The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 1277 LR chi2(75) = 1393.36 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -1363.0044 Pseudo R2 = 0.3382 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ postvot2 | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- spp | _Iretnat_1 | .6517401 .1682164 -1.66 0.097 .3929853 1.080868 _Iretnat_3 | 1.218038 .6073515 0.40 0.692 .45838 3.236654 age | .952306 .0380496 -1.22 0.221 .8805754 1.02988 gender | .7296698 .1888402 -1.22 0.223 .4393731 1.211767 income | .9116974 .0388345 -2.17 0.030 .8386739 .9910792 private | 1.053424 .3269159 0.17 0.867 .5733821 1.935361 own | 1.480621 .4398084 1.32 0.186 .8271803 2.650254 educat | 1.578861 .2091684 3.45 0.001 1.217801 2.046971 rural | 1.145393 .1034782 1.50 0.133 .9595212 1.367271 occupB1 | 1.55797 .5559966 1.24 0.214 .7740853 3.135664 occupB3 | 1.005612 .3917982 0.01 0.989 .4685894 2.158085 policy1 | 1.577749 .232477 3.09 0.002 1.181995 2.106009 policy5 | 1.48874 .1787163 3.31 0.001 1.17662 1.883656 policy7 | .5256204 .0659006 -5.13 0.000 .4111037 .6720368 LRselfpo | .6791549 .0599455 -4.38 0.000 .571265 .8074209 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cen-rad | _Iretnat_1 | .5644017 .1339238 -2.41 0.016 .354496 .8985976 _Iretnat_3 | 1.012221 .4486671 0.03 0.978 .4246001 2.413074 age | .9130094 .0312139 -2.66 0.008 .853836 .9762838 gender | 1.091531 .2550644 0.37 0.708 .6904482 1.725605 income | .9272629 .0354543 -1.98 0.048 .8603137 .9994221 private | 1.266959 .3486438 0.86 0.390 .7388011 2.172689 own | 2.129865 .6010435 2.68 0.007 1.225024 3.703048 educat | 1.627533 .1883909 4.21 0.000 1.297183 2.042013 rural | 1.059563 .0906228 0.68 0.499 .8960348 1.252936 occupB1 | 1.722059 .6012332 1.56 0.120 .8686862 3.413763 occupB3 | 2.200862 .8566981 2.03 0.043 1.026261 4.719847 policy1 | 1.752589 .2445039 4.02 0.000 1.333303 2.303729 policy5 | 1.072869 .1171188 0.64 0.519 .8662152 1.328823 policy7 | 1.27366 .1488839 2.07 0.039 1.012867 1.601601 LRselfpo | 1.554252 .1198592 5.72 0.000 1.336225 1.807855 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cons | _Iretnat_1 | .4072575 .1136012 -3.22 0.001 .23574 .7035661 _Iretnat_3 | 2.799859 .9983952 2.89 0.004 1.3919 5.632019 age | .9535142 .0332112 -1.37 0.172 .8905937 1.02088 gender | 1.177451 .2946918 0.65 0.514 .7209487 1.923008 income | 1.002031 .0422083 0.05 0.962 .922627 1.088268 private | 1.303185 .3826517 0.90 0.367 .7329419 2.317089 own | 1.677657 .4987039 1.74 0.082 .9368566 3.00423 educat | 1.571319 .1953964 3.63 0.000 1.231448 2.004993 rural | 1.192213 .1087098 1.93 0.054 .9971002 1.425507 occupB1 | 2.06479 .8041471 1.86 0.063 .9624304 4.429782 occupB3 | 3.924469 1.747033 3.07 0.002 1.640048 9.390861 policy1 | .6909477 .1092798 -2.34 0.019 .5067803 .9420429 policy5 | .7367887 .0911682 -2.47 0.014 .5781194 .9390059 policy7 | 1.714336 .2056332 4.49 0.000 1.355173 2.168687 LRselfpo | 2.596788 .225434 10.99 0.000 2.190491 3.078446 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | .3645619 .0820212 -4.48 0.000 .2345649 .5666038 _Iretnat_3 | 2.611747 .8314752 3.02 0.003 1.399402 4.87438 age | .9673752 .0296828 -1.08 0.280 .9109128 1.027337 gender | 1.004581 .2112329 0.02 0.983 .6652778 1.516934 income | 1.001178 .0364029 0.03 0.974 .9323124 1.07513 private | 1.271343 .3080283 0.99 0.322 .7907305 2.044074 own | 1.739884 .4311813 2.23 0.025 1.070469 2.827917 educat | 1.359991 .1461753 2.86 0.004 1.101658 1.678902 rural | .8134308 .0621671 -2.70 0.007 .7002722 .9448749 occupB1 | 1.266545 .3568554 0.84 0.402 .7291058 2.200143 occupB3 | 1.534633 .5202665 1.26 0.206 .7896465 2.982471 policy1 | .7575764 .0979229 -2.15 0.032 .588033 .9760029 policy5 | .7294011 .0718013 -3.21 0.001 .6014163 .8846217 policy7 | 1.876967 .1875764 6.30 0.000 1.54309 2.283086 LRselfpo | 2.697611 .1975749 13.55 0.000 2.336882 3.114024 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- dpp | _Iretnat_1 | .412483 .1405857 -2.60 0.009 .2114914 .8044875 _Iretnat_3 | 3.26806 1.359996 2.85 0.004 1.445654 7.387811 age | .9476119 .0426165 -1.20 0.231 .8676606 1.03493 gender | .7828497 .2386686 -0.80 0.422 .4306965 1.422936 income | .9476574 .0504136 -1.01 0.312 .8538253 1.051801 private | 1.132757 .403343 0.35 0.726 .5637001 2.276281 own | 2.473137 .9007718 2.49 0.013 1.211215 5.049807 educat | .8294381 .1511505 -1.03 0.305 .5803199 1.185497 rural | 1.098689 .1224923 0.84 0.399 .8830285 1.36702 occupB1 | 1.528666 .6085733 1.07 0.286 .7005562 3.335664 occupB3 | 1.52296 .7553628 0.85 0.396 .576112 4.025968 policy1 | .2607016 .0600986 -5.83 0.000 .1659278 .4096077 policy5 | .6012057 .0955554 -3.20 0.001 .4402845 .8209425 policy7 | .7447087 .0957078 -2.29 0.022 .5788853 .9580328 LRselfpo | 2.519043 .2391624 9.73 0.000 2.091323 3.034242 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome postvot2==soc is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [spp]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 2) [cen-rad]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 3) [cons]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 4) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 5) [dpp]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 6) [spp]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 7) [cen-rad]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 8) [cons]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 9) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 (10) [dpp]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 chi2( 10) = 49.73 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 postvot2 | Freq. Percent Cum. -------------+----------------------------------- spp | 125 9.79 9.79 soc | 443 34.69 44.48 cen-rad | 123 9.63 54.11 cons | 143 11.20 65.31 lib | 348 27.25 92.56 dpp | 95 7.44 100.00 -------------+----------------------------------- Total | 1277 100.00 > .98 .98 .98 .99 .99 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .1873552 .0978857 .1136341 .120958 .1063186 .1220459 .1249837 .1074477 20 . .3469068 .3423029 .2554235 .4156402 .3159561 .2293617 .4331846 40 .0470711 .0963195 .0944601 .082355 .0947064 .1047045 .0714347 .0945089 60 3.21e-06 .1119812 .1068216 .1286226 .0938613 .1068177 .1383274 .0908651 70 5.81e-09 .2725137 .2633841 .3111128 .2217694 .2718894 .3259929 .2085479 81 .0000378 .0743931 .0793971 .1015282 .067704 .0785864 .1098996 .0654457 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .1136341 .0902444 .0247691 .0511123 .1470755 20 .3423029 .3399857 .0523737 .241274 .4452725 40 .0944601 .1014495 .033558 .0495314 .1780978 60 .1068216 .1092643 .0344181 .0545158 .1880023 70 .2633841 .2834939 .0463028 .1986038 .3788753 81 .0793971 .0755622 .0267616 .0344721 .1375291 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .120958 .0006282 .0239742 -.0433932 .0513987 20 .2554235 -.1054021 .0470242 -.1988018 -.0159934 40 .082355 -.0177932 .0293148 -.0746514 .0413355 60 .1286226 .0280829 .0245824 -.0149988 .0822505 70 .3111128 .0641203 .0369153 -.0044053 .1428107 81 .1015282 .0303639 .0242328 -.0105803 .0858028 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .1063186 -.0088876 .0146263 -.0380934 .0218205 20 .4156402 .1121103 .037258 .0405634 .1872519 40 .0947064 -.0000273 .0221979 -.04346 .0430651 60 .0938613 -.0211176 .0231107 -.071154 .0204082 70 .2217694 -.0635453 .0333443 -.1359073 -.0020116 81 .067704 -.0185325 .0185872 -.059721 .0140011 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .1249837 -.0035769 .0242326 -.0471654 .0483506 20 .2293617 -.0930666 .047253 -.1868139 -.003419 40 .0714347 -.0322027 .0316365 -.0945217 .0308533 60 .1383274 .0332155 .0276823 -.0148969 .0935187 70 .3259929 .060674 .0419653 -.0181985 .1487724 81 .1098996 .0349568 .026949 -.0096651 .0973833 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .1074477 -.0099942 .0143536 -.0383263 .0204288 20 .4331846 .1212224 .0379887 .0483391 .197888 40 .0945089 -.0070792 .0216667 -.0502777 .0340627 60 .0908651 -.0179172 .0222085 -.0661928 .0228366 70 .2085479 -.0712853 .0317672 -.1418011 -.0136868 81 .0654457 -.0149466 .0170578 -.0514534 .0162404 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .0911874 .0239757 .0531676 .1466147 20 .3416699 .0449306 .2580149 .4342726 40 .1007653 .0319414 .051564 .1760378 60 .1098158 .0322051 .0587238 .1842576 70 .2878642 .0421014 .2105036 .375232 81 .0751155 .0255427 .0360729 .1351891 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .0022309 .0232047 -.0454649 .0512874 20 -.1291359 .0367943 -.2097915 -.0625788 40 -.0288694 .023818 -.0813836 .0143167 60 .0271788 .0211783 -.0150982 .0720327 70 .0599415 .0283441 .0006495 .1163499 81 .0206437 .0189594 -.0166131 .0612104 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 -.0084201 .0132195 -.0364878 .0171838 20 .1250716 .0297065 .0733014 .1877631 40 .0043134 .019031 -.0319158 .0445186 60 -.0236997 .0199411 -.0659735 .0158894 70 -.0682617 .0271615 -.1220592 -.0139194 81 -.0141194 .0161215 -.0484614 .0169618 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 -.0015945 .0245995 -.0529216 .0508209 20 -.1232092 .0392397 -.2103298 -.0514951 40 -.0473752 .0265667 -.1078173 -.0007581 60 .0338376 .0246844 -.0167846 .086361 70 .0579021 .0321673 -.0131718 .1211627 81 .0255942 .021238 -.0162739 .0716984 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 -.009627 .0124648 -.0357757 .0143691 20 .1295281 .0284714 .0801327 .1884434 40 -.0067944 .0176611 -.0418511 .0288098 60 -.0195513 .0180374 -.0572754 .015356 70 -.0743738 .0256952 -.1254884 -.0261548 81 -.0108161 .014501 -.0410096 .0172853