The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 586 LR chi2(48) = 774.87 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -490.97184 Pseudo R2 = 0.4411 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | .7237139 .4858842 -0.48 0.630 .194129 2.698008 _Iretnat_3 | 4.154635 2.177365 2.72 0.007 1.487423 11.60463 age | .9461649 .0151593 -3.45 0.001 .9169148 .9763481 male | 1.720802 .7741123 1.21 0.228 .7125461 4.155742 edulevel | .7920432 .1421489 -1.30 0.194 .5571636 1.125939 relginx | .9441419 .4468058 -0.12 0.903 .3734346 2.387041 urban | .8073304 .2406875 -0.72 0.473 .4500747 1.448165 occupa2 | .166236 .110714 -2.69 0.007 .0450631 .6132385 occupa3 | .1608179 .1186259 -2.48 0.013 .0378838 .6826772 demsat | 1.680043 .5175281 1.68 0.092 .9185705 3.072758 lrself | .0633777 .0143384 -12.19 0.000 .0406784 .0987438 eusup | .4797763 .0842416 -4.18 0.000 .3400795 .6768573 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- socdem | _Iretnat_1 | .4786298 .2599428 -1.36 0.175 .1650875 1.387667 _Iretnat_3 | 2.463788 1.088581 2.04 0.041 1.036371 5.85722 age | .9707195 .0132558 -2.18 0.030 .9450832 .9970511 male | 1.935559 .7549771 1.69 0.090 .901135 4.157411 edulevel | .6128727 .0953228 -3.15 0.002 .4518343 .831307 relginx | 1.744933 .5434173 1.79 0.074 .9477474 3.212661 urban | .7550477 .192504 -1.10 0.270 .4580948 1.244496 occupa2 | .2264448 .1319109 -2.55 0.011 .0722956 .7092722 occupa3 | .2528456 .1651516 -2.11 0.035 .0702869 .9095704 demsat | 1.442332 .3913254 1.35 0.177 .8474658 2.454757 lrself | .1435056 .0275062 -10.13 0.000 .0985635 .2089401 eusup | .6922805 .1018012 -2.50 0.012 .5189328 .9235342 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cen_cpp | _Iretnat_1 | 1.192518 .5377031 0.39 0.696 .4927881 2.885821 _Iretnat_3 | 1.025281 .4752017 0.05 0.957 .4133558 2.543088 age | .995285 .0121726 -0.39 0.699 .9717108 1.019431 male | .5539194 .209004 -1.57 0.117 .2644067 1.160435 edulevel | 1.073422 .1533409 0.50 0.620 .8112865 1.420256 relginx | 2.920887 .7044067 4.44 0.000 1.820695 4.68589 urban | .7848129 .1967597 -0.97 0.334 .4801338 1.282833 occupa2 | .6815499 .4283507 -0.61 0.542 .1988483 2.336004 occupa3 | .7335457 .5191824 -0.44 0.662 .1832194 2.936858 demsat | 1.192754 .3296815 0.64 0.524 .6938664 2.050341 lrself | .5364397 .0797493 -4.19 0.000 .4008463 .7179 eusup | 1.033263 .1618277 0.21 0.835 .7601468 1.404509 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- rad | _Iretnat_1 | 1.115347 .6171676 0.20 0.844 .3770551 3.299248 _Iretnat_3 | 2.210402 1.085181 1.62 0.106 .8444617 5.78579 age | .9638955 .0136559 -2.60 0.009 .9374986 .9910357 male | 1.879587 .7855751 1.51 0.131 .8285177 4.264056 edulevel | .9667389 .1551887 -0.21 0.833 .705777 1.324192 relginx | 1.329486 .4668288 0.81 0.417 .6680316 2.645881 urban | .8028285 .2210704 -0.80 0.425 .4679853 1.377252 occupa2 | .8838635 .6076412 -0.18 0.857 .2297199 3.400728 occupa3 | .8313976 .6332362 -0.24 0.808 .1868482 3.699378 demsat | 1.069357 .3162702 0.23 0.821 .5989267 1.90929 lrself | .2515457 .046355 -7.49 0.000 .1752899 .3609749 eusup | .669778 .1040501 -2.58 0.010 .4939655 .9081659 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==cons is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [socdem]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [cen_cpp]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [rad]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [socdem]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [cen_cpp]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [rad]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 16.57 Prob > chi2 = 0.0349 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 150 25.60 25.60 socdem | 162 27.65 53.24 cen_cpp | 52 8.87 62.12 rad | 55 9.39 71.50 cons | 167 28.50 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 586 100.00 > .92 .93 .94 .95 .96 .97 .97 .98 .99 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0035741 .2559727 .2213496 .2324306 .1943963 .1898105 .2406903 .2023457 20 .0058553 .2764505 .2696908 .2897756 .2448184 .2855701 .2973721 .2012368 40 .9139364 .0887372 .1016496 .0874395 .1217227 .1059662 .0811477 .134475 41 .2027219 .0938567 .0945536 .0915712 .1008631 .086068 .0972597 .1205795 60 . .2849829 .3127565 .2987832 .3381995 .3325851 .2835302 .341363 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2213496 .2431267 .0459749 .1596876 .3406709 20 .2696908 .2836576 .0638107 .1681598 .4173772 40 .1016496 .0848978 .0404593 .0276031 .1890262 41 .0945536 .0943937 .0451532 .0315793 .2079206 60 .3127565 .2939242 .0434596 .2090714 .3811491 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2324306 .0175054 .0247728 -.0278953 .0717267 20 .2897756 .0432774 .0480357 -.0463212 .1443162 40 .0874395 -.0266999 .0420061 -.12655 .0484881 41 .0915712 -.0042566 .0382166 -.0886142 .0747569 60 .2987832 -.0298263 .0440827 -.1225557 .0598534 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1943963 -.046361 .0398612 -.1328156 .029578 20 .2448184 -.01452 .0551997 -.1217568 .097114 40 .1217227 .0226516 .0297746 -.0278934 .0979981 41 .1008631 .0132131 .0398608 -.063357 .1076192 60 .3381995 .0250163 .0322397 -.0387038 .0951883 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2406903 .0557066 .0345238 -.0064154 .1329286 20 .2973721 -.0007576 .0508119 -.1013515 .1013238 40 .0811477 -.0180549 .0281995 -.0872362 .0300229 41 .0972597 .0055196 .0358626 -.072069 .0792784 60 .2835302 -.0424138 .0323703 -.1145609 .0185728 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2023457 .0138471 .0441859 -.0753001 .1063618 20 .2012368 -.0901115 .0616998 -.2178485 .0278558 40 .134475 .0309015 .0406253 -.0385123 .1315839 41 .1205795 .0376395 .0494897 -.0592324 .1541829 60 .341363 .0077233 .0386166 -.073347 .0883239 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2481747 .0458647 .1632175 .3483059 20 .2774329 .0596833 .168162 .4098356 40 .0899907 .0402653 .0317778 .1908796 41 .1013198 .0453705 .0364559 .2193556 60 .3024039 .0411083 .2245235 .3885439 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0196363 .0266949 -.0404901 .0749786 20 .0454264 .0453638 -.0550519 .1369816 40 -.0270289 .042174 -.1322997 .0529502 41 -.0020343 .03499 -.0876203 .0684742 60 -.0308545 .0447091 -.1367347 .0566594 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0476714 .0408052 -.1338134 .038114 20 -.0408527 .0480765 -.1343199 .0660413 40 .020932 .0312 -.0342549 .1004349 41 .001458 .0363141 -.0701665 .0891869 60 .0220123 .0335086 -.0407761 .1046771 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0575978 .0347591 -.0081334 .1342519 20 .0098214 .0420177 -.0789071 .0909971 40 -.0294817 .0324295 -.1097061 .0242037 41 .0003105 .033403 -.0780937 .0657393 60 -.0446235 .034808 -.1290073 .0151412 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0114497 .0479968 -.0849459 .1332351 20 -.1064761 .0568946 -.2242135 .029021 40 .0139855 .0366956 -.0610716 .1073935 41 .0055304 .0421639 -.080749 .1102428 60 -.001691 .0372156 -.0829015 .08677