The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 637 LR chi2(72) = 666.04 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -777.01958 Pseudo R2 = 0.3000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | 1.351858 .5872745 0.69 0.488 .5769681 3.167454 _Iretnat_3 | 1.013472 .3846736 0.04 0.972 .4816476 2.132524 age | .9684919 .0121009 -2.56 0.010 .9450627 .992502 male | 1.162325 .3712107 0.47 0.638 .6215559 2.173577 edulevel | 1.189446 .1638338 1.26 0.208 .9080306 1.558077 notrelig | 1.66275 .3122936 2.71 0.007 1.150685 2.402689 urban | 1.236384 .2659235 0.99 0.324 .8111019 1.884652 occupa2 | 1.416005 .5045783 0.98 0.329 .7042843 2.84696 occupa3 | 3.467544 1.752364 2.46 0.014 1.287826 9.336557 demsat | 1.074622 .2319849 0.33 0.739 .7038852 1.640626 lrself | .5717377 .0675063 -4.74 0.000 .4536215 .7206095 eusup | .4274308 .0933648 -3.89 0.000 .2785708 .6558371 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cen_cpp | _Iretnat_1 | 1.186312 .600167 0.34 0.736 .4401164 3.197645 _Iretnat_3 | .8442661 .4214445 -0.34 0.735 .317375 2.245877 age | 1.004413 .0137752 0.32 0.748 .9777736 1.031778 male | 2.200255 .9344686 1.86 0.063 .9571053 5.058085 edulevel | 1.148338 .1877624 0.85 0.398 .8334727 1.582151 notrelig | .9091996 .2890918 -0.30 0.765 .4875383 1.695547 urban | .6559187 .1833053 -1.51 0.131 .3792891 1.134305 occupa2 | 2.836504 1.298707 2.28 0.023 1.156263 6.958409 occupa3 | 2.074074 1.319962 1.15 0.252 .5958142 7.220006 demsat | .7033878 .2149424 -1.15 0.250 .3864411 1.280284 lrself | 1.680731 .2218102 3.93 0.000 1.297666 2.176874 eusup | 1.65817 .5507543 1.52 0.128 .8647808 3.179451 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- rad | _Iretnat_1 | 4.074402 2.022606 2.83 0.005 1.53997 10.77992 _Iretnat_3 | .0877425 .0965319 -2.21 0.027 .0101564 .7580174 age | 1.011663 .0144919 0.81 0.418 .9836547 1.040469 male | 2.353372 1.07119 1.88 0.060 .9643774 5.742938 edulevel | 1.88557 .4586117 2.61 0.009 1.170609 3.0372 notrelig | 1.836301 .4704901 2.37 0.018 1.111354 3.034139 urban | 2.394606 .8759889 2.39 0.017 1.169094 4.904769 occupa2 | 2.07463 1.099459 1.38 0.168 .7342477 5.861904 occupa3 | 11.80811 7.280644 4.00 0.000 3.52652 39.53796 demsat | .8165941 .2477901 -0.67 0.504 .4505207 1.480123 lrself | 1.51364 .2062252 3.04 0.002 1.158913 1.976943 eusup | 1.315155 .4469855 0.81 0.420 .6755796 2.56022 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cons | _Iretnat_1 | 3.102103 1.16529 3.01 0.003 1.485616 6.477478 _Iretnat_3 | .5458024 .2296879 -1.44 0.150 .2392366 1.245212 age | 1.011775 .0105239 1.13 0.260 .9913575 1.032613 male | 1.176177 .3735954 0.51 0.609 .6311041 2.192019 edulevel | 1.529852 .2038066 3.19 0.001 1.178291 1.986307 notrelig | 1.304155 .2791968 1.24 0.215 .8572387 1.984068 urban | .7065133 .1552333 -1.58 0.114 .4593 1.086786 occupa2 | 1.915304 .6996363 1.78 0.075 .9360623 3.918961 occupa3 | 5.295238 2.362148 3.74 0.000 2.208889 12.69396 demsat | .8642413 .1958854 -0.64 0.520 .5542493 1.347612 lrself | 2.842448 .313453 9.47 0.000 2.289948 3.52825 eusup | 1.845669 .4685077 2.41 0.016 1.122234 3.035458 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | 2.532638 .9065937 2.60 0.009 1.255664 5.108257 _Iretnat_3 | .4333138 .1725044 -2.10 0.036 .1985797 .9455187 age | .9982289 .0100927 -0.18 0.861 .9786422 1.018208 male | 1.419596 .4330103 1.15 0.251 .7807788 2.581079 edulevel | 1.260773 .1559127 1.87 0.061 .9894034 1.606572 notrelig | 1.537201 .3113772 2.12 0.034 1.033499 2.286393 urban | .5834551 .1230057 -2.56 0.011 .385971 .881983 occupa2 | 2.082081 .7334791 2.08 0.037 1.043842 4.152985 occupa3 | 7.072221 3.031647 4.56 0.000 3.052611 16.38476 demsat | .8954094 .1951662 -0.51 0.612 .5841053 1.372626 lrself | 2.566081 .2674823 9.04 0.000 2.091911 3.147731 eusup | 1.937577 .4670217 2.74 0.006 1.208066 3.107616 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- progess | _Iretnat_1 | 1.370833 .7771677 0.56 0.578 .4512445 4.164444 _Iretnat_3 | .4698365 .2873071 -1.24 0.217 .1417207 1.557615 age | .9815777 .0166585 -1.10 0.273 .9494646 1.014777 male | 1.800552 .8868728 1.19 0.232 .6857113 4.72792 edulevel | .9482485 .1849423 -0.27 0.785 .6470049 1.38975 notrelig | 1.764865 .4937084 2.03 0.042 1.019986 3.053719 urban | .6771056 .2259312 -1.17 0.243 .3520742 1.302203 occupa2 | .7938503 .4791881 -0.38 0.702 .2431822 2.591465 occupa3 | 1.689765 1.193368 0.74 0.458 .4233303 6.744864 demsat | 1.621637 .5424836 1.45 0.148 .8417879 3.123955 lrself | 2.633431 .4104111 6.21 0.000 1.940283 3.574199 eusup | 1.146464 .3949216 0.40 0.692 .5836437 2.252025 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==socdem is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 2) [cen_cpp]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 3) [rad]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 4) [cons]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 5) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 6) [progess]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 7) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 8) [cen_cpp]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 9) [rad]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 (10) [cons]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 (11) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 (12) [progess]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 chi2( 12) = 36.22 Prob > chi2 = 0.0003 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 92 14.44 14.44 socdem | 162 25.43 39.87 cen_cpp | 33 5.18 45.05 rad | 35 5.49 50.55 cons | 133 20.88 71.43 lib | 156 24.49 95.92 progess | 26 4.08 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 637 100.00 > .................. These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one cat > egory better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one ca > tegory party test freq pv worse better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .7630708 .144427 .1435471 .1523738 .1357107 20 . .2543171 .2694074 .3255379 .2172286 40 .8167638 .0518053 .0555458 .0728763 .0451461 41 .0001634 .0549451 .0531571 .0243734 .0776509 60 .0000789 .2087912 .2003654 .1721356 .22368 70 .0000628 .244898 .2378634 .209405 .2622589 80 .2387151 .0408163 .0401139 .0432979 .0383247 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1435471 .1558261 .0424596 .0854318 .242972 20 .2694074 .2623443 .0616936 .153579 .387625 40 .0555458 .0525506 .0353996 .0128395 .1423896 41 .0531571 .0607932 .0372907 .0164101 .1515766 60 .2003654 .2100004 .0550916 .1191149 .3271733 70 .2378634 .2181891 .0554169 .1244696 .3367247 80 .0401139 .0402964 .0301968 .0084949 .1163627 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1523738 .0138496 .0282369 -.0385382 .0709142 20 .3255379 .0756645 .0450462 -.0032724 .1727749 40 .0728763 .0217238 .0319226 -.024917 .0975881 41 .0243734 -.0421136 .0321303 -.119523 .0011104 60 .1721356 -.0471284 .0445234 -.1324843 .0376524 70 .209405 -.0295423 .0480452 -.1222334 .0593785 80 .0432979 .0075463 .025499 -.0367842 .0621829 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1357107 -.0153611 .0414698 -.0984447 .0626145 20 .2172286 -.0895218 .0591525 -.2093561 .0183827 40 .0451461 -.0139296 .0282064 -.0804105 .0330324 41 .0776509 .0455463 .0334909 .003377 .1282733 60 .22368 .031055 .034549 -.0320066 .1002355 70 .2622589 .0402606 .0377874 -.0266298 .1159602 80 .0383247 .0019506 .0258478 -.0466775 .0571662