The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 1396 LR chi2(30) = 298.75 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -1495.6965 Pseudo R2 = 0.0908 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ prevote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- con | _Iretnat_1 | .6721421 .1367837 -1.95 0.051 .4510639 1.001577 _Iretnat_3 | 1.271483 .3997796 0.76 0.445 .6865557 2.354752 age | 1.013735 .0061625 2.24 0.025 1.001728 1.025885 male | .8923815 .1679393 -0.61 0.545 .6171077 1.290447 inccat | 1.024081 .034935 0.70 0.485 .957849 1.094894 union | 1.114581 .2242062 0.54 0.590 .7514263 1.653245 west | .5181254 .1269174 -2.68 0.007 .3205743 .8374155 francais | .4362529 .1157467 -3.13 0.002 .2593566 .7338027 educate | 1.090071 .0522613 1.80 0.072 .9923064 1.197469 dstaxLIB | 1.081421 .1108335 0.76 0.445 .8846193 1.322006 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- ndp | _Iretnat_1 | .4965586 .1052344 -3.30 0.001 .3277763 .7522522 _Iretnat_3 | 1.517123 .4249139 1.49 0.137 .8762281 2.626783 age | 1.011451 .0062272 1.85 0.064 .9993191 1.02373 male | .952477 .1816749 -0.26 0.799 .6553854 1.384243 inccat | .9325159 .0328263 -1.98 0.047 .8703469 .9991257 union | 1.82139 .3596163 3.04 0.002 1.236919 2.682036 west | 1.104469 .2322679 0.47 0.637 .7313872 1.667861 francais | .3719154 .1123442 -3.27 0.001 .2057418 .6723044 educate | 1.201638 .0588213 3.75 0.000 1.091709 1.322638 dstaxLIB | 1.392054 .132141 3.48 0.000 1.155728 1.676705 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- alli | _Iretnat_1 | .6890588 .1028216 -2.50 0.013 .5143275 .9231512 _Iretnat_3 | 1.488342 .3308387 1.79 0.074 .9627025 2.300984 age | 1.006613 .0044527 1.49 0.136 .9979238 1.015378 male | 2.224714 .3201881 5.56 0.000 1.677901 2.949727 inccat | 1.076494 .0263655 3.01 0.003 1.026039 1.12943 union | .8304847 .1233912 -1.25 0.211 .6206724 1.111222 west | 3.195262 .4635643 8.01 0.000 2.404447 4.246172 francais | .4264028 .0951861 -3.82 0.000 .2752998 .6604411 educate | 1.003084 .0352608 0.09 0.930 .9363013 1.07463 dstaxLIB | 1.265465 .0936807 3.18 0.001 1.094553 1.463064 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome prevote==lib is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [con]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 2) [ndp]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 3) [alli]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 4) [con]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 5) [ndp]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 6) [alli]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 chi2( 6) = 25.87 Prob > chi2 = 0.0002 prevote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- lib | 695 49.79 49.79 con | 145 10.39 60.17 ndp | 146 10.46 70.63 alli | 410 29.37 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 1396 100.00 > 96 .97 .97 .97 .98 .98 .99 .99 .99 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 . .497851 .5424355 .4633202 .5937335 .5079743 .4271962 .6068532 2 .0546295 .1038682 .1014398 .1132513 .0925199 .109928 .1156678 .0901941 3 .0001389 .1045845 .0991079 .1302992 .0775194 .1154812 .1422245 .071606 7 .0011212 .2936963 .2570169 .2931294 .2362272 .2666164 .3149115 .2313467 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .5424355 .5001558 .0421391 .4157291 .5846341 2 .1014398 .107234 .0275627 .0620823 .1712743 3 .0991079 .1122896 .0276541 .068225 .1767272 7 .2570169 .2803206 .0360926 .2122921 .3546121 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .4633202 -.0924176 .0373531 -.1703241 -.0146078 2 .1132513 .0128316 .0266722 -.0360606 .0782532 3 .1302992 .0388492 .0250728 -.0007528 .0996066 7 .2931294 .0407368 .0315675 -.0180034 .106759 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .5937335 .0979401 .0346355 .024044 .1718531 2 .0925199 -.0153955 .0220926 -.0673564 .0256443 3 .0775194 -.0425735 .0222528 -.0950487 -.0073223 7 .2362272 -.039971 .0275085 -.0985847 .0098519 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .4271962 -.0822127 .0416815 -.1625642 .0016192 2 .1156678 .0050227 .0322462 -.0530769 .0874689 3 .1422245 .0339498 .0312101 -.0159351 .1101682 7 .3149115 .0432403 .0394599 -.0335811 .1244359 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .6068532 .1030614 .0330853 .0309629 .1762516 2 .0901941 -.0191963 .0208485 -.0670113 .0194562 3 .071606 -.0449289 .0195808 -.091099 -.0144132 7 .2313467 -.0389361 .0244007 -.0914336 .0040034 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .5044061 .039988 .4265781 .5848953 2 .1084499 .0266796 .0649183 .1709566 3 .1120943 .0269595 .0676878 .1743136 7 .2808048 .0348862 .2163776 .3546003 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 -.0883047 .0339272 -.1622848 -.0191847 2 .0141925 .0238967 -.0349761 .0652963 3 .0385887 .0249397 -.011518 .092205 7 .0438723 .0299978 -.0212256 .1043686 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .0961474 .0306933 .0357112 .1616537 2 -.0155361 .0197854 -.0566652 .024921 3 -.0428039 .0228305 -.0916248 .0020895 7 -.0390565 .0270816 -.0919864 .01931 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 -.0738698 .0395277 -.1610396 .010137 2 .0096285 .0287148 -.0499734 .0732415 3 .0329081 .0296732 -.028754 .0970897 7 .0537868 .0359313 -.0255347 .1290711 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .1029069 .0286054 .0480821 .1638332 2 -.0178795 .0188277 -.055849 .0206569 3 -.0451444 .0206572 -.0889899 -.0053493 7 -.0349003 .0246208 -.0817518 .01755