .5322468 .8106268 supeu | .7920407 .1015575 -1.82 0.069 .6160333 1.018335 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- green | _Iretnat_1 | .7572237 .4035404 -0.52 0.602 .2664409 2.152026 _Iretnat_3 | 2.015072 .8973012 1.57 0.116 .8418893 4.8231 age | 1.00414 .0156964 0.26 0.792 .9738417 1.03538 male | .7263083 .271073 -0.86 0.392 .3494904 1.509408 income | .6342029 .1388573 -2.08 0.038 .4129139 .9740852 edulevel | 1.236637 .2088761 1.26 0.209 .8881139 1.721931 notrelig | .9837391 .2357688 -0.07 0.945 .6150012 1.573562 urban | 1.425651 .3559206 1.42 0.155 .8739902 2.325518 occupa2 | 1.671518 .7506521 1.14 0.253 .6931865 4.030622 occupa3 | .1767536 .1364646 -2.24 0.025 .0389214 .8026901 demsat | 1.452257 .3583769 1.51 0.131 .8953456 2.355573 lrself | 1.505353 .1994171 3.09 0.002 1.161123 1.951636 supeu | .9230992 .1645223 -0.45 0.653 .650939 1.309051 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- rpr | _Iretnat_1 | .3909681 .2641522 -1.39 0.165 .1040013 1.469752 _Iretnat_3 | 3.057604 1.285264 2.66 0.008 1.341463 6.969215 age | 1.011327 .0142061 0.80 0.423 .9838636 1.039558 male | 1.676531 .5954163 1.45 0.146 .835813 3.3629 income | 1.091058 .2230431 0.43 0.670 .7308665 1.628761 edulevel | 1.081907 .1679962 0.51 0.612 .7980261 1.466772 notrelig | .7541736 .1966748 -1.08 0.279 .4523695 1.25733 urban | 1.00914 .2346072 0.04 0.969 .6398263 1.591625 occupa2 | .9994479 .4640485 -0.00 0.999 .4022936 2.483002 occupa3 | .7832408 .4643971 -0.41 0.680 .2450209 2.50373 demsat | 1.357362 .3200859 1.30 0.195 .8550071 2.154872 lrself | 4.601937 .7075273 9.93 0.000 3.404648 6.220268 supeu | 1.198124 .2071704 1.05 0.296 .8537257 1.681454 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- udf | _Iretnat_1 | .1611589 .1206378 -2.44 0.015 .03716 .6989291 _Iretnat_3 | 2.245498 .8890689 2.04 0.041 1.033458 4.879016 age | 1.036211 .0146158 2.52 0.012 1.007957 1.065257 male | 1.630724 .5713836 1.40 0.163 .8205986 3.240634 income | .9155332 .1861753 -0.43 0.664 .6145833 1.363853 edulevel | 1.300181 .1989562 1.72 0.086 .9632772 1.754916 notrelig | .8390101 .2129309 -0.69 0.489 .5102021 1.379724 urban | .9584591 .2203087 -0.18 0.854 .6108278 1.503933 occupa2 | 1.371032 .6348285 0.68 0.496 .5532434 3.397654 occupa3 | .4589586 .2779792 -1.29 0.199 .1400307 1.504263 demsat | 1.391699 .3288481 1.40 0.162 .8758155 2.211454 lrself | 3.458382 .5066624 8.47 0.000 2.595193 4.608678 supeu | 1.006396 .1695005 0.04 0.970 .7234474 1.40001 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==ps-mrg is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [pcf-psu]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [green]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [rpr]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [udf]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [pcf-psu]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [green]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [rpr]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [udf]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 25.87 Prob > chi2 = 0.0011 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- pcf-psu | 86 15.50 15.50 ps-mrg | 203 36.58 52.07 green | 42 7.57 59.64 rpr | 128 23.06 82.70 udf | 96 17.30 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 555 100.00 >8 .98 .99 .99 .99 .99 .99 .99 1 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0739515 .154955 .1519902 .1544672 .143876 .1178479 .1740411 .1656146 20 . .3657658 .3600515 .3166833 .4426259 .4212024 .2798324 .4891367 50 .0798596 .0756757 .0778308 .0839369 .0716228 .0743815 .0896684 .0799607 60 .0004744 .2306306 .2319047 .2489767 .1900175 .1950074 .2568542 .1928914 70 .0003928 .172973 .1782229 .1959359 .1518578 .1915608 .1996039 .0723966 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1519902 .156109 .0510015 .0728551 .2699233 20 .3600515 .3559233 .0719677 .2191785 .4981764 50 .0778308 .0832386 .0466206 .0241101 .2016336 60 .2319047 .2293279 .055428 .1306497 .3449169 70 .1782229 .1754012 .0580069 .0822135 .306119 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1544672 .0065976 .0500959 -.0917406 .1071327 20 .3166833 -.087406 .0692958 -.2281039 .0448702 50 .0839369 .0135698 .0377174 -.0583568 .0949385 60 .2489767 .032655 .0321438 -.02836 .1014394 70 .1959359 .0345837 .0378787 -.0300548 .1177687 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .143876 -.0118812 .0343202 -.0802807 .0558712 20 .4426259 .0967305 .0589208 -.0107178 .219757 50 .0716228 -.0064422 .0363903 -.0780025 .0691846 60 .1900175 -.0499895 .0535792 -.159611 .0555513 70 .1518578 -.0284176 .0552843 -.1424939 .0748293 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1740411 .0572389 .0388402 -.0148293 .1378995 20 .2798324 -.1355175 .0564211 -.2506129 -.0321043 50 .0896684 .0140245 .0351018 -.0561718 .0842713 60 .2568542 .0574956 .0429774 -.0259519 .1456539 70 .1996039 .0067585 .0448345 -.0759063 .0997325 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1656146 .0442615 .0418841 -.0330942 .1329363 20 .4891367 .0567071 .0765214 -.0851556 .218205 50 .0799607 .0055201 .0446695 -.0830277 .0995599 60 .1928914 .0016519 .0648195 -.1351907 .1277032 70 .0723966 -.1081406 .0670622 -.2495349 .0182911 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1599178 .0504502 .0773788 .2721378 20 .3670656 .0651205 .2447098 .4983116 50 .0854092 .0461667 .0257679 .2017237 60 .2340381 .052918 .1428401 .3470132 70 .1789229 .0550575 .0905653 .3030007 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0053595 .0483356 -.0888983 .1028728 20 -.1028704 .0574159 -.2169426 .0076643 50 .0154694 .0378977 -.0580085 .0974965 60 .0420216 .0330591 -.0179178 .1126894 70 .0533467 .0412408 -.0189414 .1436226 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0156194 .0336067 -.0841782 .0492351 20 .1086627 .0527918 .0115319 .2171746 50 -.0130141 .0353845 -.0873623 .0591117 60 -.0722637 .0506488 -.1762321 .0230685 70 -.0557238 .0498379 -.1580912 .0392747 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0518204 .0381836 -.0193346 .1315003 20 -.1595558 .0522408 -.2696094 -.0666584 50 .0123012 .0352751 -.0617062 .0852165 60 .0702289 .0426674 -.0091395 .1587602 70 .0240643 .0427366 -.0628033 .1096213 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0347622 .0385429 -.0394448 .1141698 20 .0277954 .0577832 -.0885666 .1385343 50 -.0164871 .0380209 -.1024039 .053477 60 -.0459028 .0562473 -.1630233 .0574087 70 -.1328422 .0578593 -.2618225 -.0389568