The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 608 LR chi2(60) = 749.10 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -576.61023 Pseudo R2 = 0.3938 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | 1.056226 .4530437 0.13 0.899 .4556736 2.448274 _Iretnat_3 | .7036573 .2256568 -1.10 0.273 .3753084 1.319271 age | .957493 .0113267 -3.67 0.000 .9355485 .9799523 male | .9419775 .2717457 -0.21 0.836 .5351583 1.658054 edulevel | 1.206173 .1444968 1.56 0.118 .9537568 1.525393 notrelig | 1.376659 .3309602 1.33 0.184 .8593902 2.205273 urban | 1.517016 .2761023 2.29 0.022 1.061863 2.167264 occupa2 | 2.202647 .7486934 2.32 0.020 1.1314 4.288186 occupa3 | 1.462231 .5871352 0.95 0.344 .6656249 3.212197 demsat | 1.207553 .2136513 1.07 0.286 .8536976 1.708082 lrself | .632455 .0685939 -4.22 0.000 .5113418 .7822545 eusup | .6577501 .0734401 -3.75 0.000 .5284712 .8186542 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cen_cpp | _Iretnat_1 | 2.627211 1.659853 1.53 0.126 .7615738 9.063125 _Iretnat_3 | .0874235 .0965489 -2.21 0.027 .0100364 .7615167 age | .9864408 .0197495 -0.68 0.495 .9484821 1.025919 male | 1.236845 .6632635 0.40 0.692 .4323694 3.538146 edulevel | 1.244923 .2781027 0.98 0.327 .803513 1.928821 notrelig | .3230277 .1219663 -2.99 0.003 .1541167 .6770643 urban | .5943419 .2063932 -1.50 0.134 .3009159 1.17389 occupa2 | 1.486351 1.117261 0.53 0.598 .3406353 6.485644 occupa3 | 4.476846 3.60321 1.86 0.063 .9244401 21.68031 demsat | .4547786 .1709362 -2.10 0.036 .2177016 .9500326 lrself | 1.552153 .2970379 2.30 0.022 1.066692 2.258553 eusup | 1.493066 .354449 1.69 0.091 .9375763 2.377669 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- rad | _Iretnat_1 | 1.386136 .8700339 0.52 0.603 .4050734 4.743274 _Iretnat_3 | .4566086 .2642011 -1.35 0.175 .1469011 1.419263 age | .9848112 .016336 -0.92 0.356 .9533081 1.017355 male | 1.149791 .5640424 0.28 0.776 .4395951 3.007357 edulevel | 1.679368 .3196657 2.72 0.006 1.156433 2.438771 notrelig | 1.262416 .4679744 0.63 0.530 .6104701 2.610603 urban | 1.389651 .4384999 1.04 0.297 .7487066 2.579287 occupa2 | 12.16805 13.23449 2.30 0.022 1.443503 102.5709 occupa3 | 14.91872 16.85322 2.39 0.017 1.62988 136.555 demsat | 1.476847 .4724501 1.22 0.223 .7889187 2.764641 lrself | 1.380398 .2331063 1.91 0.056 .9914319 1.921966 eusup | 1.199817 .2229045 0.98 0.327 .8336369 1.726844 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cons | _Iretnat_1 | 2.564916 1.175399 2.06 0.040 1.044724 6.297163 _Iretnat_3 | .893435 .3715087 -0.27 0.786 .3954721 2.018413 age | .998326 .0127005 -0.13 0.895 .9737413 1.023531 male | .7661196 .2595501 -0.79 0.432 .3943864 1.488234 edulevel | 1.3007 .1792658 1.91 0.056 .9928009 1.704087 notrelig | 1.051054 .2605174 0.20 0.841 .6466115 1.708466 urban | 1.147228 .2475955 0.64 0.525 .7515243 1.751285 occupa2 | 2.238384 .9650844 1.87 0.062 .961473 5.211132 occupa3 | 1.980214 1.013438 1.33 0.182 .7262436 5.399354 demsat | .7202192 .1582506 -1.49 0.135 .4682027 1.107887 lrself | 3.612698 .472394 9.82 0.000 2.795948 4.668036 eusup | 1.462755 .200434 2.78 0.006 1.118242 1.913408 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | 1.672951 .7818196 1.10 0.271 .6694088 4.18095 _Iretnat_3 | .4513979 .1964919 -1.83 0.068 .1923245 1.05946 age | 1.032617 .0145144 2.28 0.022 1.004557 1.06146 male | 1.073445 .3856681 0.20 0.844 .5308353 2.170702 edulevel | 1.407782 .2059494 2.34 0.019 1.056842 1.875256 notrelig | .8044601 .205421 -0.85 0.394 .4876946 1.32697 urban | .4567115 .1132848 -3.16 0.002 .2808704 .7426392 occupa2 | .9238821 .4339206 -0.17 0.866 .3679865 2.319537 occupa3 | 1.264063 .6619552 0.45 0.655 .4529164 3.527928 demsat | .6896732 .1578705 -1.62 0.105 .44035 1.080161 lrself | 2.852987 .3846743 7.78 0.000 2.190436 3.715944 eusup | 1.582347 .2477419 2.93 0.003 1.164213 2.150656 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==socdem is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [cen_cpp]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [rad]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [cons]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 6) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [cen_cpp]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [rad]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 9) [cons]_Iretnat_3 = 0 (10) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 10) = 19.24 Prob > chi2 = 0.0373 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 140 23.03 23.03 socdem | 194 31.91 54.93 cen_cpp | 21 3.45 58.39 rad | 23 3.78 62.17 cons | 139 22.86 85.03 lib | 91 14.97 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 608 100.00 > 8 .89 .89 .9 .91 .92 .93 .93 .94 .95 .96 .97 .98 .98 .99 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .415338 .2302632 .2245563 .2229999 .2307548 .239938 .2197626 .2240809 20 . .3190789 .3250553 .3671393 .2706385 .305744 .3865632 .2430113 40 .0084589 .0345395 .0355002 .0174866 .0550472 .0398067 .0054079 .0647253 41 .1551842 .0378289 .0412824 .0382024 .0499943 .0522972 .0323137 .0506726 60 .0324267 .2286184 .2294913 .2158316 .2345515 .193477 .2380466 .2579389 70 .0170826 .1496711 .1441144 .1383402 .1590138 .1687371 .117906 .159571 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2245563 .2253733 .0458321 .1455945 .3159344 20 .3250553 .3104701 .0673053 .1938514 .4461645 40 .0355002 .0374045 .0324025 .0068163 .1185613 41 .0412824 .0485432 .0374 .0098573 .1444455 60 .2294913 .2206963 .0537152 .1316137 .3314405 70 .1441144 .1575127 .0461762 .082692 .2523579 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2229999 -.0057124 .0280565 -.0588428 .0492742 20 .3671393 .065656 .0496932 -.0209338 .1677256 40 .0174866 -.0276778 .0342261 -.11041 .0153776 41 .0382024 -.0070947 .0323323 -.0745494 .0524094 60 .2158316 -.0226479 .0467749 -.1126336 .0641427 70 .1383402 -.0025232 .0449819 -.09108 .0796043 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2307548 .004698 .0439705 -.0813828 .086306 20 .2706385 -.0733759 .0634968 -.19745 .0428976 40 .0550472 .0304243 .0335351 -.0103871 .1108469 41 .0499943 .0113211 .0339452 -.045018 .0852861 60 .2345515 .0120753 .0359503 -.0527753 .0877558 70 .1590138 .0148572 .0331767 -.0438718 .0835083 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2197626 -.013734 .0326175 -.0752321 .0495038 20 .3865632 .0725811 .0527699 -.0198603 .1798402 40 .0054079 -.0353206 .0344078 -.118035 .0008134 41 .0323137 -.0207515 .0308336 -.0970652 .019858 60 .2380466 .0486379 .0431431 -.0373078 .13201 70 .117906 -.051413 .0393628 -.1320465 .0182987 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2240809 -.0110015 .0409261 -.0929317 .0632339 20 .2430113 -.0581226 .0616758 -.1803627 .0555415 40 .0647253 .0227995 .0332042 -.0224199 .1031478 41 .0506726 -.002286 .0364379 -.0779522 .0660184 60 .2579389 .066587 .0444686 -.0087714 .1597499 70 .159571 -.0179765 .0408876 -.093824 .0616628 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2311167 .0462787 .1531812 .3229677 20 .3187541 .0634148 .208622 .4447163 40 .0393906 .0332709 .0068883 .119383 41 .0500221 .0386083 .0100929 .1474046 60 .2243696 .0516991 .1388403 .3282969 70 .1567622 .0471012 .0817526 .2560967 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0039462 .0298632 -.0635608 .0506547 20 .1034778 .0489848 .013469 .195663 40 -.027729 .0360416 -.1130816 .0252858 41 -.0033694 .0352128 -.0740888 .0613104 60 -.0162862 .0492028 -.1167719 .0756181 70 -.0134131 .0467977 -.1104283 .0699671 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0027439 .0442025 -.0846951 .0846695 20 -.1131002 .0547433 -.2151573 -.0098652 40 .0268138 .0355379 -.023335 .1131338 41 .003924 .0351604 -.0578136 .0764495 60 .0022415 .0359034 -.0633607 .0777096 70 .0115368 .0325646 -.0459989 .0797449 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0158656 .0334459 -.0814412 .0433798 20 .1181437 .0502867 .0306185 .2128194 40 -.0351708 .0362216 -.122077 .0147508 41 -.0177958 .0339649 -.0945249 .0342573 60 .042458 .0450628 -.0454595 .1289298 70 -.0502009 .0406182 -.1338868 .0182405 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0258492 .0422257 -.1082398 .0595232 20 -.0929221 .0530099 -.1920703 .0122243 40 .0179241 .0343405 -.0333945 .0980543 41 -.0125551 .0369835 -.0900761 .0542943 60 .0515054 .0436607 -.0237824 .1463171 70 -.0158049 .0397205 -.091157 .0649945