The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 1061 LR chi2(22) = 331.48 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -950.11977 Pseudo R2 = 0.1485 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ prevote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- con | _Iretnat_1 | 1.14077 .3227463 0.47 0.642 .6552041 1.986185 _Iretnat_3 | .9226658 .1673999 -0.44 0.657 .6465623 1.316675 age | .9894643 .005638 -1.86 0.063 .9784755 1.000577 male | .5082127 .0898381 -3.83 0.000 .3593986 .7186455 income | 1.035101 .0318746 1.12 0.263 .9744756 1.099498 union | .6237275 .1090991 -2.70 0.007 .4426977 .8787848 west | 1.2717 .2176993 1.40 0.160 .9092208 1.778688 occupC1 | .976657 .1739229 -0.13 0.894 .6889064 1.384599 nafta | .5940318 .0547628 -5.65 0.000 .4958369 .7116732 gst | .7555252 .0333278 -6.36 0.000 .692948 .8237536 disusaCON | .6404702 .0572911 -4.98 0.000 .5374741 .7632035 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- reform | _Iretnat_1 | 1.044484 .3259345 0.14 0.889 .5666066 1.925404 _Iretnat_3 | 1.094378 .2139874 0.46 0.645 .7459834 1.605483 age | .9978545 .0058738 -0.36 0.715 .9864083 1.009434 male | 1.425281 .2761042 1.83 0.067 .9750042 2.083505 income | 1.050128 .0335638 1.53 0.126 .9863627 1.118017 union | .6969145 .1272059 -1.98 0.048 .4873175 .9966599 west | 4.769501 .8193728 9.09 0.000 3.405975 6.678893 occupC1 | .9332945 .1722101 -0.37 0.708 .6500643 1.339927 nafta | .8268762 .0791693 -1.99 0.047 .685397 .9975594 gst | .9507734 .0455993 -1.05 0.293 .8654724 1.044482 disusaCON | .8212541 .0702397 -2.30 0.021 .6945068 .9711326 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome prevote==lib is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [con]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 2) [reform]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 3) [con]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 4) [reform]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 chi2( 4) = 1.27 Prob > chi2 = 0.8666 prevote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- lib | 503 47.41 47.41 con | 316 29.78 77.19 reform | 242 22.81 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 1061 100.00 > 98 .98 .99 .99 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 . .4740811 .4939376 .4960211 .488849 .4960818 .496268 .4769414 2 .7146786 .2978322 .2848357 .2772068 .3017844 .2938122 .2752197 .3140711 4 .8979876 .2280867 .2212266 .2267721 .2093665 .210106 .2285123 .2089875 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .4939376 .4670404 .0462912 .3785521 .5558903 2 .2848357 .294451 .0419828 .2177109 .379217 4 .2212266 .2385086 .0414447 .1630026 .3232826 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .4960211 .0036355 .0357697 -.0625392 .0774387 2 .2772068 -.0180607 .0385455 -.0979206 .0512713 4 .2267721 .0144252 .0329201 -.045654 .0778925 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .488849 -.0053227 .0400947 -.0858554 .0714916 2 .3017844 .0165017 .0354488 -.0458892 .0897371 4 .2093665 -.0111791 .0347055 -.0798971 .05227 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .496268 -.0026966 .0332934 -.0644413 .0665457 2 .2752197 -.0135208 .0305125 -.0773634 .0390868 4 .2285123 .0162174 .02954 -.0394086 .074103 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .4769414 -.0231452 .0539717 -.1260737 .0806773 2 .3140711 .0233508 .0458182 -.0587625 .1204945 4 .2089875 -.0002056 .0450032 -.0889868 .0771144 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 .4735709 .0465027 .3860948 .5632606 2 .2998691 .0430515 .2214117 .3870832 4 .2405953 .0425601 .1651592 .3285141 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 -.0028643 .035783 -.0761377 .062169 2 -.0255533 .0383094 -.1073437 .0427025 4 .0101201 .0337377 -.0623393 .0713343 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 -.0000633 .0402199 -.0712218 .0838372 2 .0209169 .0362581 -.040489 .1007494 4 -.0095373 .0364679 -.0726516 .0701075 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 -.0081248 .0320383 -.0699944 .0540641 2 -.024287 .029264 -.0846641 .0303599 4 .0111808 .0295209 -.0486091 .0688071 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 -.0174244 .056497 -.1069159 .1106183 2 .0167529 .049688 -.0588014 .1318224 4 -.006126 .0493914 -.0794803 .1117499