The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 611 LR chi2(60) = 835.95 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -540.7706 Pseudo R2 = 0.4360 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- exleft | _Iretnat_1 | 1.836984 .8405954 1.33 0.184 .7492028 4.504133 _Iretnat_3 | .9964835 .3952233 -0.01 0.993 .4580029 2.168064 age | .9890396 .0128992 -0.85 0.398 .964078 1.014647 male | 1.259921 .4200392 0.69 0.488 .655489 2.421707 edulevel | 1.667799 .2231326 3.82 0.000 1.283106 2.167828 notrelig | 1.71327 .4471779 2.06 0.039 1.0272 2.857568 urban | 1.028133 .2368908 0.12 0.904 .6545235 1.615004 occupa2 | 1.313396 .5011679 0.71 0.475 .6217174 2.774589 occupa3 | 1.018568 .4503939 0.04 0.967 .428157 2.423133 demsat | 1.506293 .3032605 2.03 0.042 1.015168 2.235018 lrself | .4160618 .061537 -5.93 0.000 .3113595 .5559729 eusup | .5655605 .1051438 -3.07 0.002 .3928543 .8141915 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cen_cpp | _Iretnat_1 | 4.375719 2.550981 2.53 0.011 1.395762 13.7179 _Iretnat_3 | .3748673 .2710505 -1.36 0.175 .0908679 1.546482 age | 1.052202 .0211314 2.53 0.011 1.011589 1.094444 male | .4153734 .1991958 -1.83 0.067 .1622698 1.06326 edulevel | 1.441935 .2775443 1.90 0.057 .9887946 2.102739 notrelig | .4986134 .2580996 -1.34 0.179 .1807809 1.37523 urban | .7801373 .2622252 -0.74 0.460 .4037004 1.507589 occupa2 | 5.126136 3.808333 2.20 0.028 1.19512 21.98714 occupa3 | 2.173586 1.846999 0.91 0.361 .4110274 11.49431 demsat | .7443968 .2736671 -0.80 0.422 .3621364 1.53016 lrself | 2.016394 .3687023 3.84 0.000 1.409065 2.88549 eusup | 1.470323 .2616028 2.17 0.030 1.037445 2.08382 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- rad | _Iretnat_1 | 2.98753 1.836516 1.78 0.075 .8954794 9.967103 _Iretnat_3 | .4553379 .3115616 -1.15 0.250 .1190983 1.740853 age | 1.007761 .0196722 0.40 0.692 .9699322 1.047065 male | .5534666 .2738869 -1.20 0.232 .2098303 1.459871 edulevel | 1.536015 .2984349 2.21 0.027 1.049576 2.247899 notrelig | .6513892 .3107488 -0.90 0.369 .2557233 1.659247 urban | .6002799 .2134359 -1.44 0.151 .2990199 1.205057 occupa2 | 3.31122 1.982675 2.00 0.046 1.024024 10.70696 occupa3 | 1.308395 1.047076 0.34 0.737 .2726107 6.279638 demsat | .6873591 .2574278 -1.00 0.317 .329909 1.4321 lrself | 1.36279 .2577234 1.64 0.102 .940707 1.974256 eusup | 1.042539 .2009501 0.22 0.829 .7145338 1.521115 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cons | _Iretnat_1 | 5.079991 2.223073 3.71 0.000 2.154595 11.97734 _Iretnat_3 | .1772773 .1011177 -3.03 0.002 .0579607 .5422164 age | 1.024325 .0144012 1.71 0.087 .9964848 1.052944 male | .5535568 .2010968 -1.63 0.104 .2716043 1.128204 edulevel | 1.473425 .228978 2.49 0.013 1.086543 1.998064 notrelig | .6120346 .2067376 -1.45 0.146 .3156827 1.186591 urban | 1.134535 .2885649 0.50 0.620 .6891566 1.867747 occupa2 | 4.568865 2.134353 3.25 0.001 1.828808 11.41428 occupa3 | 1.321748 .7505869 0.49 0.623 .4342836 4.022761 demsat | .9866036 .2687466 -0.05 0.961 .5784676 1.682699 lrself | 3.929113 .5823824 9.23 0.000 2.938512 5.253656 eusup | 1.475969 .1991511 2.89 0.004 1.132988 1.922778 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | 5.814918 2.727567 3.75 0.000 2.318867 14.58181 _Iretnat_3 | .0899586 .0762248 -2.84 0.004 .017092 .4734699 age | 1.034158 .0167154 2.08 0.038 1.00191 1.067444 male | .8264493 .324829 -0.48 0.628 .3825239 1.785558 edulevel | 1.220082 .2096583 1.16 0.247 .8712025 1.708674 notrelig | .4861752 .2006666 -1.75 0.081 .2165027 1.091748 urban | .3751023 .1113788 -3.30 0.001 .2096058 .6712685 occupa2 | 1.55922 .7793638 0.89 0.374 .5853843 4.153113 occupa3 | 1.066281 .6327151 0.11 0.914 .3332586 3.411629 demsat | 1.044605 .3060632 0.15 0.882 .5882403 1.855022 lrself | 2.686981 .4225936 6.28 0.000 1.974205 3.6571 eusup | 1.533055 .2270801 2.88 0.004 1.146768 2.049462 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==socdem is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [exleft]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [cen_cpp]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [rad]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [cons]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 6) [exleft]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [cen_cpp]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [rad]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 9) [cons]_Iretnat_3 = 0 (10) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 10) = 56.95 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- exleft | 122 19.97 19.97 socdem | 195 31.91 51.88 cen_cpp | 30 4.91 56.79 rad | 23 3.76 60.56 cons | 166 27.17 87.73 lib | 75 12.27 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 611 100.00 > 8 .89 .89 .9 .91 .92 .93 .93 .94 .95 .96 .97 .98 .98 .99 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2867745 .1996727 .1929451 .1917373 .1924891 .1861082 .1976038 .2017961 20 . .3191489 .3323689 .4351933 .2552966 .3727949 .5276418 .1970049 40 .0004117 .0490998 .0489462 .0429055 .0569401 .0470206 .0483783 .0640169 41 .0093472 .0376432 .0384505 .0353307 .045411 .041875 .036413 .0510175 60 7.10e-10 .2716858 .2644462 .2185238 .2970546 .2480963 .1605725 .3152481 70 6.20e-08 .1227496 .1228431 .0763095 .1528085 .1041051 .0293906 .1709165 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1929451 .1823002 .0384706 .1166046 .2608109 20 .3323689 .3210165 .0642991 .2054207 .4449415 40 .0489462 .0548668 .0399441 .0118958 .1554242 41 .0384505 .0423699 .0345356 .0078601 .1315908 60 .2644462 .2668566 .0551386 .1707501 .3755998 70 .1228431 .1325901 .0459291 .0638997 .2331944 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1917373 .0007493 .0246891 -.0422328 .0548706 20 .4351933 .1338602 .0624613 .0257635 .2599777 40 .0429055 -.0083745 .0368618 -.0863573 .0572219 41 .0353307 -.0030239 .029007 -.0600266 .0521822 60 .2185238 -.0651942 .0606465 -.1945175 .0418006 70 .0763095 -.058017 .0492967 -.1571982 .029195 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1924891 -.0057082 .0415255 -.0945391 .0672386 20 .2552966 -.1531509 .0742237 -.2910089 -.009653 40 .0569401 .0179958 .0373418 -.0439131 .1008189 41 .045411 .0108613 .02993 -.0365752 .0750323 60 .2970546 .0678845 .0455797 -.0084038 .1664027 70 .1528085 .0621174 .0395259 .0009351 .1461249 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1976038 .0142121 .0319885 -.0392337 .0858824 20 .5276418 .1502915 .0780079 .0071693 .303304 40 .0483783 -.0002148 .0376439 -.0678558 .074702 41 .036413 -.0026133 .0348362 -.0700292 .062176 60 .1605725 -.0821016 .0648826 -.2204463 .0331932 70 .0293906 -.0795739 .0488349 -.1866942 .0003857 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .2017961 .0148261 .0330353 -.0531616 .0755894 20 .1970049 -.1588698 .0644703 -.2875889 -.0420621 40 .0640169 .0182503 .0371643 -.0409754 .1044427 41 .0510175 .0070012 .0275344 -.0422021 .065123 60 .3152481 .0636986 .0532575 -.030048 .1752329 70 .1709165 .0550935 .0466856 -.0231419 .1477179 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .1858477 .03751 .1252717 .2643714 20 .3373034 .0565136 .2364636 .4487712 40 .0516971 .0350127 .0125452 .1390203 41 .0431125 .0329473 .0088376 .125775 60 .2796174 .0473476 .1975301 .3754007 70 .1356448 .0429278 .071181 .2307558 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0003134 .0223749 -.0460628 .044802 20 .1913721 .0571307 .0886474 .309724 40 -.012334 .0347603 -.0821441 .0583617 41 -.0020599 .0327462 -.0639954 .0707149 60 -.0875475 .0541857 -.2036429 .0107034 70 -.0845561 .0473367 -.1846705 .000544 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 -.0045753 .0348913 -.0758891 .0643114 20 -.1739809 .0538672 -.28267 -.0717404 40 .0147133 .0332339 -.0435693 .089224 41 .0112008 .0306565 -.0404995 .0835645 60 .0692558 .039351 .0001812 .1561005 70 .0633516 .0368583 .0038811 .1482399 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0081648 .0254419 -.0401378 .0611558 20 .1063349 .0493843 .0138364 .207229 40 -.0186664 .0336979 -.0986738 .0334147 41 -.0188461 .032824 -.1034217 .0281378 60 -.1154154 .0525848 -.2261741 -.0219884 70 -.0875899 .0456415 -.1927131 -.0165152 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 .0072718 .0311853 -.0550492 .0739258 20 -.256275 .0596564 -.3782277 -.1468092 40 .0082714 .0325332 -.0618135 .0707066 41 -.00305 .0326289 -.0815517 .0533857 60 .0679732 .0475694 -.0201143 .1686024 70 .0725059 .043268 -.006053 .1641878