The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 492 LR chi2(52) = 598.86 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -435.27319 Pseudo R2 = 0.4076 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vote | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | .7264331 .4663663 -0.50 0.619 .206409 2.556599 _Iretnat_3 | .3502071 .1581315 -2.32 0.020 .1445359 .8485433 age | 1.033403 .0161669 2.10 0.036 1.002197 1.065581 male | 1.328712 .555315 0.68 0.496 .5857119 3.014238 edulevel | 1.851999 .3584124 3.18 0.001 1.267389 2.706272 notrelig | .8102132 .257525 -0.66 0.508 .4345565 1.51061 urban | 1.488041 .4132137 1.43 0.152 .8634655 2.564395 occupa2 | 1.365908 .7112505 0.60 0.549 .4922513 3.790146 occupa3 | .6797989 .3776907 -0.69 0.487 .228802 2.019766 demsat | .7297687 .2062505 -1.11 0.265 .4193869 1.269859 lrself | 6.371447 1.172472 10.06 0.000 4.442221 9.138522 eusup | 1.024021 .2715237 0.09 0.929 .6089882 1.721903 region | .4043173 .1919279 -1.91 0.056 .1594631 1.025143 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- flemish | _Iretnat_1 | 1.012751 .7672475 0.02 0.987 .2294262 4.470564 _Iretnat_3 | .3353627 .2127728 -1.72 0.085 .0967085 1.16296 age | 1.007596 .0205727 0.37 0.711 .9680701 1.048735 male | 2.642084 1.451173 1.77 0.077 .900371 7.753033 edulevel | 1.226363 .3198725 0.78 0.434 .7355295 2.04474 notrelig | 1.07023 .4540818 0.16 0.873 .4659351 2.458264 urban | .8642232 .3116835 -0.40 0.686 .4262248 1.752319 occupa2 | 5.472004 3.74708 2.48 0.013 1.429772 20.94238 occupa3 | 1.95732 1.435766 0.92 0.360 .4648084 8.242323 demsat | 1.083246 .4233378 0.20 0.838 .5035859 2.330134 lrself | 3.9166 .8179239 6.54 0.000 2.601048 5.897528 eusup | .6338948 .2094673 -1.38 0.168 .3316973 1.211414 region | 8.21e+08 2.28e+09 7.38 0.000 3509805 1.92e+11 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- green | _Iretnat_1 | 1.009118 .6039063 0.02 0.988 .3122773 3.260943 _Iretnat_3 | 1.511157 .5485093 1.14 0.255 .7419019 3.07803 age | .9828696 .0129832 -1.31 0.191 .9577496 1.008648 male | 1.081929 .3556463 0.24 0.811 .5680628 2.060637 edulevel | 1.638398 .2596196 3.12 0.002 1.200987 2.235117 notrelig | 1.035095 .3061654 0.12 0.907 .5797061 1.848216 urban | .668483 .1507787 -1.79 0.074 .4296342 1.040116 occupa2 | .7424374 .3258247 -0.68 0.497 .3141254 1.754755 occupa3 | 1.028801 .4369171 0.07 0.947 .4475466 2.364964 demsat | 1.174448 .2592064 0.73 0.466 .762025 1.810081 lrself | 1.361234 .1645438 2.55 0.011 1.07409 1.725141 eusup | .9282727 .197196 -0.35 0.726 .6121418 1.407664 region | 1.819269 .6450482 1.69 0.091 .908011 3.645044 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- christ | _Iretnat_1 | 1.2321 .7627161 0.34 0.736 .3662016 4.145449 _Iretnat_3 | .2623716 .1179839 -2.98 0.003 .1086792 .6334132 age | 1.027204 .0154149 1.79 0.074 .9974318 1.057866 male | 1.408515 .5717088 0.84 0.399 .6357162 3.120755 edulevel | 1.450285 .2735059 1.97 0.049 1.002137 2.09884 notrelig | .3902696 .116558 -3.15 0.002 .2173424 .7007851 urban | .5456253 .1529718 -2.16 0.031 .3149569 .9452307 occupa2 | 1.919861 .9733202 1.29 0.198 .7107757 5.185696 occupa3 | .7592413 .4105149 -0.51 0.610 .2631133 2.190871 demsat | .667199 .1954333 -1.38 0.167 .3757724 1.184639 lrself | 5.047071 .8885824 9.19 0.000 3.57419 7.126907 eusup | .7407516 .1851817 -1.20 0.230 .4538155 1.20911 region | .8705288 .4070213 -0.30 0.767 .3481757 2.176546 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome vote==soc is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 2) [flemish]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 3) [green]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 4) [christ]_Iretnat_1 = 0 ( 5) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 6) [flemish]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 7) [green]_Iretnat_3 = 0 ( 8) [christ]_Iretnat_3 = 0 chi2( 8) = 18.01 Prob > chi2 = 0.0212 vote | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- soc | 149 30.28 30.28 lib | 112 22.76 53.05 flemish | 29 5.89 58.94 green | 68 13.82 72.76 christ | 134 27.24 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 492 100.00 > .89 .9 .91 .92 .93 .94 .95 .96 .97 .98 .99 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation seperately freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) when retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neutral all_worse all_better -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 . .3028455 .2853466 .304222 .2714626 .2729374 .3100789 .2722771 40 .0666642 .2276423 .2183841 .2221247 .2061826 .2378561 .2167853 .1862723 50 .2012429 .0589431 .0698798 .0608864 .0775414 .0791004 .0576394 .0777059 55 .4956503 .1382114 .147829 .1893782 .111957 .1156339 .2106013 .1154223 60 .0063935 .2723577 .2785605 .2233888 .3328564 .2944722 .2048951 .3483224 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .2853466 .2867571 .0614795 .1725954 .4104016 40 .2183841 .2281662 .0623936 .1186925 .3578882 50 .0698798 .0678708 .0439785 .0161868 .1852201 55 .147829 .1678834 .0590687 .0761664 .3022395 60 .2785605 .2493225 .0688029 .1329389 .395745 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .304222 .0210114 .0455095 -.0636938 .1147438 40 .2221247 .0161544 .0557503 -.0970361 .1210398 50 .0608864 -.0131882 .0419497 -.1052885 .0647669 55 .1893782 .0606835 .0438567 -.019653 .1495091 60 .2233888 -.0846611 .064908 -.2217149 .0377196 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .2714626 -.0095853 .0541338 -.1164977 .0980285 40 .2061826 -.015435 .0493218 -.1060677 .0868558 50 .0775414 .0073016 .0361768 -.0582922 .089038 55 .111957 -.0437034 .0457617 -.1352952 .0446524 60 .3328564 .0614221 .0569127 -.0422904 .1838923 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .3100789 .027794 .0455865 -.0470696 .1245219 40 .2167853 -.0128874 .0519179 -.1194478 .0796938 50 .0576394 -.0186968 .0367268 -.1031833 .0431196 55 .2106013 .0867029 .046654 .0073625 .1833007 60 .2048951 -.0829128 .0556019 -.1976731 .0152215 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .2722771 .0044641 .0680016 -.1255738 .155008 40 .1862723 -.0521708 .0539369 -.1554903 .0567603 50 .0777059 -.0019865 .0368257 -.0759197 .0795874 55 .1154223 -.000874 .0493118 -.0937966 .1099196 60 .3483224 .0505671 .0651488 -.0733638 .1962998 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .2891926 .0577217 .1841003 .4069348 40 .240499 .0603041 .1364752 .3671062 50 .0684446 .0385941 .016967 .1633307 55 .1660581 .0585764 .0757831 .3021458 60 .2626651 .0588631 .1589492 .3833772 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .019709 .0374821 -.0510036 .0950954 40 -.004841 .0468413 -.0967377 .0822246 50 -.0195919 .0358467 -.0965231 .0476219 55 .0542075 .0435297 -.0212849 .145454 60 -.0957228 .0522509 -.2005122 -.0035358 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 -.0180701 .0480856 -.1074603 .0764327 40 -.0114791 .04288 -.0918898 .0702692 50 .010531 .0355038 -.0502837 .0938739 55 -.0500679 .0465129 -.1416071 .0353442 60 .0705856 .0464843 -.0066359 .1690969 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0369756 .0382883 -.0290789 .1202917 40 -.0413112 .0421122 -.1271897 .0349194 50 -.0230198 .0310864 -.0907627 .0339682 55 .0852378 .0447521 .0170163 .1870871 60 -.0899362 .0440018 -.1798422 -.0126539 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 .0107826 .0584053 -.0865543 .1345006 40 -.0654955 .0478759 -.1595422 .0206607 50 .0001591 .0367442 -.063311 .0854693 55 -.0032257 .0512745 -.091369 .1072341 60 .0633874 .0529141 -.0222347 .1782704