The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 485 LR chi2(48) = 432.39 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -451.36153 Pseudo R2 = 0.3239 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- socpp | _Iretnat_1 | 1.17993 1.259602 0.15 0.877 .1456059 9.561664 _Iretnat_3 | 1.197417 .5976507 0.36 0.718 .4501906 3.184889 age | .9740718 .0149619 -1.71 0.087 .945184 1.003842 male | 1.707418 .6396979 1.43 0.153 .8192759 3.558355 income | 1.159382 .2793348 0.61 0.539 .7230081 1.859132 edulevel | 1.077036 .1674972 0.48 0.633 .7940611 1.460852 notrelig | 1.833966 .5773818 1.93 0.054 .9894871 3.399166 urban | 1.294672 .335823 1.00 0.319 .7786959 2.152542 occupa2 | .9557453 .4356032 -0.10 0.921 .3911895 2.335055 occupa3 | .6487117 .3874705 -0.72 0.469 .2012035 2.091548 demsat | 1.697567 .3895991 2.31 0.021 1.082611 2.661837 lrself | .3170243 .0622933 -5.85 0.000 .2156933 .4659597 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- center | _Iretnat_1 | .325982 .3960959 -0.92 0.356 .0301239 3.527574 _Iretnat_3 | .8758118 .4100628 -0.28 0.777 .349841 2.192557 age | 1.033183 .0165107 2.04 0.041 1.001324 1.066056 male | .8762316 .3224646 -0.36 0.720 .425957 1.802487 income | 1.587955 .3618753 2.03 0.042 1.015921 2.482084 edulevel | 1.593307 .2569619 2.89 0.004 1.161505 2.185635 notrelig | .1743046 .1289232 -2.36 0.018 .0409 .7428385 urban | .7934843 .1907414 -0.96 0.336 .4953619 1.271025 occupa2 | 1.402061 .7337144 0.65 0.518 .5027169 3.910302 occupa3 | 1.344332 .881214 0.45 0.652 .3719983 4.858161 demsat | 1.185793 .2616574 0.77 0.440 .7694542 1.827407 lrself | 1.768643 .2386777 4.23 0.000 1.357597 2.304143 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- cons | _Iretnat_1 | .6725643 .5412642 -0.49 0.622 .1389013 3.256576 _Iretnat_3 | 1.218077 .5048394 0.48 0.634 .5406163 2.744482 age | 1.051012 .0142076 3.68 0.000 1.023531 1.07923 male | 1.24933 .3797726 0.73 0.464 .6885381 2.266868 income | 1.385802 .2667035 1.70 0.090 .9503505 2.020778 edulevel | 1.50943 .2051148 3.03 0.002 1.156496 1.970071 notrelig | 1.178149 .3658106 0.53 0.597 .6410703 2.165185 urban | .9419996 .1948896 -0.29 0.773 .6279806 1.413042 occupa2 | 6.524738 3.576661 3.42 0.001 2.228233 19.10582 occupa3 | 2.999974 1.919276 1.72 0.086 .8561488 10.51201 demsat | 1.085544 .2033832 0.44 0.661 .7519166 1.567202 lrself | 2.960305 .3474617 9.25 0.000 2.351949 3.726019 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | 2.37122 2.731986 0.75 0.454 .2478936 22.68184 _Iretnat_3 | 2.490489 1.559814 1.46 0.145 .7297431 8.499614 age | 1.077729 .0209969 3.84 0.000 1.037351 1.119677 male | 1.040174 .4308669 0.10 0.924 .4618667 2.342587 income | 1.001096 .2725151 0.00 0.997 .5871706 1.706817 edulevel | 1.701595 .2968141 3.05 0.002 1.208868 2.395156 notrelig | 1.105378 .5349005 0.21 0.836 .4281618 2.853734 urban | .1884187 .0636634 -4.94 0.000 .0971667 .3653678 occupa2 | 1.045577 .5818932 0.08 0.936 .3512679 3.112245 occupa3 | .2785837 .1956234 -1.82 0.069 .0703455 1.103254 demsat | .972844 .2567028 -0.10 0.917 .5800134 1.63173 lrself | 2.5025 .3647193 6.29 0.000 1.880694 3.32989 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==socdem is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [socpp]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [center]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [cons]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [socpp]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [center]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [cons]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 3.97 Prob > chi2 = 0.8601 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- socpp | 57 11.75 11.75 socdem | 228 47.01 58.76 center | 42 8.66 67.42 cons | 114 23.51 90.93 lib | 44 9.07 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 485 100.00 >99 .99 .99 .99 1 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .9368047 .1175258 .1214005 .1225929 .1157799 .1122826 .1223328 .1271171 20 . .4701031 .4730901 .4640351 .5040071 .5011507 .4643332 .5292446 40 .6533785 .0865979 .0858768 .084302 .0951913 .1076462 .0830594 .0403536 60 .6593535 .2350515 .2298552 .2324299 .2186745 .2271279 .2329361 .1848439 70 .3454724 .0907216 .0897773 .09664 .0663471 .0517925 .0973385 .1184407 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .1214005 .1217549 .0439525 .0552405 .2199234 20 .4730901 .4558158 .0822064 .2969786 .6113904 40 .0858768 .0946592 .0500089 .0300784 .2183383 60 .2298552 .2323717 .0589629 .1313175 .3563716 70 .0897773 .0953984 .0445894 .0339029 .1999751 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .1225929 .0045785 .0448673 -.0901091 .0858255 20 .4640351 -.0366852 .0855334 -.2042734 .1285842 40 .084302 -.0092306 .0532197 -.1287571 .0837769 60 .2324299 .0160993 .0609313 -.1093607 .1345114 70 .09664 .0252379 .0472719 -.0705338 .1148521 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .1157799 -.0043675 .0436495 -.0842267 .088333 20 .5040071 .0269899 .0812349 -.1305074 .1840181 40 .0951913 .0147144 .0514644 -.0727592 .1321889 60 .2186745 -.0132908 .0528413 -.1156387 .0950818 70 .0663471 -.024046 .0441658 -.1069233 .0663096 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .1223328 .0088632 .0361899 -.0648726 .0787301 20 .4643332 -.0330035 .0697518 -.1701014 .1003616 40 .0830594 -.0287523 .0462836 -.13616 .0459122 60 .2329361 .0091781 .0475032 -.0862847 .1028834 70 .0973385 .0437144 .0366224 -.0246985 .121462 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .1271171 .0161178 .0777578 -.1105589 .1950284 20 .5292446 .0112789 .1368257 -.2609602 .2725008 40 .0403536 -.0591349 .0795317 -.2172169 .1107148 60 .1848439 -.0379015 .0860523 -.1994933 .1473271 70 .1184407 .0696397 .0799719 -.038443 .2617201 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .1240515 .0443787 .057186 .223142 20 .4721034 .0711467 .3365343 .6106235 40 .0980643 .0503847 .0327011 .2222381 60 .2404975 .0561663 .1453165 .3604425 70 .0992926 .0447761 .0366384 .2048631 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .0036234 .0455664 -.0920647 .086697 20 -.0560186 .0701009 -.1894747 .0798669 40 -.012112 .0528465 -.1308375 .0778403 60 .0110591 .0588958 -.1072027 .1233449 70 .0212942 .0475148 -.0713678 .1104693 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 -.0032876 .0436678 -.0838776 .0889323 20 .0564129 .0676835 -.0759809 .1845032 40 .0169053 .0534078 -.0712302 .1396213 60 -.0071836 .0514568 -.1047169 .0961202 70 -.0200949 .0471007 -.1096719 .07218 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .0083032 .0363672 -.0654358 .0790502 20 -.0597629 .0594972 -.1730874 .0549189 40 -.0289984 .0469924 -.1386498 .0459036 60 .0028725 .0475604 -.0925712 .0921455 70 .0431678 .0376091 -.022816 .1239602 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 .0192869 .0770582 -.1078302 .1958689 20 .0388034 .1088558 -.1818005 .243068 40 -.0488643 .0864484 -.2079642 .1386667 60 -.0305999 .0766751 -.182368 .1225154 70 .0922865 .0913451 -.035832 .3075076