The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 521 LR chi2(48) = 510.82 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -494.01388 Pseudo R2 = 0.3408 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pcf-psu | _Iretnat_1 | .9654194 .3959277 -0.09 0.932 .4321457 2.15676 _Iretnat_3 | .6083959 .2530069 -1.19 0.232 .2692815 1.374568 age | .9832011 .014932 -1.12 0.265 .9543661 1.012907 male | .6931978 .2429814 -1.05 0.296 .3487321 1.377915 income | .8805394 .1611421 -0.70 0.487 .6151424 1.260439 edulevel | .8570385 .1367936 -0.97 0.334 .6268135 1.171824 notrelig | 2.076898 .4970463 3.05 0.002 1.299285 3.319908 urban | 1.350293 .3015601 1.34 0.179 .8716248 2.091829 occupa2 | .6193997 .2473184 -1.20 0.230 .2832025 1.354706 occupa3 | .6960865 .4308309 -0.59 0.558 .2069314 2.341531 demsat | 1.68671 .4158211 2.12 0.034 1.040388 2.734547 lrself | .666557 .0862149 -3.14 0.002 .5172969 .8588845 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- green | _Iretnat_1 | .4986698 .2227382 -1.56 0.119 .2077837 1.196781 _Iretnat_3 | 1.008947 .3484039 0.03 0.979 .5127864 1.985183 age | .9839161 .0133785 -1.19 0.233 .9580411 1.01049 male | .9953664 .3120306 -0.01 0.988 .5384503 1.840011 income | .816627 .1322828 -1.25 0.211 .5944842 1.121778 edulevel | 1.141752 .1547973 0.98 0.328 .8753198 1.489281 notrelig | 1.154268 .2679138 0.62 0.537 .73238 1.819183 urban | 1.332243 .2774201 1.38 0.168 .8857946 2.003704 occupa2 | 1.320609 .4805953 0.76 0.445 .6471507 2.694902 occupa3 | .6569178 .38774 -0.71 0.477 .206584 2.088937 demsat | 1.563221 .3422119 2.04 0.041 1.017841 2.400827 lrself | 1.502744 .1701172 3.60 0.000 1.203719 1.876051 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- rpr | _Iretnat_1 | .1140699 .1193127 -2.08 0.038 .0146841 .8861243 _Iretnat_3 | 3.447477 1.638659 2.60 0.009 1.358024 8.751762 age | 1.010877 .0159597 0.69 0.493 .9800758 1.042647 male | 1.607247 .642151 1.19 0.235 .7345102 3.516958 income | 1.051845 .2161879 0.25 0.806 .7030762 1.573624 edulevel | 1.081209 .1820103 0.46 0.643 .7773533 1.503836 notrelig | .8732739 .2729004 -0.43 0.665 .4733122 1.611214 urban | .9855172 .2748752 -0.05 0.958 .5704947 1.702459 occupa2 | 2.58824 1.324097 1.86 0.063 .9496102 7.05446 occupa3 | 1.267581 .8377677 0.36 0.720 .3470569 4.629676 demsat | 1.828104 .4598421 2.40 0.016 1.116578 2.99304 lrself | 5.111845 .8562238 9.74 0.000 3.681316 7.098266 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- udf | _Iretnat_1 | .057505 .0698018 -2.35 0.019 .005327 .6207651 _Iretnat_3 | 1.963023 .8825017 1.50 0.134 .8133115 4.737986 age | 1.017841 .0165748 1.09 0.278 .9858676 1.050851 male | .6891945 .279018 -0.92 0.358 .3116993 1.52387 income | 1.235584 .2614311 1.00 0.317 .8161511 1.870569 edulevel | 1.039977 .1820013 0.22 0.823 .7380047 1.465509 notrelig | .9172568 .2985438 -0.27 0.791 .4846704 1.735943 urban | 1.078257 .3041291 0.27 0.789 .6203479 1.874169 occupa2 | 1.007231 .5076318 0.01 0.989 .3750892 2.70473 occupa3 | .924933 .6054752 -0.12 0.905 .2563898 3.33672 demsat | 2.040475 .5214631 2.79 0.005 1.236513 3.367163 lrself | 4.386449 .7311896 8.87 0.000 3.163909 6.081382 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==ps-mrg is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [pcf-psu]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [green]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [rpr]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [udf]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [pcf-psu]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [green]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [rpr]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [udf]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 24.43 Prob > chi2 = 0.0019 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- pcf-psu | 51 9.79 9.79 ps-mrg | 231 44.34 54.13 green | 62 11.90 66.03 rpr | 104 19.96 85.99 udf | 73 14.01 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 521 100.00 > 1 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .4356225 .0978887 .0919884 .0782328 .1118936 .1062464 .0693883 .1214174 20 . .4433781 .431297 .4087513 .4965184 .4438371 .4127667 .6091318 50 .2180389 .1190019 .1230536 .1273452 .1327948 .1503055 .126432 .1348492 60 .0002759 .1996161 .2046924 .2270261 .1286237 .142052 .2319077 .0885787 70 .0059607 .1401152 .1489687 .1586445 .1301694 .157559 .1595053 .046023 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0919884 .1038867 .044838 .0388811 .2081543 20 .431297 .4308998 .0736887 .2880517 .5702002 50 .1230536 .1237553 .0536721 .0469931 .2508462 60 .2046924 .1979441 .052006 .1074862 .3056305 70 .1489687 .1435141 .0514289 .0630434 .2578082 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0782328 -.0308564 .0459176 -.1304004 .0530146 20 .4087513 -.0480288 .0673066 -.1846824 .0804731 50 .1273452 .0100916 .045566 -.0771667 .1008625 60 .2270261 .0476411 .0308822 -.007371 .1120906 70 .1586445 .0211525 .0317877 -.0348516 .0886328 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1118936 .0244423 .0336401 -.0331813 .0997075 20 .4965184 .0704985 .0629139 -.0429035 .2002333 50 .1327948 .0113749 .0477961 -.0761476 .1105426 60 .1286237 -.0846926 .0548414 -.1928749 .0205252 70 .1301694 -.0216231 .0540014 -.1290627 .0822456 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0693883 -.0369107 .0344892 -.1146144 .0218938 20 .4127667 -.0252753 .056875 -.1408516 .0807992 50 .126432 -.0223291 .0426827 -.113157 .0563751 60 .2319077 .0834718 .0456149 -.0007039 .176265 70 .1595053 .0010433 .0435182 -.0800349 .0895455 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1214174 .016233 .0421441 -.0580003 .108804 20 .6091318 .1443619 .0857085 -.0103524 .3222059 50 .1348492 -.0147378 .0617054 -.1302934 .1059818 60 .0885787 -.0474886 .0689165 -.1786998 .0914825 70 .046023 -.0983685 .0686695 -.2322147 .0415175 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .106119 .0452993 .0405758 .2118748 20 .4457424 .0658308 .3213723 .5746335 50 .1290531 .0532832 .0519559 .2556315 60 .2049331 .0503623 .1210588 .3122106 70 .1482352 .0515037 .0706725 .2654802 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0312353 .0450685 -.1284952 .0521723 20 -.057641 .0535805 -.1649976 .0465043 50 .0093021 .0453939 -.0812705 .1004473 60 .0559379 .0326491 -.0005445 .1256857 70 .0306799 .0350142 -.0340848 .1039609 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0237664 .0332683 -.0350178 .0977175 20 .0544294 .0509679 -.0435677 .157852 50 -.002082 .0417262 -.0834343 .0836547 60 -.0941578 .050464 -.1982322 -.0010933 70 -.0422966 .0481374 -.1410347 .0510028 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0418915 .0349628 -.1216501 .0176714 20 -.0444429 .0467772 -.1392554 .045105 50 -.0257864 .0398228 -.1119736 .0484183 60 .0916077 .0437915 .0161411 .1854269 70 .0155796 .0386029 -.0612562 .0949217 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0053639 .0384637 -.0690053 .0861319 20 .0748791 .0611567 -.0431461 .1989523 50 -.0543583 .0477725 -.1576122 .0328862 60 -.0709755 .0586976 -.1851069 .0471086 70 -.1086451 .0621847 -.2344834 .0079479