The modal category for retnat is 2 The maximum category is 3 The minimum category is 1 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 1875 LR chi2(39) = 1978.13 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -829.32679 Pseudo R2 = 0.5439 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ postvot1 | RRR Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lib | _Iretnat_1 | .388892 .1337297 -2.75 0.006 .1982089 .7630182 _Iretnat_3 | 1.343186 .2998204 1.32 0.186 .8672302 2.080356 age | .9907113 .0066833 -1.38 0.167 .9776984 1.003897 gender | 1.11484 .2254244 0.54 0.591 .7500617 1.657023 income | 1.094698 .0326722 3.03 0.002 1.032498 1.160644 relig | 1.015401 .0345616 0.45 0.653 .9498713 1.085451 lrself | 1.139401 .0559102 2.66 0.008 1.034923 1.254425 occupb1 | 1.178463 .2746899 0.70 0.481 .7462903 1.860903 occupb3 | 1.030435 .4173284 0.07 0.941 .4658884 2.279077 c1pk | .5192056 .0218029 -15.61 0.000 .478184 .5637463 c1jhew | 1.875775 .0903576 13.06 0.000 1.706781 2.061503 c1tf | 1.347701 .087553 4.59 0.000 1.186575 1.530705 c1jcou | .7828707 .0504557 -3.80 0.000 .6899703 .8882795 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- nat | _Iretnat_1 | .351855 .2963084 -1.24 0.215 .0675366 1.833107 _Iretnat_3 | 1.704535 .7403442 1.23 0.220 .7276067 3.993145 age | 1.001698 .0103448 0.16 0.870 .9816264 1.02218 gender | 1.434832 .4617448 1.12 0.262 .7636163 2.696045 income | 1.038494 .0474238 0.83 0.408 .9495832 1.135729 relig | 1.052098 .0584545 0.91 0.361 .9435465 1.173137 lrself | 1.229507 .0949229 2.68 0.007 1.056854 1.430366 occupb1 | .8655823 .3215759 -0.39 0.698 .4179027 1.79284 occupb3 | .5750767 .3783857 -0.84 0.400 .1583642 2.088308 c1pk | .5585541 .0361496 -9.00 0.000 .4920119 .6340959 c1jhew | 1.474466 .1102218 5.19 0.000 1.273516 1.707125 c1tf | 2.075955 .1880876 8.06 0.000 1.738187 2.479358 c1jcou | .7553248 .0635655 -3.33 0.001 .6404713 .8907747 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- dem | _Iretnat_1 | .8501401 .4140455 -0.33 0.739 .3272865 2.208274 _Iretnat_3 | 2.017203 .7147853 1.98 0.048 1.007235 4.039879 age | .994972 .0094977 -0.53 0.597 .9765298 1.013762 gender | .792671 .2345888 -0.79 0.432 .4437948 1.415806 income | 1.039508 .0452528 0.89 0.373 .9544931 1.132096 relig | 1.136613 .050874 2.86 0.004 1.04115 1.240829 lrself | .9731333 .0712637 -0.37 0.710 .8430199 1.123329 occupb1 | 1.235227 .4246469 0.61 0.539 .6296809 2.423111 occupb3 | 1.308702 .7534057 0.47 0.640 .4234605 4.044533 c1pk | .6076667 .0336002 -9.01 0.000 .5452545 .677223 c1jhew | 1.053686 .0657237 0.84 0.402 .9324322 1.190707 c1tf | 1.058427 .0925588 0.65 0.516 .8917106 1.256314 c1jcou | 1.551151 .1367073 4.98 0.000 1.305075 1.843626 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome postvot1==lab is the comparison group) test for all economic coeffcients in all equations are 0: ( 1) [lib]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 2) [nat]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 3) [dem]_Iretnat_1 = 0.0 ( 4) [lib]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 5) [nat]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 ( 6) [dem]_Iretnat_3 = 0.0 chi2( 6) = 21.44 Prob > chi2 = 0.0015 postvot1 | Freq. Percent Cum. ------------+----------------------------------- lib | 827 44.11 44.11 lab | 899 47.95 92.05 nat | 75 4.00 96.05 dem | 74 3.95 100.00 ------------+----------------------------------- Total | 1875 100.00 > 1 1 These are the following stats: test: test that the coeffcients on retnat are jointly 0 in each equation sepera > tely freq: the sample frequencies of people voting for each party pred-value: mean predicted probability of voting for each party, for the sample worse: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) whe > n retnat gets worse by one category better: mean predicted probability of voting for each party (for the sample) wh > en retnat gets worse by one category party test freq pv worse better all_neu > tral all_worse all_better ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > - 1 .0003612 .4410667 .43912 .4485701 .426096 .4415441 > .4467134 > .3852845 2 . .4794667 .4815436 .4652432 .5120875 .4955931 > .4635041 > .553168 3 .0745107 .04 .0397786 .0418564 .0315668 .0332181 > .0421267 > .0261605 4 .0387971 .0394667 .0395578 .0443304 .0302497 .0296448 > .0476557 > .0353869 party pv sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > - 1 .43912 .4609559 .0291694 .4017634 .5155299 2 .4815436 .4539711 .0237582 .4047463 .4970478 3 .0397786 .0418316 .0166476 .0183885 .0832729 4 .0395578 .0432414 .0176529 .0178863 .0866918 party worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > - 1 .4485701 .0185375 .0179782 -.014976 .0559111 2 .4652432 -.0358458 .0220166 -.0824176 .0041533 3 .0418564 .0037939 .0082226 -.0133466 .0213909 4 .0443304 .0135144 .0147132 -.0148573 .0460893 party better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > - 1 .426096 -.0165424 .0281565 -.0758437 .0371037 2 .5120875 .0323252 .0193064 -.0028419 .072984 3 .0315668 -.0067283 .0177074 -.0414371 .0327669 4 .0302497 -.0090545 .0144504 -.039737 .0197525 party all_worse sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_95 > % ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > - 1 .4467134 .0062335 .0231013 -.0390051 .0540363 2 .4635041 -.0298892 .0179186 -.0679994 .0012439 3 .0421267 .0066517 .0143848 -.0248128 .035953 4 .0476557 .017004 .0133136 -.0063723 .0474277 party all_better sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_95 > % ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > - 1 .3852845 -.053285 .0411775 -.1443101 .0187875 2 .553168 .0471873 .0256487 -.000581 .1006632 3 .0261605 -.0014109 .0262808 -.0463672 .0604869 4 .0353869 .0075087 .0188461 -.0264203 .0520809 party LOGIT sim_pv sim_pv_sd sim_pv_5% sim_pv_95 > % ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > - 1 .4687446 .0240922 .4210035 .516241 2 .4591689 .0207446 .4168385 .4983627 3 .0456248 .0174153 .0204404 .0887967 4 .0456511 .0176946 .0198489 .0893727 party LOGIT sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_ws_ > 95% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > - 1 .0261276 .0172372 -.0065656 .0638385 2 -.0371273 .0171874 -.0749791 -.0042561 3 .0089369 .0106766 -.0130134 .0329647 4 .0176843 .0162255 -.0131196 .0545917 party LOGIT sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt_ > 95% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > - 1 -.0315531 .0216894 -.0785149 .0096044 2 .0355215 .0167776 .0037958 .0720734 3 -.0156692 .0177742 -.0524291 .0239855 4 -.0146253 .0131781 -.0435906 .0113311 party LOGIT all_sim_worse sim_ws_sd sim_ws_5% sim_w > s_95% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > - 1 .0179455 .0191095 -.019797 .0595326 2 -.0321437 .0159867 -.0674259 -.0002258 3 .0141685 .016022 -.0212678 .0472419 4 .0200215 .0144429 -.0068878 .0536981 party LOGIT all_sim_better sim_bt_sd sim_bt_5% sim_bt > _95% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > - 1 -.0719167 .0284977 -.1338903 -.0219921 2 .0476918 .0207086 .012103 .0919952 3 -.0156795 .0184923 -.0567417 .0249562 4 -.005941 .012504 -.032035 .020454