The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 641 LR chi2(60) = 807.20 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -595.14172 Pseudo R2 = 0.4041 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | 1.01474 .4870527 0.03 0.976 .3960927 2.599637 _Iretnat_3 | 1.73606 .6859144 1.40 0.163 .8003065 3.765937 age | .9513019 .0139001 -3.42 0.001 .9244447 .9789394 male | 1.070439 .3579147 0.20 0.839 .5558428 2.061445 edulevel | 1.227498 .172091 1.46 0.144 .9325778 1.615683 relig | .9469828 .0672296 -0.77 0.443 .8239717 1.088358 urban | 1.497407 .3517245 1.72 0.086 .9449348 2.372891 occupa2 | .6817442 .2847582 -0.92 0.359 .3006647 1.545825 occupa3 | 1.27267 .6424474 0.48 0.633 .4731804 3.422983 demsat | 1.355891 .281292 1.47 0.142 .902891 2.036172 lrself | .3634033 .0554237 -6.64 0.000 .2695067 .4900135 eusup | .5490418 .0812037 -4.05 0.000 .4108771 .7336667 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cen_cpp | _Iretnat_1 | 1.484675 .8424932 0.70 0.486 .4882123 4.514961 _Iretnat_3 | .4287087 .3769941 -0.96 0.335 .0764962 2.402617 age | .9709091 .0195722 -1.46 0.143 .9332962 1.010038 male | 1.651086 .8307685 1.00 0.319 .6158498 4.42654 edulevel | 1.192586 .2525066 0.83 0.406 .7875255 1.805988 relig | 1.283815 .1263287 2.54 0.011 1.058628 1.556903 urban | .5814247 .2237405 -1.41 0.159 .2734885 1.236084 occupa2 | 1.756503 1.111457 0.89 0.373 .5082025 6.07101 occupa3 | 1.561783 1.239209 0.56 0.574 .3297827 7.39628 demsat | .7474484 .2737665 -0.79 0.427 .3645972 1.532319 lrself | 1.841513 .3387692 3.32 0.001 1.284061 2.640973 eusup | 1.220767 .247244 0.98 0.325 .8208003 1.815633 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- rad | _Iretnat_1 | 2.0614 1.034583 1.44 0.149 .7708292 5.512727 _Iretnat_3 | .1190061 .1312533 -1.93 0.054 .0137015 1.033643 age | .9914524 .0179478 -0.47 0.635 .9568921 1.027261 male | 3.654238 1.745939 2.71 0.007 1.432537 9.321545 edulevel | 1.325668 .2329422 1.60 0.109 .9394301 1.870705 relig | 1.077949 .0939856 0.86 0.389 .9086208 1.278833 urban | .7148836 .2378325 -1.01 0.313 .3724359 1.372205 occupa2 | 3.077183 1.873664 1.85 0.065 .9329658 10.14941 occupa3 | 1.547079 1.190647 0.57 0.571 .3423101 6.992062 demsat | .3608895 .1273773 -2.89 0.004 .1806922 .7207903 lrself | 1.339832 .2212138 1.77 0.076 .9694202 1.851776 eusup | .77399 .1274906 -1.56 0.120 .5604367 1.068917 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cons | _Iretnat_1 | 2.534793 .8594113 2.74 0.006 1.304206 4.926505 _Iretnat_3 | .887403 .3879528 -0.27 0.785 .376699 2.090486 age | 1.009606 .0119625 0.81 0.420 .9864299 1.033326 male | 1.474296 .4358957 1.31 0.189 .8258769 2.631807 edulevel | 1.151014 .1502919 1.08 0.281 .8911202 1.486705 relig | 1.085168 .0619533 1.43 0.152 .9702888 1.213648 urban | 1.319611 .2705358 1.35 0.176 .8829568 1.972206 occupa2 | 4.686187 1.948763 3.71 0.000 2.074174 10.58751 occupa3 | 1.68092 .8300776 1.05 0.293 .6385634 4.424766 demsat | .7011041 .1411854 -1.76 0.078 .4724665 1.040385 lrself | 3.119549 .3649497 9.72 0.000 2.480341 3.923486 eusup | 1.147788 .1310202 1.21 0.227 .9176922 1.435577 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | 1.474537 .5623298 1.02 0.309 .6982989 3.113652 _Iretnat_3 | .429356 .2436249 -1.49 0.136 .1411982 1.305587 age | 1.013812 .0146512 0.95 0.343 .9854993 1.042939 male | 1.52087 .5123386 1.24 0.213 .7858616 2.943324 edulevel | .8496998 .1430699 -0.97 0.333 .6108615 1.181921 relig | 1.101461 .0731162 1.46 0.145 .9670862 1.254506 urban | .6155655 .1499731 -1.99 0.046 .3818493 .992331 occupa2 | 1.117276 .4939255 0.25 0.802 .4697443 2.657417 occupa3 | .498764 .2650187 -1.31 0.190 .1760388 1.413129 demsat | .6559572 .159187 -1.74 0.082 .4076682 1.055466 lrself | 2.466342 .3193842 6.97 0.000 1.913486 3.178934 eusup | 1.624809 .2342157 3.37 0.001 1.224903 2.155275 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==socdem is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [cen_cpp]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [rad]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [cons]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 6) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [cen_cpp]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [rad]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 9) [cons]_Iretnat_3 = 0 (10) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 10) = 24.30 Prob > chi2 = 0.0069 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 125 19.50 19.50 socdem | 202 31.51 51.01 cen_cpp | 21 3.28 54.29 rad | 30 4.68 58.97 cons | 181 28.24 87.21 lib | 82 12.79 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 641 100.00 > 4 .84 .85 .86 .87 .88 .88 .89 .9 .91 .91 .92 .93 .94 .95 .95 .96 .97 .98 .98 .99 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2736855 .1950078 .1835843 .1987903 .1618132 .1687995 .2123323 .1601297 20 . .3151326 .3301078 .3755918 .3059927 .3676579 .4013498 .2885614 40 .3183266 .0327613 .0353156 .033093 .0382872 .0409194 .023382 .0387522 41 .0170831 .0468019 .0482862 .0295302 .0643863 .0506981 .007596 .0699603 60 .0047677 .2823713 .2787921 .2418645 .3016204 .2305399 .2679394 .3152555 70 .0684379 .1279251 .123914 .1211303 .1279002 .1413852 .0874005 .1273409 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1835843 .19357 .0305716 .1388738 .2529974 20 .3301078 .2810975 .0597866 .1749347 .402103 40 .0353156 .0470941 .0390599 .0082146 .1501238 41 .0482862 .0526933 .0339021 .0139508 .1364852 60 .2787921 .2895711 .0560673 .1870128 .4003316 70 .123914 .1359739 .0453791 .066047 .2360473 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1987903 .0197655 .0195111 -.0150501 .0603914 20 .3755918 .0517114 .0494745 -.0341306 .1547969 40 .033093 -.0009289 .0378155 -.0714365 .0799076 41 .0295302 -.0227385 .0315902 -.093683 .0311378 60 .2418645 -.0444956 .0525293 -.1480084 .0526008 70 .1211303 -.0033139 .045766 -.0910178 .0868219 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1618132 -.0307722 .0338849 -.1017296 .032274 20 .3059927 -.0462235 .0554084 -.1548047 .0541664 40 .0382872 .0008662 .0245938 -.0478515 .0492565 41 .0643863 .0231946 .0267525 -.0179593 .0845378 60 .3016204 .0545179 .0330121 -.002796 .1232924 70 .1279002 -.001583 .0262961 -.0511054 .0515929 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2123323 .0345114 .0256794 -.0108758 .0896217 20 .4013498 .0340837 .0578386 -.0719181 .1534075 40 .023382 -.0191775 .0406415 -.1087671 .0602278 41 .007596 -.0417612 .0327475 -.1225358 -.0026643 60 .2679394 .0459069 .0511323 -.0471078 .1503883 70 .0874005 -.0535633 .0461572 -.1541969 .0259466 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1601297 -.0095841 .0243647 -.0588083 .037205 20 .2885614 -.0655276 .0485533 -.1633554 .0171366 40 .0387522 -.0068955 .0298091 -.0732467 .0449844 41 .0699603 .0161504 .0289243 -.0388783 .0783301 60 .3152555 .08379 .0447413 .0079055 .1770977 70 .1273409 -.0179333 .0357475 -.0929155 .0475331 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1962986 .0304027 .1439212 .2574603 20 .3106624 .0588061 .2077452 .4306848 40 .047946 .0364163 .0090795 .1457461 41 .0603312 .0373721 .0162747 .1541922 60 .3070321 .0499409 .2173448 .406588 70 .1419206 .0442738 .0726242 .2398699 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0192446 .021895 -.019142 .0638539 20 .0648768 .0528359 -.0344601 .1628356 40 -.0064458 .0397671 -.0879578 .0697615 41 -.032153 .0379819 -.1198883 .0265406 60 -.0637311 .0533118 -.1741169 .0267532 70 -.0147233 .0476908 -.1091048 .0695599 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0303627 .0370438 -.1055278 .0351977 20 -.0826516 .0582867 -.1893869 .0302342 40 .0043755 .0293104 -.050144 .0654452 41 .0295566 .0367891 -.0231042 .1191421 60 .0533785 .0356196 -.0058235 .1255239 70 -.0000128 .0304595 -.0550897 .0583365 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0374477 .0270618 -.0065566 .0942685 20 -.0132518 .0532875 -.1186505 .0798779 40 -.0275912 .0409917 -.1299239 .0268267 41 -.0517969 .0419783 -.16028 -.0069248 60 -.0023865 .0520422 -.1084942 .0921902 70 -.0764175 .0481185 -.1818251 -.0013891 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0073499 .0288771 -.0637628 .0470978 20 -.1371852 .055431 -.2420261 -.0336202 40 -.0045211 .0344997 -.0810003 .0583132 41 .0193175 .0364961 -.0461905 .1009759 60 .0867608 .0450038 .0153408 .1807998 70 -.018651 .0387664 -.093585 .0513611